Dereck Rodríguez
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'0" / 208 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
xFIP9.41
SIERA7.92
K%22.6%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.9%
IP58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p1090.7
Whiff%
p1921.0%
K%
p1016.2%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
SL-0.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 15 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 66 | 19 | 6 | 15.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.35 | 3.87 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 23 | 23 | 133 | 563 | 111 | 40 | 11 | 14.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 4.48 | 4.18 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 26 | 24 | 143 | 590 | 121 | 38 | 16 | 16.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.27 | 4.54 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 30 | 28 | 169 | 699 | 142 | 45 | 20 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.99 | 4.01 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 35 | 23 | 133 | 580 | 108 | 47 | 27 | 17.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.13 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 13.50 | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 22 | 19 | 86 | 397 | 87 | 30 | 17 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 6.72 | 4.76 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 25 | 16 | 102 | 439 | 96 | 35 | 16 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 4.66 | 4.59 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 35 | 6 | 71 | 325 | 65 | 38 | 11 | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 6.43 | 4.85 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SF | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 45 | 23 | 7 | 19.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | SF | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 40 | 22 | 7 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 213 | 153 | 917 | 3934 | 690 | 308 | 138 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.54 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 33 | 200 | 858 | 151 | 67 | 30 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.54 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dereck Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.88 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 106 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 80 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 77 |
| Johnny Cueto R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.15 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .280 | 4.71 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 364 | +0.56 | 2.87 | 1,148 | 76 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 76 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.77 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 533 | 76 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 290 | 75 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 75 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.63 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 3.50 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | -0.13 | 2.37 | 140 | 74 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 74 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.06 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.34 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.72 | 3.77 | 264 | 74 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 73 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.90 | 14.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | .325 | 5.35 | 8.7% | 0.1% | 13 | +1.45 | 2.53 | 135 | 73 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 72 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.63 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 5.47 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.84 | 4.63 | 172 | 72 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.63 | 15.1% | 8.8% | 1.2% | .310 | 4.33 | 13.2% | 7.1% | 188 | +0.70 | 3.12 | 352 | 71 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.