Mike Morin — OGILVIE

Mike Morin P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 35 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.36

FIP4.47

K%21.5%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.6

Whiff%

p2321.5%

p1012.4%

xwOBA vs

p340.331

FB+1.1

CH+1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	62	1	54	238	61	13	6	2%	0.9	24.7%	5.7%	19.0%	2.7%	6.20	3.22	+0.9
2015	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	62	1	54	238	61	13	6	2%	0.9	25.6%	5.5%	20.2%	2.5%	6.20	3.01	+1.0
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	71	0	66	265	60	15	8	0%	0.9	21.6%	6.2%	15.4%	2.6%	4.25	3.48	+0.8
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	71	0	66	265	60	15	8	0%	0.9	22.6%	5.7%	17.0%	3.0%	4.25	3.54	+0.8
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	59	247	41	11	8	3%	1.6	15.4%	4.6%	10.8%	3.6%	4.55	4.34	+0.1
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	59	247	41	11	8	3%	1.6	16.6%	4.5%	12.1%	3.2%	4.55	4.03	+0.4
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	3	58	243	58	13	3	7%	1.3	20.3%	6.1%	14.3%	1.6%	4.06	3.03	+1.1
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	3	58	243	58	13	3	7%	1.3	23.9%	5.3%	18.5%	1.2%	4.06	2.44	+1.5
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	1	63	260	38	13	7	2%	1.0	14.1%	5.1%	9.0%	2.6%	4.16	3.98	+0.4
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	1	63	260	38	13	7	2%	1.0	14.6%	5.0%	9.6%	2.7%	4.16	3.96	+0.4
2020	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	3	0	4	12	2	1	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.75	+0.1
2020	29	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	3	0	4	12	2	1	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.85	+0.1
2023	32	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	16	1	18	82	16	11	3	6%	1.1	16.2%	12.1%	4.1%	4.1%	5.09	5.51	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	16	1	18	82	16	11	3	6%	1.1	16.2%	12.1%	4.1%	4.1%	5.09	5.51	—
2023	32	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	16	1	18	82	16	11	3	6%	1.1	19.5%	13.4%	6.1%	3.7%	5.09	5.36	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			181	0	170	711	140	36	18	0%	0.9	19.7%	5.1%	14.6%	2.5%	5.15	3.47	+2.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	ATL	4	0	4	17	4	2	0	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.3%	12.1%	2.9%	4.36	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	ATL	44	0	46	193	40	19	6	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.3%	4.65	4.84	-0.2
2028	37	MLB MLE	ATL	38	0	40	169	33	18	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	3.7%	5.00	5.24	-0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.3%	4.65	4.84	—
2028	37	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	3.7%	5.00	5.24	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		181	0	170	713	140	36	18	0%	0.9	19.7%	5.1%	14.6%	2.5%	5.14	3.47	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		213	0	200	838	165	42	21	0%	0.9	19.7%	5.1%	14.6%	2.5%	5.14	3.47	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		294	7	321	1347	255	80	36	2%	1.1	18.9%	5.9%	13.0%	2.7%	4.57	3.72	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		183	4	200	840	159	50	22	2%	1.1	18.9%	5.9%	13.0%	2.7%	4.57	3.72	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mike Morin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	21.5%	9.3%	2.9%	—	5.03	19.9%	9.7%	86	+0.56	—	—	—
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	85
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	84
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	83
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	81
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	81
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	80
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	79
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	78
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	78
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	77
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	77
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	76
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	244	76
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	76
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	75
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	74
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	74
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	72
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	71
Greg Holland R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	21.8%	9.9%	4.0%	.255	—	—	—	—	—	1.97	268	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	20.5%	9.9%	1.28	4.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86