Player 843783 — OGILVIE

Player 8437831B DSL Giants Orange

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .226 / .253

PA60

HR0

K%39

BB%4

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	125	40	0	135	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	75	47	0	77	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	143	47	0	77	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	125	40	0	135	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	75	47	0	77	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	71	133	143	276	71	75	47	0	77	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	0%	200	185	32	9	1	1	8	78	5	2	1	175	228	255	483	79	291	39	4	220	35	-15	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SF	0%	103	96	18	5	1	1	4	39	2	1	0	179	232	262	494	84	290	38	4	225	39	-8	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	SF	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	176	230	258	489	82	287	—	—	223	39	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	178	167	28	9	1	1	6	69	4	1	0	168	215	251	466	84	276	39	3	211	29	-12	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	103	33	4	4	22	252	15	4	0	169	217	256	472	87	277	39	3	211	29	-48	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 843783 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	174/226/253	79	291	0	0	39%	4%	35	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Patrick Palmeiro 2014 · A	24	33	39→45	45→30	33	170/209/252	82	260	6	3	36%	4%	28	-3.9	186/227/291	105	288	11	4	38%	5%	44	-2.8	156/189/271	115	229	17	0	40%	4%	22	-1.6
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	187/230/257	70	298	5	6	38%	5%	36	-3.3	193/258/295	102	281	9	9	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/254/290	109	255	10	10	32%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Wade Kirkland 2014 · A	25	36→35	42→45	42→45	34	183/231/292	108	270	9	5	34%	4%	46	-2.6	188/222/278	90	300	8	8	39%	3%	38	-3.2	175/202/245	70	289	6	7	41%	2%	20	-1.9
✕Carlos Mesa 2013 · A	25	34	39→45	44→40	24	167/194/245	78	306	8	5	47%	3%	20	-4.5	173/206/277	104	312	11	5	46%	3%	32	-3.6	148/180/261	112	259	13	2	47%	3%	17	-1.9
✕Greg Paiml 2010 · A	25	42→43	37→40	43→50	32	199/236/270	71	313	4	7	37%	4%	41	-3.0	201/241/268	67	303	3	13	33%	4%	42	-2.9	197/236/255	59	291	2	15	32%	4%	36	-1.9
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Chris Baker 2019 · A	24	37→30	41→40	50→45	33	185/229/281	96	285	9	6	38%	4%	42	-2.9	195/249/283	88	308	8	8	37%	6%	51	-2.3	141/204/184	43	231	6	4	39%	7%	11	-1.0
✕Welinson Baez 2008 · A	24	38→35	40	43→40	33	179/228/275	96	314	7	5	43%	6%	40	-3.0	193/240/290	97	316	8	6	39%	5%	48	-2.5	164/203/247	83	258	8	2	38%	4%	23	-1.3
✕Bryan Haar 2015 · A	25	39→37	43→45	44→40	34	195/236/303	108	302	10	4	38%	5%	49	-2.4	202/250/288	86	299	6	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	192/241/248	56	275	1	1	29%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Anibal Sierra 2018 · A	24	36→33	38→40	41→40	34	175/235/251	76	289	6	6	40%	6%	38	-3.2	178/234/256	78	288	7	5	38%	5%	38	-3.2	165/221/237	71	265	7	4	38%	5%	27	-2.6
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Randy Gress 2009 · A	24	32	37→30	45→40	31	163/202/235	73	267	4	6	40%	4%	21	-4.4	189/235/267	78	277	6	5	32%	5%	41	-3.0	178/224/245	67	250	6	2	30%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Connor Myers 2018 · A	24	34→43	36→40	49→50	30	166/205/227	61	286	3	11	42%	4%	19	-4.5	196/238/273	77	319	4	15	38%	4%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	77	326	3	20	39%	4%	41	-1.5