Alberto Baldonado prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Alberto Baldonado P Rochester Red Wings

Age 33 LHP 6'5" / 270 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 119

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%22.2%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

CH-0.5

SL-0.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	A MLE	Savannah Sand Gnats	38	0	57	223	74	22	1	0%	1.5	24.6%	11.6%	12.9%	0.7%	1.91	2.90	—
2015	22	A RAW	Savannah Sand Gnats	38	0	57	223	74	22	1	0%	1.5	33.2%	9.9%	23.3%	0.4%	1.91	1.88	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	60	267	68	30	5	0%	1.3	20.3%	12.5%	7.8%	2.1%	3.77	4.10	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	60	267	68	30	5	0%	1.3	25.5%	11.2%	14.2%	1.9%	3.77	3.42	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	60	258	64	27	9	0%	1.2	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	3.2%	4.80	4.46	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	60	258	64	27	9	0%	1.2	24.8%	10.5%	14.3%	3.5%	4.80	4.27	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	37	1	59	264	66	35	5	3%	1.6	22.0%	13.9%	8.1%	2.3%	4.88	4.25	—
2018	25	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	37	1	59	264	66	35	5	3%	1.6	25.0%	13.3%	11.7%	1.9%	4.88	3.74	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	20	0	25	101	29	13	2	0%	1.2	25.3%	13.5%	11.8%	2.2%	2.55	3.88	—
2019	26	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	20	0	25	101	29	13	2	0%	1.2	28.7%	12.9%	15.8%	2.0%	2.55	3.38	—
2021	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	51	212	59	16	5	0%	1.1	23.5%	7.0%	16.5%	0.8%	4.03	2.47	+1.3
2021	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	51	212	59	16	5	0%	1.1	27.8%	7.5%	20.3%	2.4%	4.03	3.00	+0.9
2022	29	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	56	0	63	257	81	26	5	0%	1.1	27.7%	10.6%	17.1%	2.0%	3.84	3.19	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	56	0	63	257	81	26	5	0%	1.1	31.5%	10.1%	21.4%	1.9%	3.84	2.80	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	29	0	30	128	30	17	2	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	1.6%	3.03	3.80	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	29	0	30	128	30	17	2	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	1.6%	3.03	3.80	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	29	0	30	128	30	17	2	0%	1.0	23.4%	13.3%	10.2%	1.6%	3.03	3.67	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			14	0	11	49	12	7	3	0%	0.8	24.5%	14.3%	10.2%	6.1%	8.44	6.47	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	WSH	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	2.9%	4.50	4.50	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.5%	11.3%	3.2%	4.64	4.75	-0.0
2027	34	MLB CTX	WSH	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.5%	11.3%	3.2%	4.64	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	12	54	13	7	3	0%	0.8	24.3%	14.0%	10.3%	5.9%	8.08	6.04	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		256	0	200	912	221	119	51	0%	0.8	24.3%	14.0%	10.3%	5.9%	8.08	6.04	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		325	1	404	1710	394	196	32	0%	1.2	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	1.9%	3.74	3.65	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	846	195	97	16	0%	1.2	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	1.9%	3.74	3.65	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alberto Baldonado (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	22.2%	10.1%	2.9%	—	4.75	21.8%	11.3%	20	+0.25	—	—	—
Kelly Wunsch L 2005 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	21.0%	11.4%	1.9%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	175	75
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	74
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	74
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	73
Hideki Okajima L 2009 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	20.5%	7.0%	3.1%	.268	4.27	15.5%	8.5%	46	+0.32	3.05	238	71
Brandon Mann L 2017 · 4.24 FIP	33	SU	4.24	19.8%	11.3%	2.5%	.286	3.59	17.8%	6.4%	52	-0.65	3.59	190	71
Doug Creek L 2002 · 4.99 FIP	33	SU	4.99	21.4%	12.6%	3.8%	.288	5.79	17.1%	7.9%	36	+0.80	4.48	277	70
Scott Sauerbeck L 2005 · 3.75 FIP	33	SU	3.75	22.3%	8.9%	2.5%	.298	5.05	14.0%	0.0%	25	+1.30	2.79	386	70
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	70
Brian Moran L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	21.7%	7.0%	3.7%	.304	3.72	21.5%	14.5%	152	-0.48	1.80	421	69
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	68
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	67
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	66
Tom Martin L 2003 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	24.3%	9.5%	2.9%	.226	3.99	16.2%	8.6%	106	+0.17	3.40	303	65
Ryan Sherriff L 2023 · 3.78 FIP	33	SU	3.78	21.9%	11.0%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	245	65
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	65
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	64
Joey Eischen L 2003 · 4.00 FIP	33	SU	4.00	18.1%	5.4%	3.2%	.309	3.44	19.6%	10.3%	69	-0.56	2.13	294	64
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	62
Francisley Bueno L 2014 · 3.61 FIP	33	SU	3.61	14.1%	3.5%	2.3%	.289	3.94	13.6%	6.9%	138	+0.33	2.43	188	61