Nick Anderson
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.1
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.26
FIP4.43
xFIP4.28
SIERA4.10
K%21.8%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%13.7%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p1019.0%
K%
p1016.1%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
SI (1%)
CU (29%)
CH (21%)
FB-1.0 (49%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 9 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.75 | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 42 | 0 | 58 | 226 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 2.65 | 2.64 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 44 | 0 | 54 | 200 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 22.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 1.89 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 39 | 4 | 60 | 243 | 88 | 17 | 8 | 31.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.30 | 3.55 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 68 | 0 | 65 | 264 | 110 | 14 | 8 | 41.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 1.97 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 19 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 44.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.55 | 0.98 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 19 | 1 | 19 | 75 | 17 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 4.34 | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 19 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 15.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 5.19 | 6.66 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 38 | 0 | 38 | 155 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 25.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 3.58 | 2.87 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 42 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 19.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 3.64 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 50 | 0 | 54 | 238 | 58 | 17 | 8 | 21.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.50 | 3.94 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | OAK | 18 | — | 18 | 77 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 24 | 95 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 21.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 3.28 | 3.40 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 394 | 5 | 441 | 1777 | 486 | 114 | 51 | 27.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.17 | 3.17 | +10.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 2 | 200 | 807 | 221 | 52 | 23 | 27.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.17 | 3.17 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | — | 4.68 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 72 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 70 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 70 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.78 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 5.73 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.95 | 2.41 | 339 | 69 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 69 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.64 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 404 | 69 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 69 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 68 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 68 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 67 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 67 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 66 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 66 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 66 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 66 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 65 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 65 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 65 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 65 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.