Nick Burdi
P
Syracuse Mets
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA3.90
FIP3.90
K%26.9%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%16.0%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+0.9 (31%)
CH (2%)
SI (43%)
FB (66%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 64 | 278 | 83 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 1.3% | 3.82 | 3.54 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 64 | 278 | 83 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.9% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 2.96 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.40 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.43 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 14 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 5.4% | 21.1% | 2.1% | 0.53 | 2.68 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 14 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.8% | 4.9% | 27.9% | 1.6% | 0.53 | 2.04 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 17% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 7.30 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 17% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 7.30 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 42.5% | 7.5% | 35.0% | 2.5% | 9.35 | 1.83 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 42.5% | 7.5% | 35.0% | 2.5% | 9.35 | 1.72 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 2.26 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 2.24 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.9% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 1.3% | 4.50 | 3.16 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.9% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 3.18 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 27 | 117 | 36 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.3% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 1.4% | 2.36 | 3.42 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 27 | 117 | 36 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.8% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 1.7% | 2.36 | 3.62 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 2.70 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.2% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 0.6% | 2.45 | 2.28 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | NYM | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | NYM | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 19 | 80 | 20 | 10 | 2 | — | — | 24.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.49 | 3.03 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 26.9% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 37 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 2.2% | 5.23 | 3.53 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 228 | 0 | 200 | 923 | 285 | 134 | 18 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 2.2% | 5.23 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 182 | 2 | 202 | 887 | 239 | 115 | 12 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 3.22 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 2 | 200 | 877 | 237 | 114 | 12 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 3.22 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Burdi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.90 | 26.9% | 10.8% | 2.4% | — | 4.22 | 26.0% | 14.8% | 20 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 80 |
| Daniel Bard R 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 77 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 77 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 77 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 73 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 73 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 72 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 31.1% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .275 | 2.97 | 28.4% | 19.5% | 146 | -0.06 | 1.99 | 488 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 71 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.35 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 129 | 71 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 71 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 70 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.56 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .255 | 4.23 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.67 | 3.41 | 212 | 70 |