Cole Irvin
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.4
WAR
Age 32
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.72
FIP4.65
xFIP4.78
SIERA4.66
K%18.0%
BB%6.6%
K-BB%11.4%
IP94
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p1017.0%
K%
p1015.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SI (20%)
CU (25%)
CT-0.9 (11%)
SL-2.8 (4%)
CH-6.1 (13%)
FB-7.3 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 24 | 151 | 627 | 118 | 38 | 14 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 3.39 | 3.91 | +2.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 26 | 25 | 161 | 639 | 131 | 34 | 11 | 18.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 2.57 | 3.36 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 33 | 19 | 135 | 582 | 96 | 25 | 20 | 15.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.52 | 4.43 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 17.18 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 32 | 178 | 768 | 125 | 42 | 23 | 16.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 31 | 31 | 186 | 761 | 134 | 33 | 26 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.92 | 4.21 | +2.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 33 | 21 | 127 | 548 | 98 | 30 | 19 | 17.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.28 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 31 | 18 | 118 | 525 | 83 | 34 | 18 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 4.53 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 4 | 4 | 22 | 95 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 2.01 | 3.66 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 94 | 396 | 64 | 26 | 14 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.83 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 116 | 491 | 73 | 35 | 14 | 14.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.60 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 90 | 379 | 59 | 26 | 13 | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.96 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 85 | 360 | 53 | 25 | 13 | 14.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 5.09 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 339 | 48 | 24 | 13 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 5.15 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 49 | 21 | 12 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 218 | 174 | 1083 | 4567 | 743 | 251 | 140 | 16.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.96 | 4.11 | +14.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 46 | 26 | 16.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.96 | 4.11 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Irvin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | — | 5.09 | 14.9% | 7.9% | 255 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Travis Blackley L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .324 | 4.45 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.44 | 3.85 | 225 | 75 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .264 | 5.13 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +0.96 | 4.17 | 327 | 74 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .301 | 4.73 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.06 | 4.33 | 445 | 74 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 4.82 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.33 | 4.49 | 408 | 73 |
| Everett Teaford L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 73 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2028 · 3.71 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.71 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .298 | 4.55 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.84 | 3.71 | 237 | 71 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 311 | 68 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.82 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .316 | 5.24 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.45 | 512 | 68 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.18 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.24 | 16.7% | 8.4% | 92 | -0.94 | 2.79 | 225 | 68 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.40 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .346 | 4.07 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.33 | 3.83 | 426 | 66 |
| Roy Merritt L 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.92 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 129 | 65 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.08 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 65 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.48 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | .288 | 3.77 | 25.2% | 15.4% | 175 | -1.71 | 2.83 | 845 | 65 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 32 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 642 | 65 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.84 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.77 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.93 | 2.89 | 391 | 64 |
| Jaime García L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 540 | 63 |
| Travis Wood L 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.71 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 256 | 62 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 59 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 244 | 58 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.81 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | .268 | 5.12 | 22.6% | 13.0% | 129 | -0.69 | 3.76 | 686 | 58 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.