Ian Hamilton
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 48 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA3.93
FIP4.04
K%27.3%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%15.3%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p6627.8%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
SI (11%)
FB (38%)
SL-0.8 (62%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 33 | 129 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.58 | 5.04 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 33 | 129 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 3.58 | 3.80 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 72 | 288 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 14.2% | 0.3% | 2.64 | 2.30 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 72 | 288 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 5.2% | 20.5% | 0.3% | 2.64 | 1.84 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 0 | 60 | 239 | 67 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 0.7% | 2.11 | 2.39 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 0 | 60 | 239 | 67 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 7.5% | 20.5% | 1.7% | 2.11 | 2.63 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 16 | 0 | 16 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 4.0% | 18.5% | 4.0% | 9.92 | 3.88 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 16 | 0 | 16 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 3.8% | 21.8% | 5.1% | 9.92 | 4.39 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 25.0% | -5.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 25.0% | -5.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 38 | 3 | 59 | 257 | 86 | 39 | 5 | 8% | 1.6 | 29.4% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 1.7% | 4.12 | 3.58 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 38 | 3 | 59 | 257 | 86 | 39 | 5 | 8% | 1.6 | 33.5% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 3.27 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 50 | 207 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 3.78 | 3.96 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 50 | 207 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 3.4% | 3.78 | 3.72 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 3 | 61 | 251 | 73 | 27 | 2 | 7% | 1.4 | 28.9% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 0.8% | 2.67 | 2.41 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 3 | 61 | 251 | 73 | 27 | 2 | 7% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 0.8% | 2.67 | 2.46 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 1.1% | 3.46 | 2.69 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 8.0% | 18.9% | 1.1% | 3.46 | 2.48 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 1 | 58 | 254 | 62 | 33 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 1 | 58 | 254 | 62 | 33 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 6.6% | 21.2% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 2.86 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ATL | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 55 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 3.93 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ATL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 55 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 3.93 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 76 | 319 | 89 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 27.9% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 2.2% | 3.89 | 3.60 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 52 | 220 | 89 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 40.3% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 3.1% | 5.65 | 3.32 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 53 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 47 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 50 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 258 | 4 | 291 | 1227 | 314 | 142 | 27 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 3.92 | 3.62 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 3 | 200 | 845 | 216 | 98 | 19 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 3.92 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 377 | 7 | 482 | 2016 | 501 | 206 | 33 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 1.6% | 3.60 | 3.20 | +12.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 3 | 200 | 837 | 208 | 85 | 14 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 1.6% | 3.60 | 3.20 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Hamilton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.04 | 27.3% | 12.0% | 2.5% | — | 4.44 | 25.4% | 12.7% | 93 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| John Axford R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.10 | 24.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .333 | 3.98 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 141 | +0.88 | 3.10 | 197 | 76 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 74 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 74 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 73 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.19 | 29.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .248 | 3.41 | 25.2% | 13.1% | 110 | +0.22 | 1.97 | 268 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 72 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 71 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 28.4% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .336 | 3.41 | 32.8% | 15.6% | 16 | +0.41 | 3.00 | 246 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 71 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.08 | 32.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.71 | 26.1% | 14.5% | 108 | +0.63 | 2.00 | 320 | 70 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 69 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 28.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .269 | 3.84 | 28.4% | 21.3% | 195 | +0.48 | 2.61 | 339 | 69 |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.54 | 26.2% | 14.5% | 1.5% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 537 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 48 | 26.1% | 12.4% | 1.02 | 4.16 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |