Ronald Herrera
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 31
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%23.4%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.3%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 146 | 619 | 104 | 42 | 10 | 96% | 5.6 | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.60 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 146 | 619 | 104 | 42 | 10 | 96% | 5.6 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 4.08 | 3.43 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 137 | 573 | 131 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 3.94 | 3.50 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 137 | 573 | 131 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 1.7% | 3.94 | 2.97 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 14 | 78 | 304 | 60 | 16 | 5 | 88% | 4.9 | 16.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 2.07 | 3.21 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 14 | 78 | 304 | 60 | 16 | 5 | 88% | 4.9 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 14.5% | 1.6% | 2.07 | 3.01 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 17 | 80 | 373 | 61 | 21 | 21 | 81% | 3.8 | 13.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.73 | 5.68 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 17 | 80 | 373 | 61 | 21 | 21 | 81% | 3.8 | 16.4% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 7.73 | 5.76 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 131 | 544 | 117 | 36 | 18 | 96% | 5.2 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 4.67 | 4.59 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 131 | 544 | 117 | 36 | 18 | 96% | 5.2 | 21.5% | 6.6% | 14.9% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 5 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.3% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 1.0% | 4.81 | 2.63 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 5 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 28.7% | 6.9% | 21.8% | 1.0% | 4.81 | 2.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.8 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33% | 3.1 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 4.93 | 4.82 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 23 | 200 | 873 | 194 | 86 | 43 | 34% | 3.0 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 4.93 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 109 | 597 | 2514 | 403 | 175 | 75 | 93% | 5.1 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.26 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 843 | 135 | 59 | 25 | 93% | 5.1 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronald Herrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.51 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 73 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 72 |
| Tyler Herron R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.67 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | .280 | 3.52 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.15 | 2.68 | 186 | 70 |
| Yu Darvish R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.36 | 27.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% | .282 | 3.50 | 30.5% | 24.0% | 421 | -0.86 | 1.91 | 1,253 | 70 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 69 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 68 |
| Matt Shoemaker R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.24 | 25.4% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.86 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 188 | +1.62 | 3.24 | 592 | 68 |
| Garrett Richards R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.09 | 26.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.36 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 188 | +0.27 | 2.34 | 577 | 65 |
| Logan Duran R 2028 · 3.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.36 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 0.6% | .287 | 3.91 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 95 | +0.55 | 3.36 | 187 | 64 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 64 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.47 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | .273 | 3.53 | 23.2% | 16.7% | 539 | +0.06 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 63 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.79 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 63 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 62 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.20 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .296 | 5.09 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 89 | +0.89 | 4.20 | 166 | 62 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .313 | 4.83 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | -0.13 | 4.83 | 294 | 62 |
| Nate Karns R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.43 | 27.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 287 | 62 |
| Rick Porcello R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.14 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 1,023 | 61 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 60 |