José De León

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 34 RHP 6'0" / 220 lbs AAA

Overview

AAASP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	29	MIX3 levels	11	6	13	4.05	3.85	33.9%	13.6%	—	K 33.9% · BB 13.6% · FIP 3.82
2023	30	MIX2 levels	21	5	45	4.03	3.48	23.0%	9.1%	0.6	K 21.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.62
2025	32	MIX2 levels	23	14	82	6.70	5.44	24.9%	14.1%	-0.5	K 21.1% · BB 12.9% · FIP 5.66
2027PROJ	34	MLBBOS	22	22	134	5.37	5.38	21.1%	13.3%	-0.7
2028PROJ6% MLB	35	MLBBOS	1	1	7	5.46	5.60	20.2%	13.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ0% MLB	36	MLBBOS	—	—	0	5.66	5.86	19.3%	13.4%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control35Command45FB velo47

CompsJarrett Grube (age 34) · Tim Adleman (age 34) · Paolo Espino (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.38

K%21.1%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP134

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 134 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5050

SL+1.6 (25%)

FB+0.6 (48%)

CU (24%)

CT-1.1 (15%)

CH-1.2 (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	114	465	163	36	12	100%	5.0	27.9%	8.6%	19.3%	3.0%	2.99	3.50	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	114	465	163	36	12	100%	5.0	35.1%	7.7%	27.3%	2.6%	2.99	2.56	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	103	422	126	26	14	100%	5.2	26.7%	6.4%	20.3%	3.6%	3.22	3.64	+1.6
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	103	422	126	26	14	100%	5.2	29.9%	6.2%	23.7%	3.3%	3.22	3.18	+2.2
2017	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	8	41	170	46	19	3	73%	3.7	23.0%	14.6%	8.4%	0.9%	3.51	3.52	+0.7
2017	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	11	8	41	170	46	19	3	73%	3.7	27.1%	11.2%	15.9%	1.8%	3.51	3.20	+0.9
2019	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	15	60	262	81	32	5	68%	2.7	28.9%	12.8%	16.2%	1.8%	3.45	3.24	+1.2
2019	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	15	60	262	81	32	5	68%	2.7	30.9%	12.2%	18.7%	1.9%	3.45	3.08	+1.3
2020	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	5	0	6	35	10	9	1	0%	1.2	28.6%	25.7%	2.9%	2.9%	18.00	5.51	-0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	5	0	6	35	10	9	1	0%	1.2	28.6%	25.7%	2.9%	2.9%	18.00	6.43	-0.1
2021	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	2	32	151	56	18	6	9%	1.4	35.0%	12.9%	22.1%	3.3%	7.03	3.60	+0.4
2021	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	2	32	151	56	18	6	9%	1.4	37.1%	11.9%	25.2%	4.0%	7.03	3.73	+0.3
2022	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	6	13	59	20	8	2	55%	1.2	33.9%	13.6%	20.3%	3.4%	4.05	3.82	—
2022	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	6	13	59	20	8	2	55%	1.2	33.9%	13.6%	20.3%	3.4%	4.05	3.85	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	5	45	187	43	17	4	24%	2.1	21.0%	8.4%	12.6%	2.2%	4.03	3.62	+0.5
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	5	45	187	43	17	4	24%	2.1	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	2.1%	4.03	3.48	+0.6
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	82	390	97	55	17	61%	3.6	21.1%	12.9%	8.2%	4.9%	6.70	5.66	-0.7
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	82	390	97	55	17	61%	3.6	21.1%	12.9%	8.2%	4.9%	6.70	5.66	-0.7
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	14	82	390	97	55	17	61%	3.6	24.9%	14.1%	10.8%	4.4%	6.70	5.44	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			35	8	72	340	92	39	14	23%	2.1	27.1%	11.5%	15.6%	4.1%	7.12	4.70	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	BOS	22	22	134	566	119	75	21	100%	6.1	21.1%	13.3%	7.8%	3.6%	5.37	5.38	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	BOS	20	20	120	509	103	67	20	100%	6.0	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	3.9%	5.46	5.60	-0.9
2029	36	MLB MLE	BOS	18	18	107	450	87	60	19	100%	5.9	19.3%	13.4%	5.9%	4.2%	5.66	5.86	-1.1
2028	35	MLB CTX	BOS	1	1	7	30	6	4	1	100%	7.0	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	3.9%	5.46	5.60	-0.1
2029	36	MLB CTX	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.3%	13.4%	5.9%	4.2%	5.66	5.86	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		36	9	79	368	98	43	15	25%	2.2	26.5%	11.6%	14.9%	4.1%	6.98	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		92	23	200	936	249	109	38	25%	2.2	26.5%	11.6%	14.9%	4.1%	6.98	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		159	93	497	2141	562	228	67	58%	3.1	26.2%	10.7%	15.6%	3.1%	4.31	3.95	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	37	200	862	226	92	27	58%	3.1	26.2%	10.7%	15.6%	3.1%	4.31	3.95	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José De León (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	21.1%	13.3%	3.6%	—	5.72	19.8%	6.5%	227	+0.34	—	—	—
Jarrett Grube R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	34	SP-	4.74	18.9%	7.2%	4.2%	.280	4.41	15.8%	7.7%	134	-0.33	3.75	393	62
Tim Adleman R 2022 · 5.69 FIP	34	SP-	5.69	17.5%	8.6%	5.4%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	605	57
Paolo Espino R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	34	SP-	4.32	20.2%	5.1%	4.2%	.277	4.81	16.6%	10.9%	260	+0.49	3.42	933	55
Guillermo Moscoso R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	34	SP-	5.07	18.2%	8.4%	4.5%	.318	4.35	12.6%	5.9%	104	-0.72	3.56	486	54
Zach Neal R 2023 · 5.98 FIP	34	SW	5.98	15.6%	6.0%	6.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	732	53
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	52
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	51
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	51
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	49
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	49
David Buchanan R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	35	SP-	4.26	14.7%	6.5%	2.9%	.337	5.56	12.2%	4.1%	29	+1.30	3.88	560	48
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	48
Daniel Guerrero R 2019 · 5.59 FIP	34	SW	5.59	14.7%	11.1%	4.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	269	47
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	45
Leo Medrano R 2016 · 4.34 FIP	33	SP	4.34	11.0%	7.3%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	222	45
Pete Walker R 2003 · 5.73 FIP	34	SW	5.73	12.0%	9.1%	4.5%	.267	4.70	14.0%	5.1%	114	-1.03	4.45	327	45
Manuel Flores R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	33	SP	4.32	17.1%	7.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	515	45
Rolando Valdez R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	33	SP-	5.36	11.7%	7.6%	4.2%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	258	44
Matt Buschmann R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP	4.84	12.8%	8.4%	3.2%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	277	41
Michael Nix R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	33	SP	4.60	11.9%	11.6%	1.9%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	234	40

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	144	21.5%	13.2%	1.52	5.76
Johnnie Wittig ('38-'49, -2 WAR*)	1.5	102	19.4%*	11.7%*	1.68*	5.81*
Carl Doyle ('35-'40, -4 WAR*)	1.1	74	21.0%*	13.5%*	1.27*	6.75*
Steve Dunning ('70-'77, -1 WAR*)	3.1	123	20.2%*	11.5%*	1.71*	5.25*
Sean Douglass ('05)	1.0	52	16.6%	12.1%	1.47	6.11
Ruben Quevedo ('03)	1.6	82	15.8%	11.7%	1.93	6.15
Ken Cloude ('99)	1.4	93	15.0%	11.7%	1.52	6.56