Nick Burdi
P
Syracuse Mets
+0.2
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.03
FIP4.03
xFIP2.96
SIERA3.23
K%25.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%14.5%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†6060
SL+0.9 (31%)
CH (2%)
SI (43%)
FB (66%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 43 | 0 | 64 | 278 | 83 | 35 | 4 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 3.64 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 14 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 26.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.53 | 2.65 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 12 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 16 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.30 | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.35 | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.86 | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 26 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 31.9% | 16.2% | 1.2% | 4.50 | 3.13 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | New York Yankees | 30 | 0 | 27 | 117 | 36 | 20 | 2 | 29.3% | 16.0% | 1.5% | 2.36 | 3.47 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 35 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 26.4% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 2.45 | 2.70 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | NYM | 22 | — | 22 | 91 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 25.3% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 26 | 108 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 24.1% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 3.70 | 3.35 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 20 | — | 20 | 86 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 24.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 182 | 2 | 202 | 887 | 239 | 115 | 13 | 27.0% | 13.0% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 3.25 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 2 | 200 | 877 | 236 | 114 | 13 | 27.0% | 13.0% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 3.25 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Burdi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.03 | 25.3% | 10.8% | 2.4% | — | 4.17 | 24.8% | 13.9% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 83 |
| Daniel Bard R 2028 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 80 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 76 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.12 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .358 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +1.03 | 3.12 | 352 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 76 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 75 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 75 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.38 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.6% | .356 | 4.65 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.27 | 2.80 | 410 | 74 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 74 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 73 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 129 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 72 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .255 | 4.50 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.38 | 212 | 71 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 71 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 71 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 71 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.