Darien Núñez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Darien Núñez P Sacramento River Cats

Age 33 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB-1.4

CH-1.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	36	150	57	13	2	0%	1.7	26.4%	11.0%	15.4%	1.8%	2.23	3.27	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	36	150	57	13	2	0%	1.7	38.0%	8.7%	29.3%	1.3%	2.23	1.75	—
2019	26	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	19	0	26	102	43	10	1	0%	1.4	32.5%	11.3%	21.2%	1.3%	1.75	2.48	—
2019	26	A+ RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	19	0	26	102	43	10	1	0%	1.4	42.2%	9.8%	32.4%	1.0%	1.75	1.42	—
2021	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	2	61	239	91	24	7	5%	1.6	35.0%	10.4%	24.6%	2.2%	3.12	2.65	+1.4
2021	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	2	61	239	91	24	7	5%	1.6	38.1%	10.0%	28.0%	2.9%	3.12	2.79	+1.3
2022	29	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	3	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.6	28.6%	9.5%	19.0%	4.8%	7.71	4.51	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	3	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.6	28.6%	9.5%	19.0%	4.8%	7.71	4.60	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	2	22	103	28	21	2	10%	1.1	17.4%	22.2%	-4.7%	3.0%	5.64	6.09	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	2	22	103	28	21	2	10%	1.1	17.4%	22.2%	-4.7%	3.0%	5.64	6.09	—
2023	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	2	22	103	28	21	2	10%	1.1	27.2%	20.4%	6.8%	1.9%	5.64	4.58	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	1	8	33	8	4	3	17%	1.3	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	9.1%	8.22	7.67	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SF	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.0%	9.6%	3.3%	4.88	4.99	-0.1
2027	34	MLB CTX	SF	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.0%	9.6%	3.3%	4.88	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	1	9	38	9	5	3	14%	1.3	23.9%	12.1%	11.8%	8.4%	7.80	7.21	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		161	23	200	859	205	114	68	14%	1.2	23.9%	12.1%	11.8%	8.4%	7.80	7.21	-6.1
Career	—	MLE		102	4	150	615	180	78	13	4%	1.5	29.3%	12.6%	16.7%	2.2%	3.19	3.41	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	5	200	822	241	104	18	4%	1.5	29.3%	12.6%	16.7%	2.2%	3.19	3.41	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darien Núñez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.9%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.99	21.5%	9.6%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Kelly Wunsch L 2005 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	21.0%	11.4%	1.9%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	175	79
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	77
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	76
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	75
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	75
Brandon Mann L 2017 · 4.24 FIP	33	SU	4.24	19.8%	11.3%	2.5%	.286	3.59	17.8%	6.4%	52	-0.65	3.59	190	74
Doug Creek L 2002 · 4.99 FIP	33	SU	4.99	21.4%	12.6%	3.8%	.288	5.79	17.1%	7.9%	36	+0.80	4.48	277	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	72
Ryan Sherriff L 2023 · 3.78 FIP	33	SU	3.78	21.9%	11.0%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	245	71
Scott Sauerbeck L 2005 · 3.75 FIP	33	SU	3.75	22.3%	8.9%	2.5%	.298	5.05	14.0%	0.0%	25	+1.30	2.79	386	70
Hideki Okajima L 2009 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	20.5%	7.0%	3.1%	.268	4.27	15.5%	8.5%	46	+0.32	3.05	238	70
Brian Moran L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	21.7%	7.0%	3.7%	.304	3.72	21.5%	14.5%	152	-0.48	1.80	421	70
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	68
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	67
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	66
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	66
Tom Martin L 2003 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	24.3%	9.5%	2.9%	.226	3.99	16.2%	8.6%	106	+0.17	3.40	303	65
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	64
James Jones L 2022 · 3.58 FIP	33	SU	3.58	25.3%	20.7%	0.0%	.265	4.67	13.7%	2.2%	22	+1.09	3.58	127	63
Scott Rice L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	33	SU	3.67	22.9%	17.2%	0.6%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	63