Teddy Stankiewicz
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
+0.3
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.3%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 25 | 25 | 141 | 585 | 77 | 32 | 11 | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 4.54 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 25 | 136 | 569 | 97 | 39 | 16 | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.29 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 23 | 140 | 608 | 107 | 36 | 13 | 14.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 5.03 | 4.11 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 26 | 20 | 150 | 654 | 115 | 42 | 24 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.97 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 24 | 23 | 131 | 561 | 106 | 39 | 26 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.85 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 18 | 14 | 70 | 335 | 49 | 42 | 11 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 7.59 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 55 | 26 | 8 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 52 | 25 | 8 | 21.1% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 48 | 24 | 8 | 20.9% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 44 | 23 | 7 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 143 | 130 | 768 | 3312 | 453 | 249 | 111 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.74 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 34 | 200 | 863 | 118 | 65 | 29 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.74 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Teddy Stankiewicz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.78 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 174 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 89 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 88 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 86 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 85 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 84 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 84 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 84 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 83 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 83 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 83 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 83 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.88 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 3.28 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.60 | 2.80 | 284 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 82 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 227 | 81 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 81 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.99 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 117 | 79 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.60 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.87 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.27 | 3.12 | 352 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.