Justin Turner1B Chicago Cubs
Age 41 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs MLB Svc 17.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 281 proj PA
wRC+†vL 112106vR 92
AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .340 / .393
PA281
HR7
K%18
BB%10
ISO139
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +2.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: -5.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +8.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.30.0-0.12628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT55
Whiff%
897.0%
xwOBA
690.330
POWER40
Barrel%
255.0
Avg EV
4088.4
Bat Spd
1066.3
EYE55
Chase%
6229.4%
SPEED41
Sprint
1025.3
DEFENSE55
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 730 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
250
480
wRC+
112
91
◀◀L
wOBA
332
305
L
ISO
152
097
◀◀L
BABIP
300
281
L
K%
18.0%
18.1%
BB%
9.6%
10.4%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2009
Service   17.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$1M+0.2$0.8M-$0.4M
Totals $1M $0.8M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200621 ROKBillings Mustangs 263241 621224 13557 122 257314373688 116315 215 301 89
200621 ROKBillings Mustangs 263231 781636 23387 122 338414511925 173381 149 407 170
200722 A2 teams 537498 1312048 281019 128 263314367681 104315 195 295 84
200722 A2 teams 537486 14925410 40749 128 307370436806 130344 147 360 134
200823 AA2 teams 474429 1111927 32974 52 259316361677 103314 207 298 86
200823 AA2 teams 474416 1242228 45734 52 298372418790 120340 159 350 126
200924 AAA2 teams 463416 1152502 27488 94 276333351684 75302 106 298 87
200924 AAA2 teams 463405 1192802 38408 94 294366378744 84315 98 331 111
201025 AAA3 teams 551503 13625112 31798 74 270323396719 125299 146 308 94
201025 AAA3 teams 551493 15138113 41618 74 306369467836 160327 117 366 138
201126 MLB2 teams 531476 1243324 406612 72 261333363697 103295 128 309 95 -3 +1 -9 +2 +15 0.5
201126 MLB2 teams 531475 1253324 416512 72 263337366703 103297 128 319 102 +1 +1 -9 +2 +15 1.0
201227 MLB2 teams 272252 671913 13355 11 266315385700 119296 135 315 99 -0 -0 -0 +1 +8 0.8
201227 MLB2 teams 272251 611813 14395 11 243296359655 116275 145 293 82 -5 -0 -0 +1 +8 0.3
201328 MLB2 teams 231215 621512 12362 01 288332395727 107337 165 315 99 -0 -0 +1 +1 +7 0.8
201328 MLB2 teams 231215 621512 12362 01 288332395727 107337 165 323 106 +1 -0 +1 +1 +7 0.9
201429 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 322288 1002217 28584 61 347412503916 156413 189 402 166 +24 +1 -1 +1 +9 3.5
201429 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 322288 982117 28584 61 340406493899 153404 189 398 163 +23 +1 -1 +1 +9 3.4
201530 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 439385 11627117 367113 52 301380509889 208329 168 384 152 +26 +0 +3 +2 +12 4.3
201530 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 439385 11326116 367113 52 294373491864 197321 168 379 148 +24 +0 +3 +2 +12 4.2
201631 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 622556 15936329 4810710 41 286353518871 232304 178 370 141 +29 +0 +6 +2 +18 5.6
201631 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 622556 15334327 4810710 41 275344493836 218293 178 363 136 +26 +0 +6 +2 +18 5.3
201732 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 543457 15234022 595619 71 333430551981 219337 1011 415 176 +46 +1 +3 +2 +15 6.9
201732 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 543457 14732021 595619 71 322421530950 208326 1011 414 175 +46 +1 +3 +2 +15 6.9
