Thyago Vieira
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 259 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135125vR 116
ERA5.08
FIP5.14
K%24.7%
BB%15.0%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.7
Whiff%
p4724.8%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
SI (40%)
FB-1.2 (63%)
SL-5.7 (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 22 | 0 | 31 | 152 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.7% | 15.5% | -4.8% | 2.5% | 6.97 | 5.52 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 22 | 0 | 31 | 152 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.5% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 6.97 | 4.45 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | 34 | 0 | 44 | 189 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 0.7% | 2.84 | 3.05 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | 34 | 0 | 44 | 189 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.0% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 0.5% | 2.84 | 2.22 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 47 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 3.93 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 47 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 0.9% | 3.93 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 274 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 5.68 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 274 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 5.68 | 3.90 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 54 | 250 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 6.13 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 54 | 250 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 6.13 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 3.10 | 3.37 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.0% | 9.4% | 21.6% | 1.8% | 3.10 | 2.63 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.21 | 5.40 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.21 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 46 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 51 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 93 | 0 | 109 | 489 | 107 | 66 | 18 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.58 | 5.04 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 901 | 197 | 122 | 33 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.58 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 258 | 0 | 322 | 1445 | 294 | 172 | 31 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 4.06 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 183 | 107 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thyago Vieira (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 24.7% | 15.0% | 3.4% | — | 5.36 | 23.7% | 8.8% | 44 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 74 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 73 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 72 |
| Radhames Liz R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 69 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.32 | 2.82 | 284 | 69 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 69 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 69 |
| Austin Adams R 2025 · 6.16 FIP | 32 | SU | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 162 | 68 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 173 | 68 |
| Matt Bush R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.74 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 249 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 2.6% | .344 | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 43 | +0.56 | 2.00 | 320 | 66 |
| Jake Sanchez R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.79 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.86 | 361 | 66 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.34 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% | .274 | 6.16 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12 | +0.82 | 2.45 | 260 | 65 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 65 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 65 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 24.2% | 15.0% | 1.35 | 5.15 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |