Jeffrey Springs

P Athletics

Age 34 LHP 6'3" / 218 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	31	MIX3 levels	19	19	65	3.88	3.19	26.1%	5.7%	1.4	K 23.8% · BB 5.4% · FIP 3.47
2025	32	MLBOAK	32	30	171	4.11	4.56	19.4%	7.6%	0.7
2026	33	MIX2 levels	30	30	146	6.12	5.80	18.0%	8.8%	-1.5	K 17.8% · BB 9.0% · FIP 5.87
2027PROJ	34	MLBOAK	121	0	127	5.19	5.57	17.8%	8.4%	-1.4
2028PROJ	35	MLBOAK	109	0	114	5.62	5.91	16.8%	9.0%	-1.7
2029PROJ	36	MLBOAK	96	0	101	6.01	6.28	15.8%	9.6%	-1.8

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -4.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%33

xwOBA vs27

K%20

FB Velo10

CompsChris Narveson (age 34) · Tomas Solis (age 34) · Pedro Borbón (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 134

ERA5.19

FIP5.57

K%17.8%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP127

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.3

Whiff%

p3322.9%

p2017.8%

xwOBA vs

p270.339

SL+3.0 (28%)

FB+1.9 (43%)

CH (25%)

CT (4%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	2	0	3	11	6	1	0	0%	1.7	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.35	—
2015	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	2	0	3	11	6	1	0	0%	1.7	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.40	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	80	331	92	29	10	29%	2.6	21.0%	10.1%	10.9%	3.2%	3.73	4.37	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	9	80	331	92	29	10	29%	2.6	27.8%	8.8%	19.0%	3.0%	3.73	3.51	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	31	17	112	472	146	36	13	55%	3.6	23.8%	8.8%	15.0%	3.5%	3.69	4.10	—
2017	24	A+ RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	31	17	112	472	146	36	13	55%	3.6	30.9%	7.6%	23.3%	2.8%	3.69	2.97	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	51	2	89	376	129	32	6	4%	1.7	29.9%	8.9%	21.1%	1.6%	3.86	2.58	+2.1
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	51	2	89	376	129	32	6	4%	1.7	34.3%	8.5%	25.8%	1.6%	3.86	2.15	+2.6
2019	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	2	41	187	47	23	5	6%	1.3	20.6%	14.8%	5.8%	2.5%	5.66	4.60	-0.0
2019	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	2	41	187	47	23	5	6%	1.3	25.1%	12.3%	12.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.07	+0.2
2020	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	16	0	20	99	28	6	5	0%	1.3	28.3%	6.1%	22.2%	5.2%	7.08	4.32	+0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	16	0	20	99	28	6	5	0%	1.3	28.3%	6.1%	22.2%	5.1%	7.08	4.43	+0.0
2021	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	43	0	45	179	63	13	9	0%	1.0	35.2%	7.3%	27.9%	5.2%	3.43	3.89	+0.4
2021	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	43	0	45	179	63	13	9	0%	1.0	35.2%	7.3%	27.9%	5.0%	3.43	3.77	+0.4
2022	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	33	25	135	549	144	31	14	76%	4.1	26.2%	5.6%	20.6%	2.6%	2.46	3.04	+3.1
2022	29	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	33	25	135	549	144	31	14	76%	4.1	26.2%	5.6%	20.6%	2.6%	2.46	3.00	+3.2
2023	30	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	55	24	4	1	100%	5.3	43.6%	7.3%	36.4%	1.9%	0.56	1.36	+0.8
2023	30	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	55	24	4	1	100%	5.3	43.6%	7.3%	36.4%	1.8%	0.56	1.66	+0.7
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	23.8%	5.4%	18.3%	3.1%	3.88	3.47	+1.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	23.8%	5.4%	18.3%	3.1%	3.88	3.47	+1.1
2024	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	26.1%	5.7%	20.4%	2.9%	3.88	3.19	+1.4
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	4.0%	4.11	4.64	+0.5
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	4.0%	4.11	4.64	+0.5
2025	32	MLB RAW	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.9%	4.11	4.56	+0.7
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	146	646	116	57	35	100%	4.9	17.8%	9.0%	8.7%	5.7%	6.12	5.87	-1.6
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	146	646	116	57	35	100%	4.9	17.8%	9.0%	8.7%	5.7%	6.12	5.87	-1.6
