Cole Irvin
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 32
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION93 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.78
FIP4.94
xFIP4.78
SIERA4.66
K%14.6%
BB%6.6%
K-BB%8.0%
IP94
K†3030
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p1017.0%
K%
p1015.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.366
SI (20%)
CU (25%)
CT-0.9 (11%)
SL-2.8 (4%)
CH-6.1 (13%)
FB-7.3 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 24 | 151 | 627 | 118 | 38 | 14 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 3.39 | 3.77 | +2.9 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 26 | 25 | 161 | 639 | 131 | 34 | 11 | 18.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 2.57 | 3.43 | +3.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 33 | 19 | 135 | 582 | 96 | 25 | 20 | 15.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.52 | 4.86 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 32 | 178 | 768 | 125 | 42 | 23 | 16.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.14 | +2.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 31 | 31 | 186 | 761 | 134 | 33 | 26 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.92 | 4.14 | +2.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 33 | 21 | 127 | 548 | 98 | 30 | 19 | 17.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.26 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 31 | 18 | 118 | 525 | 83 | 34 | 18 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.05 | 4.47 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 13 | 13 | 65 | 288 | 34 | 29 | 4 | 10.4% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 3.46 | 4.40 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 17 | 94 | 396 | 58 | 26 | 13 | 14.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.94 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 159 | 684 | 92 | 55 | 17 | 13.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 4.24 | 4.72 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 50 | 26 | 13 | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 49 | 22 | 13 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.17 | 5.25 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 41 | 22 | 13 | 13.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.42 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 34 | 21 | 12 | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.74 | 5.95 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 227 | 183 | 1125 | 4760 | 765 | 272 | 146 | 16.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 4.15 | +16.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 33 | 200 | 846 | 136 | 48 | 26 | 16.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Irvin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.94 | 14.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | — | 5.34 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 235 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 75 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 75 |
| Travis Blackley L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 74 |
| Everett Teaford L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 73 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.85 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .298 | 4.45 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.60 | 3.85 | 237 | 73 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 72 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 72 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 311 | 69 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.99 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .316 | 5.18 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 185 | +0.19 | 3.47 | 512 | 68 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.30 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .324 | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.4% | 92 | -1.13 | 2.83 | 225 | 67 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.04 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 67 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.45 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .346 | 4.05 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.40 | 3.82 | 426 | 66 |
| Roy Merritt L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 129 | 65 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 32 | SP- | 6.02 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 642 | 65 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.82 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.74 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.92 | 2.87 | 391 | 64 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.49 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | .288 | 3.82 | 25.2% | 15.4% | 175 | -1.67 | 2.82 | 845 | 63 |
| Travis Wood L 2024 · 5.72 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.72 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 256 | 62 |
| Jaime García L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 61 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 59 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 58 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.