Humberto Castellanos

Humberto Castellanos P Reno Aces

Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 222 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.11

FIP5.23

K%15.3%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

CT (27%)

SI (32%)

CU (15%)

FB (46%)

CH (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	11	50	222	32	11	0	85%	3.9	9.8%	6.2%	3.6%	0.0%	4.29	3.06	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	13	11	50	222	32	11	0	85%	3.9	14.4%	5.0%	9.5%	0.0%	4.29	2.48	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	11	3	42	177	38	9	2	27%	3.8	14.6%	6.4%	8.2%	1.6%	2.55	3.54	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	11	3	42	177	38	9	2	27%	3.8	21.5%	5.1%	16.4%	1.1%	2.55	2.56	—
2018	20	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	21	0	43	185	48	11	0	0%	2.0	19.2%	7.0%	12.2%	0.0%	2.09	2.37	—
2018	20	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	21	0	43	185	48	11	0	0%	2.0	25.9%	5.9%	20.0%	0.0%	2.09	1.63	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	75	306	83	14	6	0%	2.2	20.8%	5.3%	15.5%	2.5%	2.89	3.41	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	75	306	83	14	6	0%	2.2	27.1%	4.6%	22.5%	2.0%	2.89	2.48	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	8	0	11	51	12	5	2	0%	1.3	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	4.0%	6.75	4.57	-0.0
2020	22	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	8	0	11	51	12	5	2	0%	1.3	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	3.9%	6.75	4.69	-0.0
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	103	443	88	28	21	73%	4.0	18.3%	6.5%	11.8%	5.3%	4.96	5.29	-0.5
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	19	103	443	88	28	21	73%	4.0	19.9%	6.3%	13.5%	4.7%	4.96	4.85	+0.1
2022	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	9	44	194	32	12	7	82%	4.0	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	3.8%	5.68	4.59	+0.2
2022	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	9	44	194	32	12	7	82%	4.0	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	3.6%	5.68	4.52	+0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	19.8%	8.2%	11.6%	4.8%	3.94	5.10	-0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	19.8%	8.2%	11.6%	4.8%	3.94	5.10	-0.3
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	4.4%	3.94	4.71	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	16	111	489	80	36	16	40%	2.8	16.4%	7.4%	9.0%	3.3%	5.43	4.51	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	15.3%	9.0%	6.3%	3.5%	5.11	5.23	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	291	43	27	11	0%	1.0	14.7%	9.2%	5.5%	3.6%	5.28	5.39	-0.6
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	65	274	38	26	10	0%	1.0	14.0%	9.5%	4.5%	3.8%	5.47	5.59	-0.7
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	24	0	25	106	16	10	4	0%	1.0	14.7%	9.2%	5.5%	3.6%	5.28	5.39	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	34	0	36	152	21	14	6	0%	1.1	14.0%	9.5%	4.5%	3.8%	5.47	5.59	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		98	16	172	747	117	60	26	16%	1.8	15.7%	8.1%	7.6%	3.4%	5.42	4.68	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		114	19	200	868	136	70	30	16%	1.8	15.7%	8.1%	7.6%	3.4%	5.42	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		152	62	483	2054	366	139	66	41%	3.2	17.8%	6.8%	11.1%	3.2%	3.97	4.23	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	26	200	851	152	58	27	41%	3.2	17.8%	6.8%	11.1%	3.2%	3.97	4.23	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Humberto Castellanos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	15.3%	9.0%	3.5%	—	5.49	14.4%	5.0%	134	+0.26	—	—	—
Christian Bergman R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	15.3%	5.6%	4.0%	.309	4.62	15.0%	9.1%	322	-0.12	3.99	467	81
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	78
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	78
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	76
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	75
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	73
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	72
Tim Melville R 2018 · 5.02 FIP	28	SW	5.02	15.6%	9.5%	3.7%	.308	5.65	18.2%	9.0%	130	+0.63	3.67	471	72
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	12.6%	5.3%	3.0%	.289	3.81	15.5%	7.0%	329	-0.56	3.13	593	72
Ryan Weber R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	28	SP-	4.12	16.3%	6.6%	2.8%	.317	4.35	18.4%	14.1%	186	+0.23	2.88	727	72
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	71
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	71
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	71
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	71
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	71
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	69	14.7%	9.2%	1.40	5.28
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14