Taijuan Walker
P
Philadelphia Phillies
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.06
FIP5.27
K%14.6%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%5.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p1016.8%
K%
p1014.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.411
SL+0.6 (12%)
SI (23%)
CU (13%)
CT-3.6 (20%)
FB-7.1 (33%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 29 | 29 | 170 | 706 | 157 | 39 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 5.5% | 16.7% | 3.7% | 4.56 | 3.97 | +2.8 |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 29 | 29 | 170 | 706 | 157 | 39 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 5.5% | 16.7% | 3.5% | 4.56 | 3.85 | +3.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 149 | 639 | 125 | 43 | 28 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.4% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 4.16 | 4.88 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 149 | 639 | 125 | 43 | 28 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 4.16 | 4.73 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 157 | 684 | 146 | 54 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.3% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 3.49 | 3.60 | +3.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 157 | 684 | 146 | 54 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.3% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 2.5% | 3.49 | 3.68 | +3.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 3.46 | 3.81 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 3.46 | 3.87 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.99 | +0.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 11 | 53 | 225 | 50 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 2.70 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 11 | 53 | 225 | 50 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 2.70 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 29 | 159 | 654 | 146 | 55 | 26 | 97% | 5.3 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +1.7 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 29 | 159 | 654 | 146 | 55 | 26 | 97% | 5.3 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 4.47 | 4.43 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 29 | 29 | 157 | 649 | 132 | 44 | 15 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 3.49 | 3.52 | +3.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 29 | 29 | 157 | 649 | 132 | 44 | 15 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 3.49 | 3.50 | +3.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 31 | 173 | 733 | 138 | 70 | 20 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.17 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 31 | 173 | 733 | 138 | 70 | 20 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.22 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 20 | 106 | 476 | 70 | 44 | 24 | 83% | 4.4 | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.43 | 6.39 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 20 | 106 | 476 | 70 | 44 | 24 | 83% | 4.4 | 14.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.43 | 5.96 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 34 | 21 | 124 | 538 | 86 | 42 | 21 | 62% | 3.6 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 4.08 | 4.81 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 34 | 21 | 124 | 538 | 86 | 42 | 21 | 62% | 3.6 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 4.08 | 4.94 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 10 | 9 | 44 | 204 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 90% | 4.4 | 12.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.60 | 6.42 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 40 | 24 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.06 | 5.27 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 40 | 24 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.10 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 108 | 478 | 69 | 42 | 21 | — | — | 14.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.68 | 5.73 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 87 | 369 | 69 | 42 | 22 | — | — | 18.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.07 | 6.18 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 20 | 118 | 500 | 73 | 47 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.84 | 6.04 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 18 | 106 | 449 | 61 | 44 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.16 | 6.38 | -1.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 94 | 397 | 50 | 42 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 6.51 | 6.75 | -1.6 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 20 | 118 | 498 | 72 | 46 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.89 | 6.09 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 61 | 44 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.21 | 6.43 | -1.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 94 | 397 | 50 | 42 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 6.56 | 6.80 | -1.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 311 | 292 | 1631 | 6938 | 1282 | 568 | 273 | 94% | 5.2 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 4.72 | 4.74 | +12.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 36 | 200 | 851 | 157 | 70 | 33 | 94% | 5.2 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 4.72 | 4.74 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 258 | 239 | 1306 | 5568 | 1087 | 437 | 203 | 93% | 5.1 | 19.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.31 | 4.45 | +14.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 852 | 166 | 67 | 31 | 93% | 5.1 | 19.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.31 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taijuan Walker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.37 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | — | 6.36 | 13.6% | 3.8% | 319 | +0.99 | — | — | — |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 58 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2029 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 57 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 57 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 577 | 55 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.57 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .285 | 6.83 | 7.6% | -1.5% | 12 | +2.26 | 3.73 | 469 | 55 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 55 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.23 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 84 | +0.32 | 4.91 | 241 | 54 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 54 |
| Leo Medrano R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.34 | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 222 | 53 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.43 | 13.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 251 | 53 |
| Matt Cain R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.83 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.83 | 294 | 52 |
| David Fletcher R 2023 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 52 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.96 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 5.91 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +0.95 | 4.20 | 166 | 52 |
| Cory Riordan R 2023 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 52 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.25 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .262 | 4.26 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 307 | +0.01 | 3.43 | 645 | 52 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 52 |
| Kyle Kendrick R 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.23 | 13.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 337 | 51 |
| Jerome Williams R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 51 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 283 | 51 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 50 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 112 | 14.2% | 9.5% | 1.83 | 5.86 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 4 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |