Taylor Williams prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Taylor Williams P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 35 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.53

FIP4.42

K%23.6%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p5125.5%

p1016.4%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

SL+0.8

FB-2.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	14	51	219	61	22	2	52%	1.9	23.2%	11.1%	12.1%	0.9%	2.98	3.02	+1.2
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	14	51	219	61	22	2	52%	1.9	27.9%	10.0%	17.8%	0.9%	2.98	2.52	+1.5
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	55	245	59	22	6	0%	0.9	24.2%	8.9%	15.3%	2.4%	4.25	3.52	+0.7
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	55	245	59	22	6	0%	0.9	24.1%	9.0%	15.1%	2.4%	4.25	3.57	+0.6
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	24	9	0%	1.2	21.9%	8.4%	13.5%	3.3%	4.33	4.15	+0.3
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	24	9	0%	1.2	24.2%	8.1%	16.1%	3.0%	4.33	3.76	+0.6
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	15	0	15	67	20	6	1	0%	1.0	29.9%	9.0%	20.9%	1.5%	6.14	2.51	+0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	15	0	15	67	20	6	1	0%	1.0	29.9%	9.0%	20.9%	1.5%	6.14	2.49	+0.4
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	116	25	16	6	0%	1.2	19.9%	14.1%	5.8%	5.0%	5.76	5.96	-0.4
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	25	116	25	16	6	0%	1.2	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	5.2%	5.76	6.14	-0.5
2022	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	50	3	63	284	68	23	5	6%	1.3	21.1%	8.5%	12.6%	1.7%	4.69	3.33	—
2022	31	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	50	3	63	284	68	23	5	6%	1.3	23.9%	8.1%	15.8%	1.8%	4.69	3.07	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	15.0%	12.0%	3.0%	2.2%	7.47	4.57	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	15.0%	12.0%	3.0%	2.2%	7.47	4.57	—
2023	32	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	17.4%	13.4%	4.1%	2.3%	7.47	4.73	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	0	99	451	105	42	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.43	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.6%	10.3%	13.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	SEA	44	0	46	193	44	21	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.8%	11.8%	3.3%	4.67	4.78	-0.1
2028	37	MLB MLE	SEA	38	0	40	169	36	19	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.3%	10.2%	3.7%	4.94	5.14	-0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	10.8%	11.8%	3.3%	4.67	4.78	—
2028	37	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.5%	11.3%	10.2%	3.7%	4.94	5.14	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		97	0	99	453	105	42	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.41	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	914	212	85	18	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.41	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		258	17	315	1401	304	138	33	7%	1.2	21.7%	9.9%	11.8%	2.4%	4.74	3.82	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	11	200	889	193	88	21	7%	1.2	21.7%	9.9%	11.8%	2.4%	4.74	3.82	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Taylor Williams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.6%	10.3%	3.0%	—	4.95	22.1%	11.0%	86	+0.53	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	78
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.54	21.9%	11.8%	195	+0.02	3.08	370	77
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	76
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.16	306	75
Brendan Donnelly R 2006 · 4.21 FIP	35	SU	4.21	19.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.260	3.19	18.6%	10.1%	60	-1.02	2.23	385	75
Juan Sandoval R 2016 · 3.24 FIP	35	SU	3.24	18.2%	10.2%	0.7%	.288	4.40	16.3%	9.1%	116	+1.16	3.24	225	75
Toby Borland R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	35	SU	4.28	20.9%	8.1%	3.5%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	248	73
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	73
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	300	71
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	71
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	70
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	70
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	68
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2019 · 3.72 FIP	35	SU	3.72	26.2%	8.6%	3.2%	.303	5.02	17.5%	4.8%	12	+1.30	3.45	132	68
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	335	67
Spencer Patton R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	35	SU	4.33	18.9%	9.7%	2.9%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	67
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	66
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	65
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	22.9%	10.8%	1.06	4.94
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Justin Grimm ('22)	1.9	75	23.0%	10.1%	1.17	5.10
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41