Nick Anderson
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 36
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.35
FIP4.45
K%21.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p1019.0%
K%
p1016.1%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
SI (1%)
CU (29%)
CH (21%)
FB-1.0 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 9 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 2.2% | 0.75 | 2.07 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 9 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 2.2% | 0.75 | 2.18 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 226 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 17.5% | 1.5% | 2.65 | 2.74 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 226 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.2% | 6.6% | 26.5% | 0.9% | 2.65 | 1.73 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 54 | 200 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 5.6% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 1.89 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 54 | 200 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.5% | 5.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 1.54 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 39 | 4 | 60 | 243 | 88 | 17 | 8 | 10% | 1.5 | 31.9% | 7.3% | 24.5% | 4.8% | 3.30 | 3.96 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 39 | 4 | 60 | 243 | 88 | 17 | 8 | 10% | 1.5 | 36.2% | 7.0% | 29.2% | 3.3% | 3.30 | 2.75 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 68 | 0 | 65 | 264 | 110 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.7% | 5.3% | 36.4% | 3.2% | 3.32 | 2.01 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 68 | 0 | 65 | 264 | 110 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.7% | 5.3% | 36.4% | 3.0% | 3.32 | 1.96 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 19 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 44.8% | 5.2% | 39.7% | 1.8% | 0.55 | 0.97 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 19 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 44.8% | 5.2% | 39.7% | 1.7% | 0.55 | 1.26 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 1 | 19 | 75 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 5% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 4.0% | 18.7% | 5.3% | 4.34 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 1 | 19 | 75 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 5% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 4.0% | 18.7% | 5.3% | 4.34 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.3% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.19 | 6.49 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.2% | 5.2% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 5.19 | 5.93 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 38 | 155 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 6.4% | 19.1% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 2.92 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 38 | 155 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 3.58 | 3.05 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 3.64 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 3.64 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 54 | 238 | 58 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 5.50 | 3.62 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 54 | 238 | 58 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 15 | 0 | 17 | 65 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 2.16 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | OAK | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 51 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 74 | 306 | 67 | 25 | 9 | — | — | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 3.86 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 6 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 21.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.07 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 5.03 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.44 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.85 | — |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 5.03 | 5.28 | — |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.44 | 5.71 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 0 | 179 | 727 | 217 | 46 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 6.3% | 23.6% | 3.3% | 3.47 | 3.18 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 0 | 200 | 812 | 242 | 51 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 6.3% | 23.6% | 3.3% | 3.47 | 3.18 | +5.2 | ||
| Career | — | 404 | 5 | 451 | 1824 | 496 | 119 | 54 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 3.0% | 3.17 | 3.26 | +11.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 2 | 200 | 808 | 220 | 53 | 24 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 3.0% | 3.17 | 3.26 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.24 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 129 | +0.79 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 74 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 72 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.78 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.78 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 197 | 71 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 71 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.86 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .295 | 5.60 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.74 | 2.61 | 339 | 70 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 70 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 69 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 69 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.51 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .347 | 5.90 | 19.1% | 2.3% | 22 | +2.39 | 2.19 | 426 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 68 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 68 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 67 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 67 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 66 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 66 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 66 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 66 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 65 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 19.5% | 9.1% | 1.42 | 4.80 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |