Thyago Vieira
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
+0.0
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 259 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.91
FIP4.71
xFIP5.04
SIERA4.75
K%23.3%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%12.2%
IP29
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL2020
CMD3535
K†6060
FB Velo
p9097.7
Whiff%
p4724.8%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
SI (40%)
FB-1.2 (63%)
SL-5.7 (36%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 22 | 0 | 31 | 152 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 10.7% | 15.5% | 2.1% | 6.97 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | 34 | 0 | 44 | 189 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 0.7% | 2.84 | 3.04 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 42 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 47 | 22 | 2 | 16.6% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 3.93 | 3.57 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 52 | 0 | 59 | 274 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 2.1% | 5.68 | 3.99 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 45 | 0 | 54 | 250 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 6.13 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 35 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 3.10 | 3.21 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 5.21 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 26.0% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 5.28 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 25.0% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 258 | 0 | 322 | 1445 | 294 | 172 | 32 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 4.10 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 183 | 107 | 20 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 4.10 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thyago Vieira (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 26.0% | 13.3% | 3.4% | — | 4.92 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 28 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 74 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 73 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 70 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.31 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.08 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.23 | 2.86 | 596 | 70 |
| Radhames Liz R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 69 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 69 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.23 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | .279 | 6.48 | 10.4% | -2.6% | 17 | +1.25 | 3.46 | 160 | 68 |
| Austin Adams R 2025 · 5.85 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.85 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 162 | 67 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 173 | 67 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 67 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .255 | 4.50 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.38 | 212 | 66 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 66 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 65 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.18 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 4.9% | .274 | 6.02 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12 | +0.84 | 2.35 | 260 | 65 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .238 | 3.71 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.82 | 1.94 | 268 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.