Nick Burdi — OGILVIE

Nick Burdi P Syracuse Mets

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.96

FIP3.96

K%25.5%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%15.1%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

SL+0.9 (31%)

CH (2%)

SI (43%)

FB (66%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	64	278	83	35	4	0%	1.5	23.8%	13.9%	9.9%	1.5%	3.82	3.65	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	64	278	83	35	4	0%	1.5	29.9%	12.6%	17.3%	1.4%	3.82	2.96	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	3	0	3	14	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	3.40	—
2016	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	3	0	3	14	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	3.43	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	14	0	17	61	20	3	1	0%	1.2	26.6%	5.4%	21.1%	2.0%	0.53	2.65	—
2017	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	14	0	17	61	20	3	1	0%	1.2	32.8%	4.9%	27.9%	1.6%	0.53	2.04	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	2	12	64	16	8	2	17%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	3.1%	7.30	4.29	+0.0
2018	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	12	2	12	64	16	8	2	17%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	3.1%	7.30	4.56	-0.0
2019	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	11	0	9	40	17	3	1	0%	0.8	42.5%	7.5%	35.0%	2.5%	9.35	1.83	+0.3
2019	26	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	11	0	9	40	17	3	1	0%	0.8	42.5%	7.5%	35.0%	2.5%	9.35	1.72	+0.3
2020	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	0	2	10	4	2	0	0%	0.8	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	3.86	2.26	+0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	0	2	10	4	2	0	0%	0.8	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	3.86	2.24	+0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	0	24	115	39	18	2	0%	0.9	30.1%	13.8%	16.3%	1.3%	4.50	3.00	+0.4
2023	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	0	24	115	39	18	2	0%	0.9	30.1%	13.8%	16.3%	1.3%	4.50	3.00	+0.4
2023	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	0	24	115	39	18	2	0%	0.9	33.9%	15.7%	18.3%	1.7%	4.50	3.18	+0.4
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	27	117	36	20	2	0%	0.9	27.7%	13.8%	13.9%	1.5%	2.36	3.31	+0.4
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	27	117	36	20	2	0%	0.9	27.7%	13.8%	13.9%	1.5%	2.36	3.31	+0.4
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	27	117	36	20	2	0%	0.9	30.8%	17.1%	13.7%	1.7%	2.36	3.62	+0.3
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	40	171	50	18	1	0%	1.2	24.9%	9.6%	15.3%	0.7%	2.45	2.62	+0.9
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	40	171	50	18	1	0%	1.2	24.9%	9.6%	15.3%	0.7%	2.45	2.62	+0.9
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	40	171	50	18	1	0%	1.2	29.2%	10.5%	18.7%	0.6%	2.45	2.28	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			35	0	30	141	44	21	3	0%	0.9	31.2%	14.9%	16.3%	2.1%	5.34	3.56	+0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	5	0	4	17	3	3	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	2.08	—	—
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	5	0	4	17	3	3	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	2.08	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	AAA RAW	NYM	5	0	4	17	3	3	0	0%	0.9	17.6%	17.6%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	3.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	21	9	2	0%	1.1	24.7%	10.8%	14.0%	2.8%	4.16	4.27	+0.1
2027	34	MLB CTX	NYM	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	24.7%	10.8%	14.0%	2.8%	4.16	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		36	0	31	146	45	21	3	0%	0.9	31.0%	14.8%	16.2%	2.1%	5.30	3.53	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		229	0	200	927	286	134	19	0%	0.9	31.0%	14.8%	16.2%	2.1%	5.30	3.53	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		182	2	202	887	233	107	13	1%	1.1	26.2%	12.1%	14.1%	1.4%	3.65	3.20	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	2	200	877	230	106	13	1%	1.1	26.2%	12.1%	14.1%	1.4%	3.65	3.20	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Burdi (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	25.5%	10.4%	2.4%	—	4.27	24.7%	14.0%	20	+0.31	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	83
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	81
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	80
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	79
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	78
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	76
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	75
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	74
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	73
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	72
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	72
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Dustin Molleken R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	32	SU	3.38	24.3%	12.4%	1.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	129	72
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	3.13	352	72
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.7%	10.4%	2.0%	.255	4.41	24.1%	13.8%	97	+0.80	3.34	212	71
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	70
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	70
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	69
Brad Brach R 2019 · 3.43 FIP	33	SU	3.43	24.8%	12.0%	1.7%	.356	4.65	23.0%	9.8%	66	+1.22	2.69	410	69