Ronald Herrera — OGILVIE

Ronald Herrera P Harrisburg Senators

Age 31 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%23.4%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	146	619	104	42	10	96%	5.6	13.2%	7.7%	5.5%	2.4%	4.08	4.27	—
2015	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	146	619	104	42	10	96%	5.6	16.8%	6.8%	10.0%	1.6%	4.08	3.43	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	137	573	131	38	10	100%	5.7	18.1%	7.0%	11.1%	1.9%	3.94	3.52	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	137	573	131	38	10	100%	5.7	22.9%	6.6%	16.2%	1.7%	3.94	2.97	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	16	14	78	304	60	16	5	88%	4.9	16.1%	6.3%	9.9%	1.2%	2.07	3.18	+1.7
2017	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	16	14	78	304	60	16	5	88%	4.9	19.7%	5.3%	14.5%	1.6%	2.07	3.01	+1.8
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	80	373	61	21	21	81%	3.8	13.6%	6.1%	7.5%	5.9%	7.73	5.94	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	80	373	61	21	21	81%	3.8	16.4%	5.6%	10.7%	5.6%	7.73	5.76	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	131	544	117	36	18	96%	5.2	17.4%	7.0%	10.3%	3.7%	4.67	4.55	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	131	544	117	36	18	96%	5.2	21.5%	6.6%	14.9%	3.3%	4.67	3.92	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	5	5	24	101	29	7	1	100%	4.9	23.3%	7.6%	15.6%	1.1%	4.81	2.69	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	5	5	24	101	29	7	1	100%	4.9	23.3%	7.6%	15.6%	1.1%	4.81	2.69	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	5	5	24	101	29	7	1	100%	4.9	28.7%	6.9%	21.8%	1.0%	4.81	2.11	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	3	14	3	1	1	0%	1.5	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	7.1%	6.00	6.43	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	WSH	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	23.4%	8.8%	14.6%	3.0%	4.24	4.24	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	WSH	3	3	20	84	19	8	3	100%	6.7	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.39	4.48	+0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	WSH	1	1	6	25	6	2	1	100%	6.0	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.39	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	1	9	40	9	3	2	33%	3.1	22.4%	8.5%	13.9%	4.6%	4.91	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		66	23	200	873	194	65	43	34%	3.0	22.4%	8.5%	13.9%	4.6%	4.91	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		117	109	597	2514	403	175	72	93%	5.1	16.0%	7.0%	9.1%	2.9%	4.43	4.21	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		39	37	200	843	135	59	24	93%	5.1	16.0%	7.0%	9.1%	2.9%	4.43	4.21	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronald Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	23.4%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.9%	13.7%	20	+0.24	—	—	—
Ricky Nolasco R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	32	SP	3.22	20.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.382	4.41	17.9%	11.7%	379	+1.19	3.22	425	74
Jair Jurrjens R 2017 · 4.27 FIP	31	SP	4.27	16.3%	7.9%	2.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	125	72
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	70
Brandon Morrow R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	31	SP	3.54	18.3%	5.6%	2.3%	.280	3.49	21.2%	14.8%	153	-0.05	2.67	186	70
Tyler Herron R 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SP	4.02	16.4%	8.7%	2.2%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	117	70
Hector Ambriz R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	32	SP	3.63	16.0%	6.4%	2.0%	.273	6.40	10.4%	2.9%	91	+2.77	3.63	155	70
André Rienzo R 2019 · 5.33 FIP	31	SP	5.33	17.9%	11.8%	4.1%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	200	68
Logan Duran R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	33	SP	3.42	15.8%	10.0%	0.7%	.287	3.77	15.3%	6.4%	95	+0.35	3.42	187	64
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	63
Dennis O'Grady R 2019 · 3.62 FIP	30	SP	3.62	17.2%	8.1%	1.7%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	63
Guillermo Moscoso R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	33	SP	3.77	14.5%	6.9%	1.8%	.270	4.64	14.9%	7.5%	176	+0.87	3.77	264	62
Tim Lincecum R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SP	4.20	18.0%	10.8%	2.3%	.296	5.02	17.4%	6.3%	89	+0.82	4.20	166	62
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	61
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	60
Chris Bassitt R 2020 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP	3.53	21.1%	6.5%	2.5%	.273	3.54	23.2%	16.7%	539	+0.01	3.02	1,554	59
Bryan Evans R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	31	SP	4.87	18.7%	4.7%	5.0%	.294	3.89	18.7%	8.3%	25	-0.98	3.89	231	59
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	58
Jose Samayoa R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP	4.05	19.4%	7.0%	3.1%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	262	58
Kameron Loe R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	34	SP	3.84	11.9%	5.3%	2.0%	.356	3.38	17.1%	9.1%	133	-0.46	3.38	201	58
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	57