Ty Blach — OGILVIE

Ty Blach P Iowa Cubs

Age 35 LHP 6'1" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127135vR 143

ERA5.25

FIP5.15

K%11.9%

BB%6.1%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.1

Whiff%

p1014.8%

p1010.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.402

SI (16%)

CU (11%)

SL-0.7 (14%)

CH-5.8 (25%)

FB-17.0 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	27	27	165	699	93	31	16	100%	6.1	11.7%	4.7%	7.1%	2.6%	4.46	4.11	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	27	27	165	699	93	31	16	100%	6.1	13.3%	4.4%	8.9%	2.3%	4.46	3.80	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	180	717	123	43	10	93%	6.0	15.3%	6.3%	9.0%	1.4%	3.21	3.39	+3.4
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	180	717	123	43	10	93%	6.0	17.2%	6.0%	11.2%	1.4%	3.21	3.17	+3.9
2017	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	34	24	164	692	73	41	17	71%	4.8	10.5%	5.9%	4.6%	2.7%	4.78	4.42	+0.9
2017	26	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	34	24	164	692	73	41	17	71%	4.8	10.5%	5.9%	4.6%	2.5%	4.78	4.31	+1.1
2018	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	47	13	119	512	75	37	8	28%	2.5	14.6%	7.2%	7.4%	1.7%	4.25	3.71	+1.2
2018	27	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	47	13	119	512	75	37	8	28%	2.5	14.6%	7.2%	7.4%	1.6%	4.25	3.65	+1.3
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	123	587	90	44	23	85%	4.7	13.9%	7.7%	6.2%	4.4%	7.74	5.32	-0.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	123	587	90	44	23	85%	4.7	15.3%	7.5%	7.8%	3.9%	7.74	5.14	-0.3
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	15	22	81	23	1	0	94%	1.4	18.2%	2.1%	16.1%	0.0%	1.23	1.83	—
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	15	22	81	23	1	0	94%	1.4	28.4%	1.2%	27.2%	0.0%	1.23	1.15	—
2022	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	2	80	351	49	17	7	5%	2.1	13.3%	5.0%	8.3%	1.9%	5.27	3.65	+0.9
2022	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	2	80	351	49	17	7	5%	2.1	14.0%	4.8%	9.1%	2.0%	5.27	3.65	+0.9
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	109	485	77	32	17	58%	3.5	14.9%	6.4%	8.5%	3.2%	5.22	4.39	+0.6
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	18	109	485	77	32	17	58%	3.5	14.9%	6.4%	8.5%	3.2%	5.22	4.39	+0.6
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	18	109	485	77	32	17	58%	3.5	15.9%	6.6%	9.3%	3.5%	5.22	4.60	+0.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	21	112	496	60	24	24	66%	3.5	11.3%	4.7%	6.6%	4.5%	5.93	5.19	-0.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	21	112	496	60	24	24	66%	3.5	11.3%	4.7%	6.6%	4.5%	5.93	5.19	-0.4
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	21	112	496	60	24	24	66%	3.5	12.1%	4.8%	7.3%	4.8%	5.93	5.45	-0.7
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	56	241	48	13	5	100%	4.7	14.8%	5.2%	9.6%	2.7%	3.54	3.99	—
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	56	241	48	13	5	100%	4.7	14.8%	5.2%	9.6%	2.7%	3.54	3.99	—
2025	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	12	56	241	48	13	5	100%	4.7	19.9%	5.4%	14.5%	2.1%	3.54	3.24	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			157	70	523	2289	295	151	70	45%	3.3	12.9%	6.6%	6.3%	3.1%	5.39	4.58	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	16	9	61	281	44	24	8	56%	3.8	12.8%	7.9%	4.9%	3.2%	6.05	4.80	—
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	16	9	61	281	44	24	8	56%	3.8	12.8%	7.9%	4.9%	3.2%	6.05	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	AAA RAW	CHC	15	9	58	272	42	24	8	60%	3.9	15.4%	8.8%	6.6%	2.9%	6.36	4.53	—
2026	35	MLB RAW	CHC	1	0	3	9	2	0	0	0%	3.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	CHC	1	0	3	9	2	0	0	0%	3.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
