Ty Blach P Iowa Cubs
Age 35 LHP 6'1" / 215 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130139vR 148
ERA5.20
FIP5.08
K%12.2%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%5.8%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
K: -6.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-7KBB: +1.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -4.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +14.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+15STAMTotal WAR: +0.50 (109 IP)+0.5WAR
-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.8262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†3030
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.1
Whiff%
p1014.8%
K%
p1010.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.402
SI (16%)
CU (11%)
SL-0.7 (14%)
CH-5.8 (25%)
FB-17.0 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201524AAASacramento River Cats2727165699933116100%6.111.7%4.7%7.1%2.6%4.464.13
201524AAASacramento River Cats2727165699933116100%6.113.3%4.4%8.9%2.3%4.463.80
201625MIX2 levels3028180717123431093%6.015.3%6.3%9.0%1.3%3.213.34+4.3
201625MIX2 levels3028180717123431093%6.017.2%6.0%11.2%1.4%3.213.17+4.7
201726MLBSan Francisco Giants342416469273411771%4.810.5%5.9%4.6%2.7%4.784.43+1.9
201726MLBSan Francisco Giants342416469273411771%4.810.5%5.9%4.6%2.5%4.784.31+2.1
201827MLBSan Francisco Giants47131195127537828%2.514.6%7.2%7.4%1.7%4.253.71+2.3
201827MLBSan Francisco Giants47131195127537828%2.514.6%7.2%7.4%1.6%4.253.65+2.4
201928MIX2 levels262212358790442385%4.713.9%7.7%6.2%4.9%7.745.59-0.3
201928MIX2 levels262212358790442385%4.715.3%7.5%7.8%3.9%7.745.14+0.4
202130MIX2 levels16152281231094%1.418.2%2.1%16.1%0.0%1.231.83
202130MIX2 levels16152281231094%1.428.4%1.2%27.2%0.0%1.231.15
202231MIX2 levels39280351491775%2.113.3%5.0%8.3%1.7%5.273.55+1.3
202231MIX2 levels39280351491775%2.114.0%4.8%9.1%2.0%5.273.65+1.3
202332MIX2 levels311810948577321758%3.515.2%6.7%8.5%2.8%5.224.18+1.5
202332MIX2 levels311810948577321758%3.515.9%6.6%9.3%3.5%5.224.60+1.0
202433MIX2 levels322111249660242466%3.511.5%4.9%6.6%3.9%5.934.90+0.7
202433MIX2 levels322111249660242466%3.512.1%4.8%7.3%4.8%5.935.45-0.1
202534MIX2 levels12125624148135100%4.715.7%6.1%9.6%3.0%3.544.17
202534MIX2 levels12125624148135100%4.719.9%5.4%14.5%2.1%3.543.24
▸ 2026 Season
202635MLBChicago Cubs148532353920757%3.814.4%9.3%5.1%3.4%5.644.93-0.2
ROS35MLBCHC995623729158100%6.212.2%6.4%5.8%3.3%5.205.08-0.3
ROS35MLBCHC995623629158100%6.212.2%6.4%5.8%3.4%5.225.10-0.4
2026 TOT35MLBCHC10947268351514.4%7.5%7.0%3.2%5.415.01+0.5
2026 FULL35MLBCHC5925068351527.3%14.1%13.1%6.0%9.985.88-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736MLBCHC885222125168100%6.511.2%7.0%4.2%3.7%5.355.45-0.6
202837MLBCHC774619320158100%6.510.1%7.7%2.5%4.1%5.655.85-0.7
202938MLBCHC663916617148100%6.510.0%8.4%1.6%4.6%5.986.20-0.8
202736MLBCHC885222025158100%6.511.2%7.0%4.2%3.7%5.385.48-0.6
202837MLBCHC774619420158100%6.610.1%7.7%2.5%4.2%5.685.88-0.7
202938MLBCHC663916516148100%6.510.0%8.4%1.6%4.6%6.016.23-0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career188101716310538521010254%3.812.4%6.8%5.6%3.3%5.434.71+5.8
/ 200 IP5228200867108592854%3.812.4%6.8%5.6%3.3%5.434.71+1.6
Career3081901183509668531313862%3.813.4%6.1%7.3%2.7%4.854.23+16.2
/ 200 IP5232200862116532362%3.813.4%6.1%7.3%2.7%4.854.23+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ty Blach (OGILVIE) 5.08 12.2%6.4%3.3% 5.80 10.5%2.9%137 +0.72
Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.84 FIP 36 SP- 3.84 19.4%8.5%2.4%.312 3.84 101 68
Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.15 FIP 37 SP- 4.15 13.6%9.9%1.7%.287 4.15 149 64
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2024 · 4.11 FIP 33 SP- 4.11 17.7%8.2%2.7%.266 3.68 146 61
Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.86 FIP 34 SP 5.86 11.3%7.9%4.9%.322 7.02 8.9%1.4%57 +1.16 4.35 327 60
Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP 35 SP 4.40 12.2%10.4%1.8%.264 4.40 249 59
Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.65 FIP 36 SP 4.65 18.1%8.3%3.7%.339 4.65 109 56
Clayton Richard L 2026 · 5.77 FIP 35 SP 5.77 10.9%9.0%4.5%.289 3.58 574 56
Eric Stults L 2026 · 4.25 FIP 35 SP 4.25 14.5%5.9%2.9%.266 4.25 138 56
Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 4.24 FIP 34 SP 4.24 10.3%5.4%2.4%.342 5.22 12.2%5.4%117 +0.98 4.24 445 55
Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 35 SP 4.00 10.7%7.2%1.6%.309 5.36 9.8%2.0%42 +1.36 3.85 237 54
Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 5.99 FIP 35 SP 5.99 12.6%7.8%5.4%.276 4.57 16.2%9.4%84 -1.42 3.53 609 54
Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.63 FIP 35 SP 4.63 11.2%6.7%3.0%.337 5.23 19.6%11.5%119 +0.60 4.40 408 53
Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.34 FIP 35 SP 4.34 17.3%10.1%2.6%.315 4.01 19.9%11.2%107 -0.33 3.68 405 51
Andrew Albers L 2026 · 4.45 FIP 35 SP 4.45 16.9%3.7%4.2%.312 3.01 508 49
Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.05 FIP 34 SP 4.05 22.0%7.8%3.3%.329 3.82 426 48
Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.74 FIP 34 SP 4.74 20.8%7.8%4.4%.329 2.87 391 48
Jason Vargas L 2026 · 4.71 FIP 35 SP 4.71 20.8%7.2%4.5%.300 4.39 19.1%9.7%150 -0.32 3.87 478 47
Barry Zito L 2028 · 4.80 FIP 37 SP 4.80 13.6%10.7%2.7%.259 4.80 138 46
Marlon Arias L 2025 · 5.09 FIP 34 SP 5.09 19.8%11.2%4.1%.273 3.89 154 44
CC Sabathia L 2026 · 4.30 FIP 35 SP 4.30 18.9%6.5%3.6%.311 3.96 20.1%12.1%481 -0.34 3.75 756 38

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44911.0%7.3%1.495.50
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Odrisamer Despaigne ('18)46313.5%8.1%0.965.54
Josh Fleming ('24)55114.6%7.5%1.174.77
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86