Jake Kalish prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jake Kalish P Salt Lake Bees

Age 35 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%16.3%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP84

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	14	1	34	136	37	5	1	7%	2.4	18.5%	4.6%	13.9%	1.0%	2.67	2.68	—
2015	24	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	14	1	34	136	37	5	1	7%	2.4	27.2%	3.7%	23.5%	0.7%	2.67	1.73	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	48	191	48	10	3	0%	2.1	17.8%	6.9%	11.0%	2.6%	2.45	3.89	—
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	48	191	48	10	3	0%	2.1	25.1%	5.2%	19.9%	1.6%	2.45	2.53	—
2017	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	12	106	450	88	26	5	39%	3.4	15.9%	6.3%	9.5%	1.2%	3.24	3.23	—
2017	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	12	106	450	88	26	5	39%	3.4	19.6%	5.8%	13.8%	1.1%	3.24	2.79	—
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	18	128	546	124	21	9	55%	3.9	19.5%	4.1%	15.4%	1.9%	3.88	2.99	—
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	18	128	546	124	21	9	55%	3.9	22.7%	3.8%	18.9%	1.6%	3.88	2.57	—
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	11	128	543	102	26	26	41%	4.7	15.4%	5.2%	10.2%	5.5%	4.86	5.47	—
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	11	128	543	102	26	26	41%	4.7	18.8%	4.8%	14.0%	4.8%	4.86	4.76	—
2021	30	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	30	15	96	425	106	35	31	50%	3.2	21.9%	8.6%	13.3%	7.8%	6.94	6.63	—
2021	30	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	30	15	96	425	106	35	31	50%	3.2	24.9%	8.2%	16.7%	7.3%	6.94	6.18	—
2022	31	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	23	11	85	344	72	19	6	48%	3.7	18.4%	5.8%	12.6%	2.0%	2.87	3.36	—
2022	31	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	23	11	85	344	72	19	6	48%	3.7	20.9%	5.5%	15.4%	1.7%	2.87	2.99	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	30	25	138	637	103	55	30	83%	4.6	13.9%	7.8%	6.1%	5.2%	7.19	5.74	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	30	25	138	637	103	55	30	83%	4.6	13.9%	7.8%	6.1%	5.2%	7.19	5.74	—
2023	32	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	30	25	138	637	103	55	30	83%	4.6	16.2%	8.6%	7.5%	4.7%	7.19	5.64	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.3%	8.2%	8.1%	3.4%	5.00	5.00	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	LAA	71	0	74	313	57	25	12	0%	1.0	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	3.7%	4.96	4.99	-0.4
2028	37	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	65	273	49	24	11	0%	1.0	17.8%	8.7%	9.1%	4.1%	5.15	5.31	-0.5
2027	36	MLB CTX	LAA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	3.7%	4.96	4.99	-0.0
2028	37	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.8%	8.7%	9.1%	4.1%	5.15	5.31	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	0.7	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	3.7%	4.96	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	270	0	0	0%	1.1	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	3.7%	4.96	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		211	93	761	3272	566	205	125	44%	3.6	17.3%	6.3%	11.0%	3.8%	4.69	4.52	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	24	200	860	149	54	33	44%	3.6	17.3%	6.3%	11.0%	3.8%	4.69	4.52	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Kalish (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	16.3%	8.2%	3.4%	—	5.14	18.0%	9.7%	139	+0.14	—	—	—
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	69
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	60
Chris Michalak L 2006 · 5.71 FIP	35	SP-	5.71	6.2%	8.6%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	186	59
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	57
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	625	50
Orlando Lara L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	34	SP	4.09	22.0%	7.8%	3.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	426	49
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	48
Oscar Rivera L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	35	SP	4.10	10.7%	7.2%	1.8%	.309	5.80	9.8%	2.0%	42	+1.70	3.68	237	47
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	47
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	46
Jorge Castillo L 2017 · 4.97 FIP	35	SP	4.97	11.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.337	4.91	19.6%	11.5%	119	-0.06	4.50	408	44
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	42
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	41
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	40
Andrew Albers L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	35	SP	4.60	16.9%	3.7%	4.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	568	38
Hideki Okajima L 2010 · 4.27 FIP	34	SU	4.27	15.5%	7.0%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	238	38
John Bale L 2009 · 4.31 FIP	35	SU	4.31	17.6%	11.8%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	36
Tiago Da Silva R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	34	SW	3.95	15.0%	7.2%	2.2%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	287	34
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	34
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	33

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	74	17.4%	8.3%	1.43	5.03
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Joe Biagini ('21)	1.7	83	19.0%	7.9%	1.28	5.03
JC Ramírez ('19)	1.4	72	16.4%	8.4%	1.44	4.71
Jimmy Gobble ('09)	2.2	73	14.7%	8.8%	1.38	5.29
Travis Harper ('06)	2.1	69	15.0%	7.5%	1.33	4.94
Carlos Castillo ('01)	1.1	70	14.2%	9.0%	1.58	5.04