Trey Wingenter

P Iowa Cubs

Age 33 RHP 6'7" / 237 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	27	ROKSD	3	1	3	0.00	0.10	54.5%	9.1%	—	K 54.5% · BB 9.1% · FIP -0.35
2023	29	MIX3 levels	41	2	39	6.52	3.51	29.3%	12.6%	0.5	K 27.1% · BB 10.1% · FIP 3.58
2024	30	MIX2 levels	45	0	57	3.97	3.17	32.3%	10.0%	0.9	K 30.9% · BB 9.0% · FIP 2.98
2027PROJ	33	MLBCHC	51	0	54	3.95	3.89	28.1%	9.0%	0.4
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBCHC	3	0	3	4.14	4.24	26.8%	9.5%	0.0
2029PROJ1% MLB	35	MLBCHC	—	—	0	4.40	4.58	25.5%	10.1%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff71Control35Command62FB velo57

CompsHirokazu Sawamura (age 33) · Joe Nelson (age 33) · Jim Henderson (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10799vR 91

ERA3.95

FIP3.89

K%28.1%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%19.1%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL3535

CMD6060

K†6565

SL-1.1 (45%)

FB-2.0 (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	6	0	10	44	5	3	0	0%	1.6	11.4%	6.8%	4.5%	0.0%	2.79	3.00	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	6	0	10	44	5	3	0	0%	1.6	11.4%	6.8%	4.5%	0.0%	2.79	3.00	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	58	229	65	20	0	0%	1.5	19.9%	11.0%	8.9%	0.0%	1.70	2.81	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	58	229	65	20	0	0%	1.5	28.4%	8.7%	19.7%	0.0%	1.70	1.90	—
2017	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	49	0	48	194	64	19	6	0%	1.0	26.7%	10.8%	15.9%	3.9%	2.45	4.38	—
2017	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	49	0	48	194	64	19	6	0%	1.0	33.0%	9.8%	23.2%	3.1%	2.45	3.25	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	63	268	80	35	7	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.5%	14.0%	2.7%	3.55	3.95	+0.4
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	63	268	80	35	7	0%	1.0	29.9%	13.1%	16.8%	2.6%	3.55	3.67	+0.7
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	1	55	235	80	29	6	2%	1.0	33.0%	12.8%	20.2%	2.2%	5.89	3.17	+0.9
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	1	55	235	80	29	6	2%	1.0	34.0%	12.3%	21.7%	2.6%	5.89	3.19	+0.9
2021	27	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	3	1	3	11	6	1	0	33%	1.0	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.35	—
2021	27	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	3	1	3	11	6	1	0	33%	1.0	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	2	39	174	51	22	4	5%	0.9	27.1%	10.1%	17.0%	2.7%	6.52	3.58	+0.4
2023	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	2	39	174	51	22	4	5%	0.9	29.3%	12.6%	16.7%	2.3%	6.52	3.51	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	30.9%	9.0%	21.8%	2.4%	3.97	2.98	+1.1
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	30.9%	9.0%	21.8%	2.4%	3.97	2.98	+1.1
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	32.3%	10.0%	22.3%	2.8%	3.97	3.17	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	1	95	417	127	50	12	1%	1.0	30.5%	12.0%	18.5%	2.9%	5.66	3.65	+1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	CHC	51	0	54	228	64	21	7	0%	1.1	28.1%	9.0%	19.1%	3.0%	3.95	3.89	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	CHC	46	0	49	206	55	20	7	0%	1.1	26.8%	9.5%	17.2%	3.3%	4.14	4.24	+0.2
2029	35	MLB MLE	CHC	42	0	44	185	47	19	7	0%	1.0	25.5%	10.1%	15.5%	3.6%	4.40	4.58	-0.0
2028	34	MLB CTX	CHC	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	26.8%	9.5%	17.2%	3.3%	4.14	4.24	+0.0
2029	35	MLB CTX	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.5%	10.1%	15.5%	3.6%	4.40	4.58	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		100	1	98	430	130	51	12	1%	1.0	30.3%	11.9%	18.4%	2.9%	5.62	3.63	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		203	2	200	874	264	104	24	1%	1.0	30.3%	11.9%	18.4%	2.9%	5.62	3.63	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		300	4	332	1406	384	157	31	1%	1.1	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	2.2%	3.82	3.41	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		181	2	200	846	231	94	19	1%	1.1	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	2.2%	3.82	3.41	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey Wingenter (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.89	28.1%	9.0%	3.0%	—	4.40	26.2%	16.4%	92	+0.51	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	84
Joe Nelson R 2008 · 3.08 FIP	33	SU	3.08	26.1%	7.8%	2.2%	.252	5.35	19.8%	5.5%	40	+2.27	3.08	139	83
Jim Henderson R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	33	SU	4.55	25.8%	9.0%	4.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	167	80
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	77
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.54	21.9%	11.8%	195	+0.02	3.08	370	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	74
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	73
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	4.97	21.2%	10.4%	88	+1.93	2.79	239	72
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	72
Scott McGough R 2023 · 4.57 FIP	33	SU	4.57	28.6%	9.3%	4.9%	.266	4.23	19.4%	9.4%	126	-0.34	3.55	429	72
Blake Parker R 2018 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	25.4%	6.5%	4.3%	.290	4.12	24.9%	16.5%	121	+0.00	2.52	406	71
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	70
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	70
Marcos Mateo R 2015 · 3.12 FIP	31	SU	3.12	28.0%	8.0%	2.5%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	70
Akinori Otsuka R 2005 · 3.05 FIP	33	SU	3.05	21.7%	9.4%	1.1%	.278	2.59	19.4%	14.2%	92	-0.46	2.39	232	70
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	70
Brendan Donnelly R 2004 · 3.05 FIP	33	SU	3.05	32.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.302	3.88	19.0%	11.8%	150	+0.83	2.23	385	69
Dale Thayer R 2014 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	23.4%	4.9%	3.3%	.243	4.34	15.8%	8.8%	38	+0.78	2.75	239	68
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	67
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2001 · 2.79 FIP	33	SU	2.79	23.8%	3.4%	2.3%	.228	2.95	25.8%	18.5%	94	+0.16	2.76	223	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	60	28.3%	10.5%	1.21	4.75
Colin Poche ('25)	1.1	54	26.7%	10.2%	1.32	4.01
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Michael Feliz ('22)	1.2	50	29.9%	9.9%	1.55	5.29
Mike Stanton ('75-'85, 0 WAR*)	1.9	64	27.8%*	10.8%*	0.80*	4.82*
Buddy Schultz ('75-'79, 2 WAR*)	1.2	60	27.4%*	8.5%*	1.21*	4.14*