201833 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 426365 11732115 475412 21 321415537952 216342 1311 410 172 +34 +0 -0 +2 +12 4.9
201833 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 426365 11431114 475412 21 312408518926 205334 1311 408 170 +34 +0 -0 +2 +12 4.8
201934 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 549479 14425029 518814 20 301384534919 234313 169 393 159 +37 +0 +4 +2 +16 5.9
201934 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 549479 13924027 518814 20 290375509884 219304 169 387 154 +34 +0 +4 +2 +16 5.7
202035 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 175150 47914 18266 10 313408467875 153355 1510 390 157 +11 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.8
202035 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 175150 46914 18266 10 307402460862 153347 1510 385 153 +10 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.7
202136 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 612533 15323029 619812 30 287373493866 206301 1610 375 145 +31 +1 +2 +2 +17 5.4
202136 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 612533 14822027 619812 30 278365471836 193292 1610 368 140 +28 +1 +2 +2 +17 5.0
202237 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 532468 13538014 50896 30 288365459824 171324 179 354 129 +17 +1 -1 +2 +15 3.5
202237 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 532468 13036013 50896 30 278355438793 160313 179 349 126 +15 +1 -1 +2 +15 3.3
202338 MLBBoston Red Sox 626558 14828023 5111011 41 265339439778 174290 188 339 117 +12 +0 -5 -11 +18 1.4
202338 MLBBoston Red Sox 626558 15431023 5111011 41 276348455804 179304 188 354 129 +21 +0 -5 -11 +18 2.3
202439 MLBSeattle Mariners 539460 12225012 599513 02 265365398762 133306 1811 335 114 +9 -1 -2 -10 +15 1.2
202439 MLBSeattle Mariners 539460 11924011 599513 02 259359383742 124299 1811 335 114 +9 -1 -2 -10 +15 1.2
202540 MLBChicago Cubs 191169 37703 17371 20 219294314608 95256 199 268 63 -8 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.6
202540 MLBChicago Cubs 191169 37703 17371 20 219294314608 95256 199 274 68 -7 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202641 MLBCHC 281247 631307 27525 21 255341393733 138298 1910 332 112 +4 +0 +2 -5 +8 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202742 MLBCHC 100% 173151 37704 17323 10 245333371704 126288 1810 321 104 +1 +0 -9 -3 +5 -0.7
202843 MLBCHC 100% 10693 22402 10192 00 237324344668 108278 189 311 96 -0 +0 -10 -2 +3 -1.0
202742 MLBCHC 100% 173151 37704 17323 10 245333371704 126289 1810 310 96 -1 +0 -9 -3 +5 -0.8
202843 MLBCHC 100% 10693 22402 10192 00 237324344668 108279 189 300 88 -1 +0 -10 -2 +3 -1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 67815953 16763659207 6161063141 4813 282363450813 169309 169 359 133 +254 +4 -19 -7 +192 43.3
/ 162G 650571 16135120 5910214 51 282364452816 170310 169 359 133 +24 +1 -2 -1 +18 4.2
Career 94588389 236049820259 7751509186 9534 281355438793 157313 168 345 122 +238 +5 -17 -35 +268 46.8
/ 162G 650577 16234118 5310413 72 281355437791 156312 168 345 122 +16 +1 -1 -2 +18 3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200621 ROKBillings Mustangs 263231 781636 23387 122 338414511925 173381 149 407 170 +21 +2 +7 3.0
200722 A+Sarasota Reds 2120 4000 120 00 200238200438 222 105 206 16 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
200722 ADayton Dragons 516466 14525410 39729 128 311375446822 135350 148 367 139 +23 -1 +15 3.7
200823 AAChattanooga Lookouts 323280 811418 33541 21 289366432798 143326 1710 348 125 +9 +0 +9 1.9
