Daniel Missaki P Frisco RoughRiders
Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
K%20.6%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
K: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +4.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: -0.02 (67 IP)-0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201519AClinton LumberKings66341333450100%5.718.9%4.4%14.5%0.0%3.412.06
201519AClinton LumberKings66341333450100%5.725.6%3.8%21.8%0.0%3.411.56
202428MIX3 levels20133140442345%1.626.7%18.2%8.6%4.9%4.685.85
202428MIX3 levels20133140442345%1.631.4%16.4%15.0%2.9%4.684.11
202529AAFrisco RoughRiders308743328330727%2.520.2%9.9%10.3%2.7%4.384.11
202529AAFrisco RoughRiders308743328330727%2.525.0%9.0%16.0%2.1%4.383.30
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBTEX65068287593190%1.020.6%10.8%9.8%3.0%4.744.74-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBTEX60063267552990%1.120.5%11.0%9.5%3.2%4.824.90-0.2
202832MLBTEX56059247502890%1.020.3%11.2%9.0%3.4%4.965.08-0.4
202731MLBTEX190208417930%1.120.5%11.0%9.5%3.2%4.824.90-0.1
202832MLBTEX29030127261440%1.020.3%11.2%9.0%3.4%4.965.08-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career48050211432370%1.020.4%11.1%9.2%3.4%4.904.63-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084417292280%1.120.4%11.1%9.2%3.4%4.904.63+1.8
Career5615141605130641627%2.521.5%10.6%10.8%2.6%4.214.06+2.2
/ 200 IP7921200858184912227%2.521.5%10.6%10.8%2.6%4.214.06+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Daniel Missaki (OGILVIE) 4.74 20.6%10.8%3.0% 4.99 20.4%9.3%122 +0.25
Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 84
Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 81
Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 80
Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 79
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 76
Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP 30 SW 5.08 14.8%7.3%4.2%.311 4.91 16.2%9.1%64 -0.17 3.93 337 74
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 12.4%6.9%2.5%.288 4.99 11.4%1.3%125 +0.71 3.49 212 74
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 74
Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 73
Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 30 SW 4.76 19.6%12.3%3.2%.292 3.91 19.2%10.9%25 -0.85 2.82 536 73
Fredy Quintero R 2025 · 4.48 FIP 29 SW 4.48 14.0%8.7%2.7%.335 4.42 17.2%3.5%43 -0.06 4.23 241 72
Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.47 FIP 30 SW 4.47 13.6%9.3%2.5%.273 3.14 300 71
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 30 SU 4.26 17.0%7.1%3.1%.310 3.62 147 71
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 30 SU 4.66 18.3%10.2%3.3%.245 4.56 23.0%12.4%49 -0.10 1.74 195 71
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 30 SU 4.12 18.2%6.3%3.2%.265 3.74 17.8%10.3%131 -0.38 3.53 365 71
Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP 29 SU 5.81 16.3%13.2%4.4%.352 4.49 215 70
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 70
Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 70
Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 30 SW 4.21 11.4%6.8%2.2%.301 3.27 11.3%4.6%64 -0.94 3.27 171 70
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36320.5%11.0%1.244.83
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20