ROS	35	MLB MLE	CHC	1	1	5	21	2	1	1	100%	5.0	11.9%	6.1%	5.8%	3.5%	5.25	5.15	-0.0
ROS	35	MLB CTX	CHC	1	1	5	21	3	1	1	100%	5.0	11.9%	6.1%	5.8%	3.3%	5.18	5.08	-0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	66	302	46	25	9	—	—	15.4%	8.4%	7.0%	2.9%	5.99	4.83	-0.2
FULL	35	MLB A+C	CHC	—	—	8	34	46	25	9	—	—	138.0%	75.0%	63.0%	25.8%	49.47	15.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	CHC	8	8	52	221	24	15	8	100%	6.5	10.8%	6.7%	4.1%	3.8%	5.41	5.52	-0.4
2028	37	MLB MLE	CHC	7	7	46	193	19	14	8	100%	6.5	10.0%	7.3%	2.7%	4.3%	5.71	5.90	-0.5
2029	38	MLB MLE	CHC	6	6	39	166	17	13	8	100%	6.5	10.0%	8.1%	2.0%	4.7%	6.03	6.24	-0.6
2027	36	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	52	220	24	15	8	100%	6.5	10.8%	6.7%	4.1%	3.7%	5.33	5.44	-0.4
2028	37	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	46	194	19	14	8	100%	6.6	10.0%	7.3%	2.7%	4.1%	5.62	5.81	-0.5
2029	38	MLB CTX	CHC	6	6	39	165	16	13	7	100%	6.5	10.0%	8.1%	2.0%	4.5%	5.93	6.14	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	93	665	2889	357	195	94	52%	3.7	12.4%	6.7%	5.6%	3.3%	5.43	4.70	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		54	28	200	869	107	59	28	52%	3.7	12.4%	6.7%	5.6%	3.3%	5.43	4.70	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		310	191	1191	5142	682	309	141	62%	3.8	13.3%	6.0%	7.3%	2.7%	4.87	4.24	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	32	200	863	115	52	24	62%	3.8	13.3%	6.0%	7.3%	2.7%	4.87	4.24	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Blach (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	11.9%	6.1%	3.5%	—	5.85	10.3%	3.0%	137	+0.70	—	—	—
David Huff L 2021 · 6.26 FIP	36	SP-	6.26	14.5%	4.5%	7.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	65
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	63
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	62
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	61
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	249	60
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	56
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	56
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	55
Oscar Rivera L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	35	SP	4.10	10.7%	7.2%	1.8%	.309	5.80	9.8%	2.0%	42	+1.70	3.68	237	54
Jorge De La Rosa L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	35	SP	4.56	17.3%	10.1%	3.0%	.315	4.08	19.9%	11.2%	107	-0.48	3.86	405	53
Jorge Castillo L 2017 · 4.97 FIP	35	SP	4.97	11.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.337	4.91	19.6%	11.5%	119	-0.06	4.50	408	53
Wade LeBlanc L 2020 · 5.91 FIP	35	SP	5.91	12.6%	7.8%	5.3%	.276	4.62	16.2%	9.4%	84	-1.29	3.65	609	52
Clayton Richard L 2019 · 5.77 FIP	35	SP	5.77	10.9%	9.0%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	574	50
Andrew Albers L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	35	SP	4.60	16.9%	3.7%	4.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	508	49
Jason Vargas L 2018 · 4.71 FIP	35	SP	4.71	20.8%	7.2%	4.5%	.300	4.33	19.1%	9.7%	150	-0.38	4.02	478	48
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	47
Orlando Lara L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	34	SP	4.09	22.0%	7.8%	3.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	426	47
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	45
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	43
CC Sabathia L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	35	SP	4.31	18.9%	6.5%	3.6%	.311	3.97	20.1%	12.1%	481	-0.34	3.76	756	38

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	10.8%	6.9%	1.55	5.56
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43