Tejay Antone

P Cincinnati Reds

Age 33 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MLBCIN	4	2	4.50	7.10	18.2%	36.4%	-0.1
2025	31	MIX3 levels	15	15	10.20	4.63	18.8%	11.2%	—	K 18.8% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.31
2026	32	MIX2 levels	70	67	2.96	3.06	25.4%	7.4%	1.2	K 24.4% · BB 6.4% · FIP 3.16
2027PROJ	33	MLBCIN	63	66	3.73	3.79	25.9%	7.1%	0.6
2028PROJ95% MLB	34	MLBCIN	54	57	3.95	4.10	25.0%	7.6%	0.3
2029PROJ91% MLB	35	MLBCIN	47	49	4.24	4.43	24.0%	8.2%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%67

xwOBA vs65

K%61

FB Velo57

CompsTim Dillard (age 33) · Tony Barnette (age 33) · Joe Nelson (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10294vR 85

ERA3.73

FIP3.79

K%25.9%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%18.8%

Proj IP66

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5795.0

Whiff%

p6727.9%

p6124.3%

xwOBA vs

p650.297

FB (60%)

SI (24%)

CU (15%)

SL (26%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	26	26	158	654	101	33	2	100%	6.1	11.4%	6.0%	5.5%	0.4%	2.91	3.09	—
2015	21	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	26	26	158	654	101	33	2	100%	6.1	15.4%	5.0%	10.4%	0.3%	2.91	2.61	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	156	662	110	31	16	100%	6.0	12.6%	5.0%	7.6%	2.9%	3.45	4.28	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	156	662	110	31	16	100%	6.0	16.6%	4.7%	11.9%	2.4%	3.45	3.62	—
2018	24	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	17	17	96	409	82	29	6	100%	5.6	15.4%	8.2%	7.3%	1.7%	4.03	3.78	—
2018	24	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	17	17	96	409	82	29	6	100%	5.6	20.0%	7.1%	13.0%	1.5%	4.03	3.11	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	146	635	133	51	11	96%	5.4	17.7%	8.6%	9.1%	2.0%	4.00	3.81	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	26	146	635	133	51	11	96%	5.4	20.9%	8.0%	12.9%	1.7%	4.00	3.31	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	13	4	35	141	45	16	4	31%	2.7	31.9%	11.3%	20.6%	2.6%	2.80	3.28	+0.5
2020	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	13	4	35	141	45	16	4	31%	2.7	31.9%	11.3%	20.6%	2.8%	2.80	3.38	+0.5
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	40	154	52	16	4	0%	1.3	32.8%	10.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.23	2.81	+0.8
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	40	154	52	16	4	0%	1.3	33.8%	10.4%	23.4%	2.6%	2.23	3.00	+0.7
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	3	19	80	20	7	2	16%	1.0	18.2%	8.7%	9.5%	2.0%	3.79	3.76	+0.2
2023	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	3	19	80	20	7	2	16%	1.0	25.0%	8.8%	16.2%	2.5%	3.79	3.47	+0.2
2024	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	4	0	2	11	2	4	0	0%	0.5	18.2%	36.4%	-18.2%	0.0%	4.50	6.17	-0.0
2024	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	4	0	2	11	2	4	0	0%	0.5	18.2%	36.4%	-18.2%	0.0%	4.50	6.17	-0.0
2024	30	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	4	0	2	11	2	4	0	0%	0.5	18.2%	36.4%	-18.2%	0.0%	4.50	7.10	-0.1
2025	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	0	15	80	15	9	2	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.2%	7.5%	2.5%	10.20	4.31	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	0	15	80	15	9	2	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.2%	7.5%	2.5%	10.20	4.31	—
2025	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	0	15	80	15	9	2	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.2%	7.5%	2.5%	10.20	4.63	—
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	70	0	67	283	72	21	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	6.4%	17.9%	2.4%	2.96	3.16	+1.1
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	70	0	67	283	72	21	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	6.4%	17.9%	2.4%	2.96	3.16	+1.1
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	70	0	67	283	72	21	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	7.4%	18.0%	2.1%	2.96	3.06	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			103	5	132	535	153	50	13	5%	1.3	28.6%	9.3%	19.3%	2.4%	2.73	3.20	+2.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	CIN	63	0	66	279	72	20	8	0%	1.0	25.9%	7.1%	18.8%	2.9%	3.73	3.79	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	CIN	57	0	60	254	63	19	8	0%	1.1	25.0%	7.6%	17.4%	3.2%	3.95	4.10	+0.3
2029	35	MLB MLE	CIN	51	0	54	228	55	19	8	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.2%	15.9%	3.6%	4.24	4.43	+0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	CIN	54	0	57	241	60	18	8	0%	1.1	25.0%	7.6%	17.4%	3.2%	3.95	4.10	+0.3
2029	35	MLB CTX	CIN	47	0	49	207	50	17	7	0%	1.0	24.0%	8.2%	15.9%	3.6%	4.24	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		204	5	238	983	263	85	28	2%	1.2	26.8%	8.7%	18.1%	2.9%	3.34	3.51	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		172	4	200	827	221	71	24	2%	1.2	26.8%	8.7%	18.1%	2.9%	3.34	3.51	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		247	102	735	3109	530	230	59	41%	3.0	17.1%	7.4%	9.7%	1.9%	3.52	3.64	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	28	200	846	144	63	16	41%	3.0	17.1%	7.4%	9.7%	1.9%	3.52	3.64	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tejay Antone (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.79	25.9%	7.1%	2.9%	—	4.26	24.5%	16.7%	114	+0.47	—	—	—
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	2.92	432	66
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	63
Joe Nelson R 2008 · 3.08 FIP	33	SU	3.08	26.1%	7.8%	2.2%	.252	5.35	19.8%	5.5%	40	+2.27	3.08	139	62
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	61
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	60
Giovanni Carrara R 2001 · 4.06 FIP	33	SU	4.06	20.1%	6.0%	3.5%	.249	4.28	15.7%	7.9%	173	+0.22	2.50	462	59
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	59
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	59
Jim Henderson R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	33	SU	4.55	25.8%	9.0%	4.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	167	58
Jim Miller R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	18.8%	4.1%	3.5%	.275	5.43	20.4%	6.3%	17	+1.48	3.95	140	58
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	58
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	58
Dale Thayer R 2014 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	23.4%	4.9%	3.3%	.243	4.34	15.8%	8.8%	38	+0.78	2.75	239	58
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	4.97	21.2%	10.4%	88	+1.93	2.79	239	57
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	57
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.54	21.9%	11.8%	195	+0.02	3.08	370	57
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	57
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	56
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	56
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2001 · 2.79 FIP	33	SU	2.79	23.8%	3.4%	2.3%	.228	2.95	25.8%	18.5%	94	+0.16	2.76	223	56

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	52	26.5%	8.5%	1.12	3.44
Kazuhiro Sasaki ('03)	1.1	56	26.2%	8.3%	0.97	3.14
Blake Parker ('21)	1.7	58	26.7%	7.9%	1.30	3.47
Andrew Bailey ('17)	1.4	55	24.7%	8.2%	0.95	3.12
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Joe Hoerner ('63-'77, 8 WAR*)	2.8	51	23.2%*	7.9%*	1.21*	3.52*