Chase De Jong
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 32
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION23 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.61
FIP4.76
xFIP8.08
SIERA6.33
K%21.1%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.1%
IP23
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p1820.8%
K%
p1011.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.416
SL-2.3
FB-5.4
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 24 | 136 | 562 | 129 | 32 | 15 | 17.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.43 | 4.53 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 26 | 26 | 147 | 587 | 133 | 40 | 15 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.82 | 4.23 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 27 | 24 | 141 | 631 | 92 | 50 | 26 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 6.06 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 32 | 30 | 178 | 756 | 136 | 51 | 17 | 15.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 3.65 | 4.39 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 14 | 10 | 46 | 242 | 30 | 29 | 17 | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 10.29 | 8.16 | -2.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 3 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 14.73 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 13 | 13 | 64 | 279 | 67 | 25 | 14 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 5.09 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45 | 2 | 85 | 344 | 78 | 34 | 10 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 2.55 | 4.11 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 30 | 2 | 43 | 202 | 37 | 29 | 7 | 16.5% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 6.33 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 23 | — | 23 | 98 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 215 | 133 | 847 | 3641 | 608 | 311 | 145 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.46 | 4.96 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 31 | 200 | 860 | 144 | 73 | 34 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.46 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase De Jong (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 21.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% | — | 5.04 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 21 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 88 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 86 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 83 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 83 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 83 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 82 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 80 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 79 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 79 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 79 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 78 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 78 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.91 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 78 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 77 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.79 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .265 | 3.93 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.86 | 2.85 | 227 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.