Dereck Rodríguez

Dereck Rodríguez P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 34 RHP 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.44

FIP4.54

K%20.9%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.7

Whiff%

p1921.0%

p1016.2%

xwOBA vs

p180.350

SL-0.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	14	75	317	66	19	6	93%	5.0	15.3%	5.1%	10.2%	2.6%	3.35	3.87	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	14	75	317	66	19	6	93%	5.0	20.8%	6.0%	14.8%	1.9%	3.35	3.14	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	133	563	111	40	11	100%	5.8	14.7%	8.4%	6.3%	2.3%	4.48	4.19	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	133	563	111	40	11	100%	5.8	19.7%	7.1%	12.6%	2.0%	4.48	3.41	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	143	590	121	38	16	92%	5.5	16.2%	7.2%	9.0%	3.5%	3.27	4.53	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	143	590	121	38	16	92%	5.5	20.5%	6.4%	14.1%	2.7%	3.27	3.66	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	169	699	142	45	20	93%	5.6	19.4%	6.5%	12.9%	3.1%	2.99	4.00	+1.8
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	169	699	142	45	20	93%	5.6	20.3%	6.4%	13.9%	2.9%	2.99	3.76	+2.3
2019	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	23	133	580	108	47	27	66%	3.8	17.0%	8.3%	8.8%	4.8%	5.13	5.35	-0.7
2019	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	23	133	580	108	47	27	66%	3.8	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	4.7%	5.13	5.17	-0.4
2020	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	2	0	4	24	2	3	2	0%	2.0	8.3%	12.5%	-4.2%	8.3%	13.50	8.55	-0.2
2020	28	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	2	0	4	24	2	3	2	0%	2.0	8.3%	12.5%	-4.2%	8.3%	13.50	10.85	-0.3
2021	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	22	19	86	397	87	30	17	86%	3.9	19.3%	7.9%	11.4%	4.0%	6.72	4.68	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	22	19	86	397	87	30	17	86%	3.9	21.9%	7.6%	14.4%	4.3%	6.72	4.70	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	16	102	439	96	35	16	64%	4.1	20.0%	8.3%	11.7%	4.0%	4.66	4.66	+0.3
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	16	102	439	96	35	16	64%	4.1	21.9%	8.0%	13.9%	3.6%	4.66	4.28	+0.7
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	6	71	325	65	38	11	17%	2.0	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	3.4%	6.43	4.73	-0.1
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	6	71	325	65	38	11	17%	2.0	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	3.4%	6.43	4.73	-0.1
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	6	71	325	65	38	11	17%	2.0	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	3.4%	6.43	4.88	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			57	35	234	1014	167	81	37	61%	4.1	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	3.6%	4.49	4.76	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	ATL	1	1	3	13	3	1	0	100%	3.0	20.9%	9.4%	11.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	ATL	6	6	37	155	31	15	5	100%	6.1	20.0%	9.9%	10.0%	3.3%	4.70	4.87	+0.0
2027	35	MLB CTX	ATL	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.0%	9.9%	10.0%	3.3%	4.70	4.87	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	35	236	1023	169	82	37	61%	4.1	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	3.6%	4.50	4.72	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		49	30	200	865	143	69	31	62%	4.1	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	3.6%	4.50	4.72	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		213	153	917	3934	686	303	138	72%	4.3	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.44	4.53	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	33	200	858	150	66	30	72%	4.3	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.44	4.53	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dereck Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	20.9%	9.4%	3.0%	—	4.87	20.0%	10.0%	37	+0.33	—	—	—
Guillermo Moscoso R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	34	SP-	5.07	18.2%	8.4%	4.5%	.318	4.35	12.6%	5.9%	104	-0.72	3.77	264	73
Jarrett Grube R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	34	SP-	4.74	18.9%	7.2%	4.2%	.280	4.41	15.8%	7.7%	134	-0.33	3.75	393	66
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	66
Josh Lindblom R 2021 · 3.79 FIP	34	SP-	3.79	22.7%	6.9%	3.2%	.319	5.07	20.8%	12.0%	133	+1.28	3.50	348	66
Lucas Harrell R 2017 · 3.57 FIP	32	SP	3.57	16.2%	10.5%	0.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	139	63
Chris Young R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	36	SP-	4.69	16.6%	8.6%	3.5%	.209	6.33	21.1%	11.4%	119	+1.64	4.69	242	62
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	61
Kameron Loe R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	34	SP	3.84	11.9%	5.3%	2.0%	.356	3.38	17.1%	9.1%	133	-0.46	3.38	201	60
Shaun Marcum R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	33	SP	4.04	17.8%	6.0%	3.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	123	59
Kyle Lohse R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	36	SP-	4.77	16.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.309	4.97	14.8%	8.8%	59	+0.20	4.77	211	59
Manuel Flores R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	33	SP	4.32	17.1%	7.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	515	59
Johnny Cueto R 2020 · 4.51 FIP	34	SP	4.51	20.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.280	4.71	17.3%	11.8%	364	+0.20	2.85	1,148	59
Mitch Talbot R 2018 · 3.82 FIP	34	SP	3.82	13.7%	5.6%	2.1%	.281	5.01	13.2%	8.9%	59	+1.19	3.82	162	59
Tim Adleman R 2022 · 5.69 FIP	34	SP-	5.69	17.5%	8.6%	5.4%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	605	59
Matt Garza R 2017 · 4.57 FIP	33	SP	4.57	15.7%	8.1%	3.2%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	365	58
Alfredo Aceves R 2017 · 5.10 FIP	34	SP	5.10	8.9%	8.9%	3.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	160	58
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	58
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	58
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	58
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	57

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	20.5%	9.6%	1.22	4.56
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86