Dereck Rodríguez
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 34
RHP
6'0" / 208 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.47
FIP4.57
K%21.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.7
Whiff%
p1921.0%
K%
p1016.2%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
SL-0.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 66 | 19 | 6 | 93% | 5.0 | 15.3% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.35 | 3.87 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 66 | 19 | 6 | 93% | 5.0 | 20.8% | 6.0% | 14.8% | 1.9% | 3.35 | 3.14 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 133 | 563 | 111 | 40 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 4.48 | 4.17 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 133 | 563 | 111 | 40 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 2.0% | 4.48 | 3.41 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 143 | 590 | 121 | 38 | 16 | 92% | 5.5 | 16.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 3.27 | 4.62 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 143 | 590 | 121 | 38 | 16 | 92% | 5.5 | 20.5% | 6.4% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 3.27 | 3.66 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 169 | 699 | 142 | 45 | 20 | 93% | 5.6 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 2.99 | 4.01 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 169 | 699 | 142 | 45 | 20 | 93% | 5.6 | 20.3% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 2.99 | 3.76 | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 23 | 133 | 580 | 108 | 47 | 27 | 66% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.13 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 23 | 133 | 580 | 108 | 47 | 27 | 66% | 3.8 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 5.13 | 5.17 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 8.3% | 12.5% | -4.2% | 8.3% | 13.50 | 8.55 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 8.3% | 12.5% | -4.2% | 8.3% | 13.50 | 10.85 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 22 | 19 | 86 | 397 | 87 | 30 | 17 | 86% | 3.9 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 6.72 | 4.40 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 22 | 19 | 86 | 397 | 87 | 30 | 17 | 86% | 3.9 | 21.9% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 6.72 | 4.70 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 16 | 102 | 439 | 96 | 35 | 16 | 64% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 4.66 | 5.00 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 16 | 102 | 439 | 96 | 35 | 16 | 64% | 4.1 | 21.9% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.28 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 6 | 71 | 325 | 65 | 38 | 11 | 17% | 2.0 | 19.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 6.43 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 6 | 71 | 325 | 65 | 38 | 11 | 17% | 2.0 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 6.43 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 155 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 5 | 32 | 137 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 19.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 5.27 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 5 | 28 | 120 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.43 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.06 | 5.27 | — |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.43 | 5.67 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 57 | 35 | 236 | 1023 | 169 | 82 | 37 | 61% | 4.1 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.72 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 30 | 200 | 865 | 143 | 69 | 31 | 62% | 4.1 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 213 | 153 | 917 | 3934 | 690 | 308 | 140 | 72% | 4.3 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.56 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 33 | 200 | 858 | 150 | 67 | 30 | 72% | 4.3 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dereck Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.25 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 98 | +0.68 | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 4.19 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.84 | 3.79 | 264 | 73 |
| Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 67 |
| Johnny Cueto R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.52 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.68 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 364 | +0.16 | 2.85 | 1,148 | 66 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.97 | 22.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | .319 | 5.22 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 133 | +1.25 | 3.66 | 348 | 66 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 65 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 64 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.05 | 18.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .280 | 4.16 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 134 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 393 | 64 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 64 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2024 · 3.64 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.64 | 16.2% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 139 | 63 |
| Chris Young R 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 62 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.56 | 15.2% | 7.4% | 1.5% | .314 | 5.01 | 9.4% | 0.3% | 174 | +1.45 | 3.56 | 394 | 61 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 60 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.42 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .331 | 5.73 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 99 | +1.31 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 60 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.14 | 20.4% | 12.6% | 2.1% | .271 | 6.14 | 13.3% | -2.7% | 16 | +2.00 | 3.72 | 498 | 60 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.60 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 605 | 60 |
| David Buchanan R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.23 | 15.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .337 | 5.96 | 12.5% | 3.1% | 29 | +1.73 | 4.23 | 443 | 59 |
| Kameron Loe R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.90 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | .356 | 3.47 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 133 | -0.43 | 3.47 | 201 | 59 |
| Shaun Marcum R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 123 | 59 |
| Manuel Flores R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 515 | 59 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.70 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | .281 | 5.05 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 59 | +1.35 | 3.70 | 162 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 35 | 19.7% | 10.5% | 1.34 | 4.87 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |