Taijuan Walker — OGILVIE

Taijuan Walker P Philadelphia Phillies

Age 33 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA4.89

FIP5.08

K%14.6%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1491.9

Whiff%

p1016.8%

p1014.8%

xwOBA vs

p100.411

SL+0.6 (12%)

SI (23%)

CU (13%)

CT-3.6 (20%)

FB-7.1 (33%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	29	29	170	706	157	39	25	100%	5.9	22.2%	5.5%	16.7%	3.6%	4.56	3.92	+2.0
2015	22	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	29	29	170	706	157	39	25	100%	5.9	22.2%	5.5%	16.7%	3.5%	4.56	3.85	+2.1
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	149	639	125	43	28	100%	5.3	19.4%	6.8%	12.7%	4.5%	4.16	4.80	+0.2
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	149	639	125	43	28	100%	5.3	19.6%	6.7%	12.8%	4.4%	4.16	4.73	+0.3
2017	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	28	157	684	146	54	17	100%	5.6	21.3%	7.9%	13.5%	2.5%	3.49	3.65	+2.4
2017	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	28	157	684	146	54	17	100%	5.6	21.3%	7.9%	13.5%	2.5%	3.49	3.68	+2.3
2018	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	3	3	13	56	9	5	1	100%	4.3	16.1%	8.9%	7.1%	1.9%	3.46	3.91	+0.2
2018	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	3	3	13	56	9	5	1	100%	4.3	16.1%	8.9%	7.1%	1.8%	3.46	3.87	+0.2
2019	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	+0.0
2019	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	+0.0
2020	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	11	11	53	225	50	19	8	100%	4.8	22.2%	8.4%	13.8%	3.6%	2.70	4.24	+0.4
2020	27	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	11	11	53	225	50	19	8	100%	4.8	22.2%	8.4%	13.8%	3.6%	2.70	4.24	+0.4
2021	28	MLB MLE	New York Mets	30	29	159	654	146	55	26	97%	5.3	22.3%	8.4%	13.9%	4.0%	4.47	4.47	+0.8
2021	28	MLB RAW	New York Mets	30	29	159	654	146	55	26	97%	5.3	22.3%	8.4%	13.9%	4.0%	4.47	4.43	+0.9
2022	29	MLB MLE	New York Mets	29	29	157	649	132	44	15	100%	5.4	20.3%	6.8%	13.6%	2.3%	3.49	3.51	+2.7
2022	29	MLB RAW	New York Mets	29	29	157	649	132	44	15	100%	5.4	20.3%	6.8%	13.6%	2.3%	3.49	3.50	+2.7
2023	30	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	31	31	173	733	138	70	20	100%	5.6	18.8%	9.5%	9.3%	2.5%	4.38	4.12	+1.6
2023	30	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	31	31	173	733	138	70	20	100%	5.6	18.8%	9.5%	9.3%	2.5%	4.38	4.12	+1.6
2023	30	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	31	31	173	733	138	70	20	100%	5.6	18.8%	9.5%	9.3%	2.7%	4.38	4.22	+1.4
2024	31	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	20	106	476	70	44	24	83%	4.4	15.2%	9.7%	5.5%	5.9%	6.43	6.27	-1.6
2024	31	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	20	106	476	70	44	24	83%	4.4	15.2%	9.7%	5.5%	5.9%	6.43	6.27	-1.6
2024	31	MIX RAW	4 levels	24	20	106	476	70	44	24	83%	4.4	14.7%	9.2%	5.5%	5.0%	6.43	5.96	-1.2
2025	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	34	21	124	538	86	42	21	62%	3.6	16.0%	7.8%	8.2%	3.6%	4.08	4.74	+0.2
2025	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	34	21	124	538	86	42	21	62%	3.6	16.0%	7.8%	8.2%	3.6%	4.08	4.74	+0.2
2025	32	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	34	21	124	538	86	42	21	62%	3.6	16.0%	7.8%	8.2%	3.9%	4.08	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			245	226	1248	5318	1059	411	192	92%	5.1	19.9%	7.7%	12.2%	3.6%	4.33	4.39	+7.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	10	9	44	204	29	18	10	90%	4.4	12.3%	9.2%	3.1%	5.4%	6.60	6.20	-0.6
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	10	9	44	204	29	18	10	90%	4.4	12.3%	9.2%	3.1%	5.4%	6.60	6.20	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	ROK RAW	PHI	2	2	6	26	6	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	3.8%	19.2%	0.0%	1.42	1.64	—
2026	33	AAA RAW	PHI	3	3	15	63	6	6	2	100%	4.9	9.5%	9.5%	0.0%	3.2%	4.91	5.24	—
2026	33	MLB RAW	PHI	5	4	23	115	17	11	8	80%	4.5	14.8%	9.6%	5.2%	7.0%	9.13	6.88	-0.5
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	PHI	5	4	23	115	17	11	8	80%	4.5	14.8%	9.6%	5.2%	7.0%	9.13	6.88	-0.5