200823 A+Sarasota Reds 151136 43810 12193 31 316384390774 74368 138 353 128 +5 +0 +4 0.9
200924 MLBBaltimore Orioles 2218 3000 430 00 167318167485 200 1418 250 50 -1 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.1
200924 AAANorfolk Tides 441387 1162802 34378 94 300368388756 88320 88 335 114 +7 +0 +12 2.0
201025 MLBNew York Mets 1817 1100 130 00 59111118229 5971 176 110 -57 -3 +0 -1 +2 +1 -0.2
201025 AAABuffalo Bisons 443396 12530112 33516 73 316377487864 172336 127 376 146 +23 +0 +13 3.7
201025 INTLLeones del Escogido 9080 25701 772 01 312382438820 125333 88 365 137 +4 -0 +3 0.6
201126 MLBNew York Mets 487435 1133004 395910 72 260335356691 97292 128 314 98 -1 +1 -9 +2 +14 0.6
201126 AAABuffalo Bisons 4440 12320 262 00 300364475839 175353 145 370 141 +2 +0 +1 0.3
201227 MLBNew York Mets 185171 461312 9244 11 269321392712 123301 135 318 102 +0 -0 -0 +1 +5 0.6
201227 INTLLeones del Escogido 8780 15501 5151 00 188244287532 100215 176 240 42 -6 +0 +2 -0.3
201328 MLBNew York Mets 214200 561312 11341 01 280321385706 105327 165 313 98 -0 -0 +1 +1 +6 0.7
201328 AABinghamton Mets 1715 6200 121 00 4004715331.004 133462 126 448 201 +2 +0 +0 0.2
201429 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 322288 982117 28584 61 340406493899 153404 189 398 163 +23 +1 -1 +1 +9 3.4
201530 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 439385 11326116 367113 52 294373491864 197321 168 379 148 +24 +0 +3 +2 +12 4.2
201631 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 622556 15334327 4810710 41 275344493836 218293 178 363 136 +26 +0 +6 +2 +18 5.3
201732 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 543457 14732021 595619 71 322421530950 208326 1011 414 175 +46 +1 +3 +2 +15 6.9
201833 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 426365 11431114 475412 21 312408518926 205334 1311 408 170 +34 +0 -0 +2 +12 4.8
201934 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 549479 13924027 518814 20 290375509884 219304 169 387 154 +34 +0 +4 +2 +16 5.7
202035 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 175150 46914 18266 10 307402460862 153347 1510 385 153 +10 +0 +1 +1 +5 1.7
202136 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 612533 14822027 619812 30 278365471836 193292 1610 368 140 +28 +1 +2 +2 +17 5.0
202237 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 532468 13036013 50896 30 278355438793 160313 179 349 126 +15 +1 -1 +2 +15 3.3
202338 MLBBoston Red Sox 626558 15431023 5111011 41 276348455804 179304 188 354 129 +21 +0 -5 -11 +18 2.3
202439 MLBSeattle Mariners 539460 11924011 599513 02 259359383742 124299 1811 335 114 +9 -1 -2 -10 +15 1.2
202540 MLBChicago Cubs 191169 37703 17371 20 219294314608 95256 199 274 68 -7 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 65025709 16173549201 5891012136 4713 283364454818 171311 169 362 135 +256 +4 +0 -2 +184 45.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jayson Werthlast yr '17
career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA
156,366229132267360455-68-3632.029.7
/1626642414-7.1-3.73.3pk7: 27
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons
187,02221450282359451-127+230.527.0
/162664205-12.0+0.22.9pk7: 23
#2Michael Brantleylast yr '23
career totals — 14 seasons, 6,106 PA
146,106129124298356440-50-5524.823.4
/1626641413-5.5-6.02.7pk7: 22
#3Justin Morneaulast yr '16
career totals — 14 seasons, 6,392 PA
146,3922475281348481-112-7522.421.6
/162664261-11.6-7.82.3pk7: 21
#4Brandon Beltlast yr '23
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA
135,48319447261357460-96-6219.318.2
