Ian Hamilton — OGILVIE

Ian Hamilton P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA3.92

FIP4.02

K%27.2%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%15.5%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p6627.8%

p6725.3%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

SI (11%)

FB (38%)

SL-0.8 (62%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	33	129	29	14	3	0%	1.5	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	3.1%	3.58	5.03	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	33	129	29	14	3	0%	1.5	22.5%	10.9%	11.6%	2.3%	3.58	3.80	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	72	288	74	15	1	0%	1.6	20.1%	5.9%	14.2%	0.3%	2.64	2.33	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	72	288	74	15	1	0%	1.6	25.7%	5.2%	20.5%	0.3%	2.64	1.84	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	60	239	67	18	4	0%	1.1	25.3%	8.4%	16.9%	0.8%	2.11	2.48	+1.5
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	53	0	60	239	67	18	4	0%	1.1	28.0%	7.5%	20.5%	1.7%	2.11	2.63	+1.4
2019	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	16	0	16	78	20	3	4	0%	1.0	22.6%	4.0%	18.5%	4.7%	9.92	4.26	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	16	0	16	78	20	3	4	0%	1.0	25.6%	3.8%	21.8%	5.1%	9.92	4.39	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	4	0	4	20	4	5	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	25.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	4.50	4.58	-0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	4	0	4	20	4	5	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	25.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	4.50	4.85	-0.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	38	3	59	257	86	39	5	8%	1.6	29.4%	15.9%	13.5%	1.9%	4.12	3.68	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	38	3	59	257	86	39	5	8%	1.6	33.5%	15.2%	18.3%	1.9%	4.12	3.27	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	50	207	60	20	7	0%	1.3	26.9%	10.2%	16.8%	3.4%	3.78	3.96	+0.3
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	50	207	60	20	7	0%	1.3	29.0%	9.7%	19.3%	3.4%	3.78	3.72	+0.5
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	3	61	251	73	27	2	7%	1.4	28.9%	10.5%	18.4%	0.8%	2.67	2.42	+1.6
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	3	61	251	73	27	2	7%	1.4	28.9%	10.5%	18.4%	0.8%	2.67	2.42	+1.6
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	3	61	251	73	27	2	7%	1.4	29.1%	10.8%	18.3%	0.8%	2.67	2.46	+1.5
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	25.2%	8.6%	16.6%	1.1%	3.46	2.69	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	25.2%	8.6%	16.6%	1.1%	3.46	2.69	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	26.9%	8.0%	18.9%	1.1%	3.46	2.48	+1.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	23.1%	12.5%	10.6%	2.2%	4.81	3.97	+0.4
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	23.1%	12.5%	10.6%	2.2%	4.81	3.97	+0.4
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	24.4%	13.0%	11.4%	2.4%	4.81	4.01	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			129	4	155	655	165	71	12	3%	1.2	25.2%	10.8%	14.4%	1.8%	3.72	3.35	+2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	39	0	42	177	47	16	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	7.6%	15.6%	1.4%	3.19	2.89	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	39	0	42	177	47	16	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	7.6%	15.6%	1.4%	3.19	2.89	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	ATL	35	0	38	154	43	13	2	0%	1.1	27.9%	8.4%	19.5%	1.3%	2.63	2.52	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	ATL	4	0	5	23	4	3	0	0%	1.2	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	0.0%	7.71	3.28	—
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	ATL	4	0	5	23	4	3	0	0%	1.2	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	0.0%	7.71	3.28	—
ROS	31	MLB MLE	ATL	4	0	4	19	5	2	0	0%	1.1	27.2%	11.7%	15.5%	2.5%	3.92	4.02	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	ATL	4	0	4	17	5	2	0	0%	1.0	27.2%	11.7%	15.5%	2.5%	3.92	4.02	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	47	196	52	18	2	—	—	26.6%	9.3%	17.3%	1.3%	3.26	3.00	+0.9
FULL	31	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	9	38	52	18	2	—	—	136.0%	47.5%	88.5%	6.4%	16.79	1.16	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	ATL	46	0	48	204	52	25	5	0%	1.1	25.7%	12.2%	13.5%	2.6%	4.14	4.28	+0.2
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	42	0	44	187	46	24	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	12.6%	12.2%	2.9%	4.39	4.56	-0.0
2027	32	MLB CTX	ATL	44	0	46	194	50	24	5	0%	1.0	25.7%	12.2%	13.5%	2.6%	4.14	4.28	+0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	40	0	42	177	44	22	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	12.6%	12.2%	2.9%	4.39	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		217	4	247	1045	264	119	23	2%	1.1	25.3%	11.4%	13.9%	2.2%	3.91	3.60	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		175	3	200	845	213	96	19	2%	1.1	25.3%	11.4%	13.9%	2.2%	3.91	3.60	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		390	7	496	2075	508	210	35	2%	1.3	24.5%	10.1%	14.4%	1.7%	3.56	3.23	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	3	200	837	205	85	14	2%	1.3	24.5%	10.1%	14.4%	1.7%	3.56	3.23	+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ian Hamilton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.02	27.2%	11.7%	2.5%	—	4.41	25.3%	12.9%	93	+0.39	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	80
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	78
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	77
John Axford R 2015 · 3.20 FIP	32	SU	3.20	24.8%	11.2%	1.4%	.333	3.97	21.5%	11.1%	141	+0.77	3.20	197	77
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	76
Greg Holland R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	31	SU	3.38	29.8%	10.6%	2.6%	.248	3.47	25.2%	13.1%	110	+0.09	1.97	268	75
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	75
Brad Brach R 2017 · 3.36 FIP	31	SU	3.36	25.5%	9.1%	2.3%	.254	3.68	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.32	2.69	410	75
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	75
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	74
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	74
Wade Davis R 2017 · 3.17 FIP	31	SU	3.17	32.6%	11.2%	2.6%	.254	3.92	26.1%	14.5%	108	+0.75	2.00	320	74
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	74
Oliver Drake R 2018 · 3.05 FIP	31	SU	3.05	24.4%	7.7%	1.9%	.348	3.25	33.5%	25.4%	80	+0.20	2.26	317	73
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	73
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	72
Luis García R 2018 · 3.05 FIP	31	SU	3.05	25.0%	8.3%	1.8%	.341	4.16	22.5%	13.9%	113	+1.11	2.33	617	72
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	72
Tyler Chatwood R 2021 · 3.54 FIP	31	SU	3.54	26.2%	14.5%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	537	71
Rob Scahill R 2018 · 3.06 FIP	31	SU	3.06	22.6%	9.5%	1.2%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	201	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	26.0%	12.1%	1.02	4.14
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87