Mike Morin
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.1
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
xFIP4.87
SIERA5.21
K%23.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.5%
IP13
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p1091.6
Whiff%
p2321.5%
K%
p1012.4%
xwOBA vs
p340.331
FB+1.1
CH+1.0
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 1 | 54 | 238 | 61 | 13 | 6 | 24.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 6.20 | 3.20 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 71 | 0 | 66 | 265 | 60 | 15 | 8 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.25 | 3.47 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 38 | 1 | 59 | 247 | 41 | 11 | 8 | 15.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 44 | 3 | 58 | 243 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 20.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 4.06 | 3.03 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 60 | 1 | 63 | 260 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 14.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.16 | 3.87 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 16 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 5.09 | 5.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 13 | — | 13 | 55 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 294 | 7 | 321 | 1347 | 256 | 82 | 35 | 19.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 3.70 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 4 | 200 | 840 | 160 | 51 | 22 | 19.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 3.70 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mike Morin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.71 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 83 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 78 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 77 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 76 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 76 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Luke Gregerson R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.71 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 192 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 74 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 74 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 73 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 72 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 72 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 358 | 71 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.