/162664236-11.7-7.52.3pk7: 17
#5Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA
135,3572136265327453-95-1614.915.2
/162664261-11.8-2.01.8pk7: 16
#6David Peraltalast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,590 PA
114,59012539278335448-49-3614.614.1
/162664186-7.1-5.22.1pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Justin Turner (OGILVIE) 41 55 40 41 55 255/340/393 138298 72 18% 10% 112 +1.2
Jeff Conine
2007 · MLB
41 56→63 45→55 45→50 54 274/337/402 128302 115 13% 8% 111 +2.5 253/319/387 134278 138 14% 9% 100 +1.7 245/315/36912426512812%9%89+0.5
Raul Sanchez
2013 · AAA
40 53→55 44→45 44→50 44 257/302/373 116302 116 19% 5% 89 +1.0 240/302/346 106294 97 20% 6% 83 +0.6 255/333/329743135318%8%89+0.3
Ray Martinez
2009 · AAA
40 51→56 46→50 44→45 48 256/308/382 127289 157 17% 6% 95 +1.4 273/319/400 127325 138 19% 6% 104 +2.0 325/368/44311839311619%6%134+1.9
Cornelio Garcia
2006 · AAA
41 58→64 48→45 42→45 51 287/343/441 155332 145 18% 8% 124 +3.4 266/330/363 97321 79 18% 9% 98 +1.6 269/340/332633284817%9%91+0.5
Roberto Vizcarra
2007 · AAA
40 58→63 47→45 41→40 50 288/339/422 134289 156 8% 5% 118 +3.0 254/299/375 121260 156 9% 5% 89 +1.0 272/315/3861132741618%5%92+0.8
Ramon Orantes
2014 · AAA
40 58→63 44→45 37→40 43 283/318/393 111320 124 16% 4% 101 +1.8 252/288/342 90300 85 18% 4% 75 -0.0 262/298/332713116217%4%74-0.0
Abel Martinez
2017 · AAA
40 54→63 42→45 46→50 48 260/307/361 101281 109 12% 5% 89 +0.9 253/298/357 104295 118 18% 5% 84 +0.6 281/323/353723387018%5%89+0.3
Rafael Castaneda
2008 · AAA
40 54→64 44→50 41→40 50 264/310/384 120278 124 10% 6% 95 +1.4 243/304/367 124268 129 14% 7% 89 +0.9 251/334/3561052737710%10%95+0.3
Roberto Mendez
2014 · AAA
41 51→59 44→50 48→45 52 247/317/370 123300 115 21% 9% 95 +1.4 238/307/344 106296 99 21% 9% 84 +0.6 239/320/315762966720%11%82+0.2
Sharnol Adriana
2012 · AAA
41 51→61 47→55 34→60 52 251/325/384 132284 155 17% 8% 102 +1.9 250/315/376 126293 158 19% 8% 96 +1.5 269/329/39412531516619%7%102+0.8
Robert Perez
2009 · AAA
40 52→56 52→55 47→50 46 267/305/425 158277 2110 13% 5% 105 +2.1 259/294/398 139287 1612 16% 4% 93 +1.3 275/302/405130307141215%3%95+1.0
So Taguchi
2009 · MLB
40 54→58 39→45 50 53 256/319/348 92284 614 12% 8% 90 +1.0 234/308/334 100264 910 15% 8% 82 +0.5 222/303/289672516714%8%67-0.3
Hector Alvarez
2006 · AAA
40 60 42→40 40→45 42 288/327/392 104342 96 18% 4% 105 +2.1 259/297/359 100298 99 16% 4% 83 +0.6 268/301/350813026813%3%77+0.1
Benito Santiago
2004 · MLB
39 54→56 48→50 44→45 48 271/315/418 148298 154 15% 6% 107 +2.2 258/308/403 145294 165 18% 6% 100 +1.7 268/307/42415629819317%4%104+0.6
Barry Larkin
2004 · MLB
40 54→63 42→50 49→50 55 255/321/371 117278 810 12% 9% 97 +1.5 267/332/399 132289 127 12% 9% 108 +2.3 285/350/41312830312310%9%116+1.8
Wally Joyner
2001 · MLB
39 54 46→45 47→40 60 265/348/397 132287 134 13% 11% 115 +2.8 250/320/383 133273 147 14% 9% 100 +1.7 243/304/35110826011411%8%83+0.2
Serafin Rodriguez
2014 · AAA
39 56→66 42→45 37→50 43 270/297/372 102291 104 12% 3% 86 +0.8 251/289/357 106291 1010 17% 4% 79 +0.3 281/312/3476632741115%3%82+0.1
Pedro Castellano
2010 · AAA
40 57→65 47→55 45 47 283/328/417 134318 154 16% 6% 111 +2.5 276/320/405 129328 156 20% 5% 105 +2.1 283/328/41012633816420%5%110+1.2
Noe Munoz
2011 · AAA
40 55→65 40→45 38→40 51 266/319/357 92295 84 13% 7% 92 +1.2 235/288/336 101282 105 20% 7% 74 -0.1 235/290/3329728811221%7%70-0.1
Trenidad Hubbard
2005 · MLB
41 48→55 45→40 49→55 54 236/319/361 124281 1218 20% 10% 94 +1.3 249/314/349 100276 821 12% 8% 89 +0.9 257/321/3357828652811%7%82+0.4