2026	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	146	646	116	57	35	100%	4.9	18.0%	8.8%	9.1%	5.4%	6.12	5.80	-1.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			206	96	627	2663	609	212	105	47%	3.0	22.9%	8.0%	14.9%	3.9%	4.22	4.35	+1.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	OAK	121	0	127	536	95	45	25	0%	1.0	17.8%	8.4%	9.3%	4.6%	5.19	5.57	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	OAK	108	0	114	480	81	43	24	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	4.9%	5.62	5.91	-1.7
2029	36	MLB MLE	OAK	96	0	101	425	67	41	23	0%	1.0	15.8%	9.6%	6.2%	5.3%	6.01	6.28	-1.8
2028	35	MLB CTX	OAK	109	0	114	481	81	43	24	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	4.9%	5.62	5.91	-1.7
2029	36	MLB CTX	OAK	96	0	101	426	67	41	23	0%	1.1	15.8%	9.6%	6.2%	5.3%	6.01	6.28	-1.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		410	96	842	3568	757	296	151	23%	2.1	21.2%	8.3%	12.9%	4.2%	4.62	4.69	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		97	23	200	848	180	70	36	23%	2.1	21.2%	8.3%	12.9%	4.2%	4.62	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		324	137	923	3898	918	319	142	42%	2.8	23.5%	8.2%	15.4%	3.6%	4.08	4.14	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	30	200	844	199	69	31	42%	2.8	23.5%	8.2%	15.4%	3.6%	4.08	4.14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeffrey Springs (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	17.8%	8.4%	4.6%	—	6.08	16.3%	7.0%	214	+0.51	—	—	—
Chris Narveson L 2016 · 4.59 FIP	34	SP-	4.59	16.2%	8.5%	3.2%	.253	4.59	12.2%	1.8%	103	+0.00	4.00	625	43
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	33
Pedro Borbón L 2002 · 4.57 FIP	34	SU	4.57	21.6%	7.3%	4.3%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	2.26	264	33
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	31
Santiago Gutierrez L 2019 · 6.54 FIP	33	SU	6.54	17.1%	13.4%	5.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	341	30
Tim Byrdak L 2008 · 5.18 FIP	34	SU	5.18	19.8%	11.4%	4.2%	.229	4.30	22.4%	10.5%	138	-0.88	2.85	320	30
Tom Martin L 2004 · 4.74 FIP	34	SU	4.74	14.7%	7.8%	3.4%	.278	3.96	14.7%	7.1%	86	-0.78	3.40	303	29
Chris Michalak L 2006 · 5.71 FIP	35	SP-	5.71	6.2%	8.6%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	186	28
James Jones L 2023 · 4.67 FIP	34	SU	4.67	13.7%	11.5%	2.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	127	27
Ryan Buchter L 2021 · 5.24 FIP	34	SU	5.24	22.9%	13.2%	4.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	296	26
Zach Neal R 2023 · 5.98 FIP	34	SW	5.98	15.6%	6.0%	6.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	732	25
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	25
Tim Adleman R 2022 · 5.69 FIP	34	SP-	5.69	17.5%	8.6%	5.4%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	605	22
Edwin Escobar L 2024 · 5.12 FIP	32	SU	5.12	19.6%	14.0%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	218	22
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	22
Pete Walker R 2003 · 5.73 FIP	34	SW	5.73	12.0%	9.1%	4.5%	.267	4.70	14.0%	5.1%	114	-1.03	4.45	327	22
Jarrett Grube R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	34	SP-	4.74	18.9%	7.2%	4.2%	.280	4.41	15.8%	7.7%	134	-0.33	3.75	393	21
Ryan Feierabend L 2019 · 6.58 FIP	33	SP	6.58	15.7%	7.4%	7.0%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.97	174	21
Dan Runzler L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	34	SU	4.84	16.0%	13.0%	2.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	187	20
Doug Creek L 2003 · 5.00 FIP	34	SU	5.00	15.9%	13.0%	2.9%	.255	6.28	17.8%	10.9%	22	+1.28	4.48	277	20

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	88	20.7%	8.4%	1.66	4.70
George Caster ('34-'46, 6 WAR*)	6.9	115	21.0%*	8.6%*	1.44*	4.43*
Chase Anderson ('24)	5.5	101	19.7%	8.1%	1.48	4.41
Al Gettel ('45-'55, 2 WAR*)	3.7	122	20.1%*	8.3%*	1.75*	4.81*
Paul Moskau ('77-'83, 3 WAR*)	3.2	91	19.8%*	8.9%*	1.50*	4.84*
Drew Smyly ('24)	5.7	104	23.1%	7.7%	1.49	4.20
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38