ROS	33	MLB MLE	PHI	2	2	11	46	7	4	2	100%	5.5	14.6%	8.7%	5.9%	3.8%	4.89	5.08	-0.0
ROS	33	MLB CTX	PHI	2	2	11	46	7	4	2	100%	5.5	14.6%	8.7%	5.9%	4.1%	5.04	5.23	-0.0
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	55	250	36	22	12	—	—	14.3%	8.8%	5.5%	4.7%	6.25	5.98	-0.8
FULL	33	MLB A+C	PHI	—	—	34	142	36	22	12	—	—	25.2%	15.5%	9.7%	8.4%	10.21	7.54	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	PHI	20	20	118	500	73	47	23	100%	5.9	14.5%	9.3%	5.2%	4.7%	5.80	5.99	-1.4
2028	35	MLB MLE	PHI	18	18	106	449	61	44	22	100%	5.9	13.6%	9.9%	3.7%	5.0%	6.12	6.33	-1.6
2027	34	MLB CTX	PHI	20	20	118	498	72	46	25	100%	5.9	14.5%	9.3%	5.2%	5.0%	5.99	6.18	-1.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	PHI	18	18	106	448	61	44	24	100%	5.9	13.6%	9.9%	3.7%	5.4%	6.32	6.53	-1.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		285	266	1483	6313	1199	506	243	93%	5.2	19.0%	8.0%	11.0%	3.8%	4.61	4.62	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	36	200	851	162	68	33	93%	5.2	19.0%	8.0%	11.0%	3.8%	4.61	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		258	239	1306	5568	1087	436	199	93%	5.1	19.5%	7.8%	11.7%	3.6%	4.31	4.40	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		39	37	200	852	166	67	30	93%	5.1	19.5%	7.8%	11.7%	3.6%	4.31	4.40	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Taijuan Walker (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	15.7%	8.6%	3.8%	—	6.15	14.1%	4.5%	225	+0.84	—	—	—
Matt Garza R 2017 · 4.57 FIP	33	SP	4.57	15.7%	8.1%	3.2%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	365	80
Yovani Gallardo R 2018 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	14.9%	9.6%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	577	79
Ubaldo Jiménez R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	33	SP-	4.95	21.5%	9.0%	4.6%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	469	78
Miguel González R 2017 · 4.54 FIP	33	SP	4.54	14.6%	7.7%	3.1%	.285	6.88	7.6%	-1.5%	12	+2.34	3.72	469	76
Jordan Zimmermann R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	33	SP	4.47	16.3%	4.6%	3.9%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	731	71
Mike Pelfrey R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	33	SP-	5.69	14.5%	10.6%	4.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	404	69
Félix Hernández R 2019 · 5.54 FIP	33	SP	5.54	17.5%	7.7%	5.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	682	68
Jake Arrieta R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	33	SP	4.37	18.5%	8.1%	3.3%	.308	5.11	17.4%	8.8%	143	+0.74	2.13	1,046	66
Jason Hammel R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	33	SP	4.37	20.8%	7.7%	3.8%	.262	4.28	17.1%	11.3%	307	-0.09	3.54	645	66
Ian Kennedy R 2018 · 4.61 FIP	33	SP	4.61	20.3%	7.3%	4.2%	.296	4.01	26.7%	20.7%	134	-0.60	2.88	864	65
Matt Cain R 2017 · 4.82 FIP	32	SP	4.82	13.2%	7.6%	3.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.82	294	65
Mike Fiers R 2018 · 4.80 FIP	33	SP	4.80	19.5%	5.0%	4.9%	.264	4.93	16.1%	9.3%	244	+0.13	3.86	918	62
Kyle Kendrick R 2017 · 5.50 FIP	32	SP	5.50	13.8%	3.9%	5.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	337	61
Jeff Samardzija R 2018 · 5.29 FIP	33	SP	5.29	17.0%	10.1%	4.3%	.277	4.85	18.0%	11.9%	198	-0.44	3.62	885	60
Tim Lincecum R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	32	SP	4.88	17.9%	10.4%	3.6%	.351	5.87	14.4%	-1.1%	13	+0.99	4.20	166	59
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	57
Edinson Volquez R 2016 · 4.44 FIP	33	SP	4.44	16.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.315	4.43	19.4%	6.2%	108	-0.01	3.74	498	57
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	56
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2018 · 4.89 FIP	33	SP-	4.89	17.9%	7.6%	4.3%	.322	4.82	15.9%	9.5%	147	-0.07	3.97	567	55
Tyson Ross R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	32	SP	5.68	15.4%	11.1%	4.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	449	55

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	118	14.7%	9.2%	1.72	5.65
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64