Teddy Stankiewicz
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 32
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%21.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 25 | 25 | 141 | 585 | 77 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.01 | 4.93 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 25 | 25 | 141 | 585 | 77 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 3.70 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 25 | 136 | 569 | 97 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 5.4 | 13.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 4.71 | 3.95 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 25 | 136 | 569 | 97 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 5.4 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.07 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 23 | 140 | 608 | 107 | 36 | 13 | 92% | 5.6 | 14.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 5.03 | 4.07 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 25 | 23 | 140 | 608 | 107 | 36 | 13 | 92% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 5.03 | 3.55 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 150 | 654 | 115 | 42 | 24 | 77% | 5.8 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 4.51 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 150 | 654 | 115 | 42 | 24 | 77% | 5.8 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 4.97 | 4.48 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 24 | 23 | 131 | 561 | 106 | 39 | 26 | 96% | 5.5 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.85 | 5.22 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 24 | 23 | 131 | 561 | 106 | 39 | 26 | 96% | 5.5 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 3.85 | 4.95 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 70 | 335 | 49 | 42 | 11 | 78% | 3.9 | 12.2% | 13.4% | -1.2% | 3.6% | 7.59 | 5.72 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 70 | 335 | 49 | 42 | 11 | 78% | 3.9 | 14.6% | 12.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.59 | 5.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 45 | 189 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 41 | 174 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.47 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 93 | 31 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 130 | 768 | 3312 | 453 | 249 | 106 | 91% | 5.4 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.65 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 34 | 200 | 863 | 118 | 65 | 28 | 91% | 5.4 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Teddy Stankiewicz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.85 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 41 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 78 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 78 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 76 |
| Matt Shoemaker R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.80 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .181 | 5.05 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 159 | +1.25 | 3.24 | 592 | 74 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 73 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 73 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 72 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 71 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.11 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.66 | 261 | 69 |
| Kyle Gibson R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.83 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 3.9% | .302 | 3.80 | 20.1% | 12.8% | 542 | -1.03 | 3.60 | 1,689 | 69 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.96 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 5.91 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +0.95 | 4.20 | 166 | 69 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.79 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 68 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.78 | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | .245 | 4.06 | 13.6% | 7.2% | 58 | +0.28 | 2.23 | 173 | 67 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.50 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | .272 | 3.20 | 22.8% | 16.0% | 394 | -1.30 | 2.78 | 844 | 67 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.49 | 14.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 205 | 67 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.70 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | .281 | 5.05 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 59 | +1.35 | 3.70 | 162 | 66 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 66 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.01 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .268 | 6.38 | 25.5% | 10.8% | 39 | +2.37 | 3.40 | 330 | 66 |
| Kameron Loe R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.90 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | .356 | 3.47 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 133 | -0.43 | 3.47 | 201 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 1.23 | 4.69 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |