Trevor May projections, WAR, contract

Trevor May P Oakland Athletics

Age 36 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.18

FIP4.35

K%23.4%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP132

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5294.7

Whiff%

p3823.6%

p3219.5%

xwOBA vs

p360.328

CH+3.1

SL+1.8

FB-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2014	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	10	9	46	213	44	21	7	90%	4.6	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.3%	7.88	4.40	+0.3
2014	24	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	10	9	46	213	44	21	7	90%	4.6	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.3%	7.88	4.55	+0.2
2015	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	48	16	115	492	110	24	11	33%	2.4	22.4%	4.9%	17.5%	2.2%	4.00	3.05	+2.1
2015	25	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	48	16	115	492	110	24	11	33%	2.4	22.4%	4.9%	17.5%	2.2%	4.00	3.06	+2.1
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	46	201	66	17	7	0%	1.0	32.1%	8.6%	23.5%	3.7%	5.05	3.52	+0.6
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	46	201	66	17	7	0%	1.0	32.8%	8.5%	24.4%	3.5%	5.05	3.32	+0.7
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	6	55	235	66	24	6	16%	1.5	26.1%	9.8%	16.3%	2.9%	3.42	3.74	+0.5
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	6	55	235	66	24	6	16%	1.5	28.1%	10.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.42	3.43	+0.7
2019	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	65	0	64	266	79	25	8	0%	1.0	29.7%	9.4%	20.3%	3.0%	2.94	3.43	+0.9
2019	29	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	65	0	64	266	79	25	8	0%	1.0	29.7%	9.4%	20.3%	3.0%	2.94	3.43	+0.9
2020	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	24	0	23	96	38	7	5	0%	1.0	39.6%	7.3%	32.3%	5.2%	3.86	3.53	+0.3
2020	30	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	24	0	23	96	38	7	5	0%	1.0	39.6%	7.3%	32.3%	5.2%	3.86	3.53	+0.3
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Mets	68	0	63	266	83	20	10	0%	0.9	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.8%	3.59	3.49	+0.8
2021	31	MLB RAW	New York Mets	68	0	63	266	83	20	10	0%	0.9	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.8%	3.59	3.48	+0.8
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	29	128	34	10	4	0%	1.0	27.0%	8.1%	18.9%	3.6%	4.97	3.83	+0.2
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	29	128	34	10	4	0%	1.0	26.6%	7.8%	18.8%	3.1%	4.97	3.58	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	2.1%	3.40	4.11	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	2.1%	3.40	4.11	+0.3
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	18.9%	11.7%	7.2%	2.7%	3.40	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			358	26	450	1939	520	151	60	7%	1.3	26.8%	7.8%	19.0%	3.1%	4.24	3.53	+5.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4%	9.7%	13.7%	2.9%	4.18	4.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	112	0	117	496	111	51	17	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.4%	12.0%	3.4%	4.52	4.75	-0.3
2028	38	MLB MLE	OAK	96	0	101	426	90	47	16	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	3.8%	4.92	5.18	-0.7
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	111	0	117	494	110	51	17	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.4%	12.0%	3.4%	4.52	4.75	-0.3
2028	38	MLB CTX	OAK	96	0	101	426	90	47	16	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	3.8%	4.92	5.18	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		566	26	669	2861	721	250	93	5%	1.2	25.2%	8.7%	16.5%	3.2%	4.39	3.86	+5.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	8	200	856	216	75	28	5%	1.2	25.2%	8.7%	16.5%	3.2%	4.39	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		384	31	492	2119	558	174	65	8%	1.3	26.3%	8.2%	18.1%	3.0%	4.19	3.59	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	13	200	862	227	71	26	8%	1.3	26.3%	8.2%	18.1%	3.0%	4.19	3.59	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor May (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	23.4%	9.7%	2.9%	—	4.95	21.8%	11.1%	218	+0.60	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	65
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	64
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	60
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	58
Daniel Bard R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	36	SU	3.62	26.3%	11.5%	2.3%	.337	3.64	24.6%	10.3%	110	+0.02	2.56	456	57
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	56
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	55
Matt Bush R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	36	SU	3.73	30.3%	6.6%	4.3%	.224	3.79	26.2%	17.5%	36	+0.06	2.87	249	52
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	52
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	52
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	52
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	52
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	52
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	49
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	49
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	48
Pete Walker R 2005 · 4.79 FIP	36	SU	4.79	12.0%	9.2%	2.8%	.261	4.45	19.6%	11.6%	30	-0.34	4.45	327	48
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	46
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	40
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	37

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	67	24.9%	9.3%	1.24	4.35
Brett Cecil ('18)	3.8	76	20.7%	8.3%	1.14	4.29
Joaquín Benoit ('17)	5.3	71	23.5%	9.7%	1.09	3.83
David Hernandez ('19)	3.2	65	23.9%	9.1%	1.22	4.12
David Phelps ('22)	3.4	76	22.9%	9.4%	0.94	3.80
Wade Davis ('21)	5.0	83	22.1%	9.3%	0.95	3.94
Juan Nicasio ('20)	3.6	80	21.3%	8.3%	1.04	4.71