Joe Gunkel

P St. Paul Saints
Age 35 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027
Overview
AAAPROSPECT
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
201826MIX2 levels258703.072.9719.2%2.5%—K 16.7% · BB 2.8% · FIP 3.52
201927MIX2 levels2115933.593.6917.7%4.2%—K 14.7% · BB 4.3% · FIP 4.06
202432AAAMIN972710.546.288.1%4.4%—K 7.0% · BB 4.0% · FIP 6.01
202533No MLB games played
202634No MLB games played
2027PROJ35MLBMIN1114.704.7017.0%7.5%0.0
2028PROJMLE36MLBMIN——04.865.0017.0%8.3%—
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
CompsJesse Estrada (age 35) · Juan Delgadillo (age 34) · Angel Sánchez (age 34)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%17.0%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%9.5%
Proj IP14
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.02 (14 IP)-0.0WAR
0.10.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
201523MIX MLE2 levels2922145575113261076%5.015.8%5.0%10.8%1.9%2.683.45—
201523MIX RAW2 levels2922145575113261076%5.019.7%4.5%15.1%1.7%2.682.98—
201624MIX MLE2 levels28281616751092116100%5.814.1%3.3%10.8%3.3%4.024.13—
201624MIX RAW2 levels28281616751092116100%5.816.1%3.1%13.0%2.4%4.023.43—
201725MIX MLE2 levels272212452775201881%4.611.4%4.5%6.9%3.5%4.854.63—
201725MIX RAW2 levels272212452775201881%4.614.2%3.8%10.4%3.4%4.854.26—
201826MIX MLE2 levels25870281547632%2.816.7%2.8%13.9%2.7%3.073.52—
201826MIX RAW2 levels25870281547632%2.819.2%2.5%16.7%2.1%3.072.97—
201927MIX MLE2 levels21159338468161171%4.414.7%4.3%10.4%3.0%3.594.06—
201927MIX RAW2 levels21159338468161171%4.417.7%4.2%13.5%2.9%3.593.69—
202432AAA MLESt. Paul Saints9727136116778%3.07.0%4.0%3.0%5.5%10.546.01—
202432AAA MLESt. Paul Saints9727136116778%3.07.0%4.0%3.0%5.5%10.546.01—
202432AAA RAWSt. Paul Saints9727136116778%3.08.1%4.4%3.7%5.1%10.546.28—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202735MLBMIN1114100100%1.017.0%7.5%9.5%3.1%4.704.70+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202836MLB MLEMIN3320841473100%6.717.0%8.3%8.7%3.5%4.865.00+0.1
202836MLB CTXMIN——0——————17.0%8.3%8.7%3.5%4.865.00—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW0001000——17.0%8.3%8.7%3.5%4.864.62-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW3333200844000100%6.117.0%8.3%8.7%3.5%4.864.62+1.8
Career— MLE13910262025783581057873%4.513.9%4.1%9.8%3.0%3.994.10+0.1
/ 200 IP— MLE4533200831116342573%4.513.9%4.1%9.8%3.0%3.994.10+0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 27 IPFIP 5.80 → 6.01 (+0.21)K% 8.1% → 7.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF8.09%—×0.8606.96%
BB% (unintentional) /BF4.41%—×0.9003.97%
HR / BF /BF5.15%÷1.039×1.1005.45%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 108).

Result: FIP 5.80 → 6.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 88 IPFIP 3.86 → 4.06 (+0.19)K% 16.7% → 14.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.71%—×0.88014.71%
BB% (unintentional) /BF4.11%—×1.0504.32%
HR / BF /BF3.01%÷1.100×1.1003.01%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 120).

Result: FIP 3.86 → 4.06, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 65 IPFIP 3.12 → 3.52 (+0.41)K% 19.0% → 16.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF18.99%—×0.88016.71%
BB% (unintentional) /BF2.71%—×1.0502.85%
HR / BF /BF2.33%÷0.952×1.1002.69%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 3.12 → 3.52, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKGCL Marlins · 5 IPFIP 1.26 → 1.85 (+0.59)K% 21.7% → 14.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.74%—×0.68014.78%
BB% (unintentional) /BF0.00%—×1.2500.00%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.000×1.4000.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.26 → 1.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 115 IPFIP 4.33 → 4.63 (+0.30)K% 14.1% → 11.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF14.05%—×0.81011.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF4.07%—×1.1004.48%
HR / BF /BF3.46%÷1.185×1.2003.51%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 137).

Result: FIP 4.33 → 4.63, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 9 IPFIP 3.22 → 3.56 (+0.34)K% 16.7% → 14.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.67%—×0.88014.67%
BB% (unintentional) /BF0.00%—×1.0500.00%
HR / BF /BF2.78%÷0.989×1.1003.09%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 98).

Result: FIP 3.22 → 3.56, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 141 IPFIP 3.45 → 4.18 (+0.73)K% 16.1% → 14.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.07%—×0.88014.14%
BB% (unintentional) /BF3.08%—×1.0503.23%
HR / BF /BF2.39%÷0.776×1.1003.39%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 55).

Result: FIP 3.45 → 4.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AABowie Baysox · 20 IPFIP 3.33 → 3.81 (+0.48)K% 16.7% → 13.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.67%—×0.81013.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF3.33%—×1.1003.67%
HR / BF /BF2.22%÷1.057×1.2002.52%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 111).

Result: FIP 3.33 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).