Danny Coulombe
P
Boston Red Sox
Age 36
LHP
5'10" / 190 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9099vR 109
ERA3.63
FIP3.91
K%19.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.8
Whiff%
p1017.1%
K%
p1010.4%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
SL (17%)
SI (30%)
CU (6%)
FB (40%)
CT (37%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 57 | 250 | 52 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 3.92 | 3.52 | +0.7 |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 57 | 250 | 52 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 0.4% | 3.92 | 3.19 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 73 | 289 | 89 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.3% | 7.0% | 22.3% | 2.2% | 3.34 | 2.70 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 73 | 289 | 89 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.8% | 6.9% | 23.9% | 2.1% | 3.34 | 2.55 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 72 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 3.48 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 72 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 3.48 | 3.82 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 52 | 220 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 2% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 3.46 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 52 | 220 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 2% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 3.6% | 3.46 | 4.00 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 31 | 0 | 36 | 169 | 61 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.8% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 5.0% | 4.71 | 4.49 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 31 | 0 | 36 | 169 | 61 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.1% | 10.1% | 26.0% | 5.3% | 4.71 | 4.37 | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.07 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 55 | 218 | 60 | 9 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 21.8% | 2.7% | 2.96 | 2.90 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 55 | 218 | 60 | 9 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 27.5% | 4.1% | 23.4% | 2.8% | 2.96 | 2.83 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 17.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.88 | 3.82 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 12 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 16.1% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.88 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 52 | 213 | 60 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.6% | 5.7% | 21.9% | 1.8% | 2.75 | 2.46 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 52 | 213 | 60 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.2% | 5.6% | 22.5% | 1.9% | 2.75 | 2.49 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 32 | 117 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.9% | 4.7% | 25.2% | 2.6% | 1.95 | 2.60 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 32 | 117 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.1% | 4.3% | 24.8% | 2.6% | 1.95 | 2.67 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 58 | 1 | 46 | 188 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 0.8 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 2.15 | 3.25 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 58 | 1 | 46 | 188 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 0.8 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.15 | 3.17 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 31 | 1 | 24 | 103 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 3% | 0.8 | 10.4% | 15.6% | -5.2% | 1.0% | 4.56 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 52 | 222 | 35 | 27 | 5 | — | — | 15.6% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.06 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 50 | 212 | 35 | 27 | 5 | — | — | 16.4% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.19 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 432 | 2 | 402 | 1663 | 375 | 154 | 38 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.52 | 3.62 | +8.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 215 | 1 | 200 | 827 | 186 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.52 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 504 | 5 | 496 | 2061 | 496 | 185 | 46 | 1% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.2% | 3.23 | 3.43 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 2 | 200 | 831 | 200 | 75 | 18 | 1% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.2% | 3.23 | 3.43 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Coulombe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.85 | 24.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% | — | 4.61 | 19.9% | 9.2% | 44 | +0.76 | — | — | — |
| Brooks Raley L 2025 · 3.03 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.03 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .268 | 2.36 | 24.7% | 17.5% | 61 | -0.67 | 1.74 | 238 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.97 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.65 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.68 | 2.35 | 306 | 73 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.22 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .308 | 5.02 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.80 | 4.22 | 159 | 71 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.28 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 1.1% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 195 | 71 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 68 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | .290 | 3.24 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.59 | 3.24 | 156 | 66 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 65 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | -0.04 | 3.68 | 405 | 65 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 63 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 57 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.82 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.72 | 3.10 | 174 | 37 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 36 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 36 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 36 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 35 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 35 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 35 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 35 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 35 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 35 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 47 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 0.99 | 3.92 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Cory Gearrin ('19) | 4 | 57 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 0.79 | 3.42 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |