Danny Coulombe — OGILVIE

Danny Coulombe P Boston Red Sox

Age 36 LHP 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93101vR 109

ERA3.72

FIP4.00

K%19.9%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.8

Whiff%

p1017.1%

p1010.4%

xwOBA vs

p420.321

SL (17%)

SI (30%)

CU (6%)

FB (40%)

CT (37%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	57	250	52	32	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.3%	5.6%	0.5%	3.92	3.47	+0.7
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	57	250	52	32	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.8%	8.0%	0.4%	3.92	3.19	+0.9
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	73	289	89	20	6	0%	1.3	29.3%	7.0%	22.3%	2.3%	3.34	2.76	+1.6
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	73	289	89	20	6	0%	1.3	30.8%	6.9%	23.9%	2.1%	3.34	2.55	+1.8
2017	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	72	0	52	219	39	21	4	0%	0.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.2%	2.0%	3.48	3.91	+0.4
2017	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	72	0	52	219	39	21	4	0%	0.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.2%	1.8%	3.48	3.82	+0.4
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	52	220	54	17	8	2%	1.0	23.0%	7.9%	15.2%	4.0%	3.46	4.36	+0.1
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	52	220	54	17	8	2%	1.0	24.5%	7.7%	16.8%	3.6%	3.46	4.00	+0.3
2019	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	31	0	36	169	61	17	9	0%	1.2	31.8%	10.6%	21.2%	5.4%	4.71	4.71	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	31	0	36	169	61	17	9	0%	1.2	36.1%	10.1%	26.0%	5.3%	4.71	4.37	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	2	0	3	13	3	3	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.07	+0.0
2020	30	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	2	0	3	13	3	3	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.22	+0.0
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	55	218	60	9	6	2%	1.3	26.0%	4.2%	21.8%	2.7%	2.96	2.93	+1.1
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	55	218	60	9	6	2%	1.3	27.5%	4.1%	23.4%	2.8%	2.96	2.83	+1.1
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	1	14	62	10	10	1	8%	1.2	17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.88	3.82	+0.1
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	1	14	62	10	10	1	8%	1.2	16.1%	16.1%	0.0%	1.6%	1.88	4.70	-0.0
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	52	213	60	12	4	0%	0.8	27.6%	5.7%	21.9%	1.9%	2.75	2.54	+1.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	52	213	60	12	4	0%	0.8	27.6%	5.7%	21.9%	1.9%	2.75	2.54	+1.3
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	52	213	60	12	4	0%	0.8	28.2%	5.6%	22.5%	1.9%	2.75	2.49	+1.3
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.9%	4.7%	25.2%	2.8%	1.95	2.72	+0.7
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.9%	4.7%	25.2%	2.8%	1.95	2.72	+0.7
2024	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	32	117	34	5	3	0%	0.9	29.1%	4.3%	24.8%	2.6%	1.95	2.67	+0.7
2025	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	1.6%	2.15	3.20	+0.7
2025	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	1.6%	2.15	3.20	+0.7
2025	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	58	1	46	188	45	18	3	2%	0.8	23.9%	9.6%	14.4%	1.6%	2.15	3.17	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			367	2	334	1376	318	124	31	1%	0.9	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.3%	3.42	3.52	+4.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	1	24	103	11	15	2	3%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.1%	4.56	4.79	-0.1
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	1	24	103	11	15	2	3%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.1%	4.56	4.79	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	36	AA RAW	BOS	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	100%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	36	AAA RAW	BOS	1	0	1	3	1	0	1	0%	0.7	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	33.3%	13.50	18.58	—
2026	36	MLB RAW	BOS	29	0	22	96	10	15	1	0%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.0%	4.50	4.77	-0.1
SO FAR	36	MLB RAW	BOS	29	0	22	96	10	15	1	0%	0.8	10.4%	15.6%	-5.2%	1.0%	4.50	4.77	-0.1
ROS	36	MLB MLE	BOS	4	0	4	18	4	2	0	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.0%	10.0%	2.4%	3.72	4.00	+0.0
ROS	36	MLB CTX	BOS	4	0	4	17	3	2	0	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.0%	10.0%	2.4%	3.72	4.00	+0.0
2026 TOT	36	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	28	121	15	17	2	—	—	12.0%	13.9%	-1.8%	2.0%	4.44	4.67	-0.0
FULL	36	MLB A+C	BOS	—	—	26	111	15	17	2	—	—	13.1%	15.2%	-2.0%	2.2%	4.72	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	BOS	42	0	44	185	37	20	5	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.7%	9.2%	2.7%	4.34	4.61	-0.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	BOS	38	0	40	169	34	18	4	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.7%	9.2%	2.7%	4.34	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		409	2	378	1562	355	144	36	0%	0.9	22.7%	9.2%	13.5%	2.3%	3.52	3.61	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		216	1	200	826	188	76	19	0%	0.9	22.7%	9.2%	13.5%	2.3%	3.52	3.61	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		504	5	496	2061	496	185	48	1%	1.0	24.1%	9.0%	15.1%	2.3%	3.23	3.47	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		203	2	200	831	200	75	19	1%	1.0	24.1%	9.0%	15.1%	2.3%	3.23	3.47	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Coulombe (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.85	24.4%	8.5%	2.5%	—	4.61	19.9%	9.2%	44	+0.76	—	—	—
Brooks Raley L 2023 · 3.03 FIP	35	SU	3.03	25.8%	9.3%	1.7%	.268	2.93	24.2%	16.9%	77	-0.10	1.74	255	79
Tony Sipp L 2019 · 3.28 FIP	36	SU	3.28	19.6%	9.8%	1.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	195	74
Craig Breslow L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	36	SU	4.22	14.5%	7.5%	2.5%	.308	5.13	17.8%	2.7%	19	+0.91	4.22	159	74
Fernando Abad L 2022 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	15.6%	7.0%	2.7%	.290	4.37	21.1%	17.1%	38	+0.24	2.37	306	73
Neal Cotts L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	36	SU	4.37	18.0%	6.8%	3.5%	.290	3.21	25.5%	17.5%	48	-1.16	3.21	156	71
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	68
Jerry Blevins L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	35	SU	4.09	26.2%	9.9%	3.5%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	166	68
Jorge De La Rosa L 2017 · 4.09 FIP	36	SU	4.09	20.5%	7.8%	3.2%	.260	4.07	19.3%	9.8%	56	-0.02	3.86	405	63
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	63
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	57
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	3.11	174	37
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	37
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	37
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	36
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	36
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	36
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	35
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	35
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	35
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	35

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	47	22.3%	9.5%	0.99	3.93
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19