Hector Paulino — OGILVIE

Hector PaulinoIF DSL White Sox

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 26 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .269 / .250

PA26

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO42

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$9M		$26M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	77	66	11	1	0	1	6	13	4	4	1	167	276	227	504	61	189	17	8	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	77	62	13	1	0	1	10	9	4	4	1	210	355	274	629	65	226	12	13	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CWS	—	46	41	8	1	0	2	3	9	0	3	1	195	250	366	616	171	188	20	7	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	CWS	—	46	39	9	1	0	2	5	6	0	3	1	231	318	410	728	179	212	13	11	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	CWS	0%	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	208	269	250	519	42	277	23	8	276	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CWS	—	46	42	8	1	0	2	3	9	0	3	1	190	250	357	607	167	182	20	7	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	CWS	—	72	65	13	2	0	2	5	15	0	4	1	200	257	323	580	123	220	21	7	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CWS	34%	164	149	34	5	1	3	12	37	2	3	1	228	294	336	630	107	280	23	7	284	75	-5	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.0
2028	20	MLB	CWS	48%	309	278	65	10	2	6	23	69	5	6	1	234	304	349	653	115	283	22	7	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2029	21	MLB	CWS	54%	420	378	88	13	2	9	32	93	7	8	2	233	305	349	654	116	284	22	8	296	84	-7	+1	+0	+0	+12	0.5
2030	22	MLB	CWS	57%	499	450	106	16	3	11	38	110	8	9	2	236	306	358	664	122	285	22	8	299	87	-7	+1	+0	+0	+14	0.8
2031	23	MLB	CWS	58%	553	496	118	18	3	13	43	122	9	10	2	238	310	365	675	127	286	22	8	301	88	-7	+1	+0	+0	+16	1.0
2032	24	MLB	CWS	57%	588	529	126	19	3	14	45	129	9	11	2	238	309	365	674	127	287	22	8	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.1
2033	25	MLB	CWS	57%	608	546	130	20	3	14	47	133	10	11	2	238	310	363	673	125	287	22	8	303	90	-7	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.2
2034	26	MLB	CWS	57%	619	556	132	20	3	15	48	136	10	12	3	237	309	365	675	128	287	22	8	304	91	-7	+1	+0	+0	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	CWS	55%	621	557	133	20	3	15	49	137	10	12	3	239	312	366	678	127	287	22	8	304	91	-6	+1	+0	+0	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	CWS	55%	617	553	132	20	3	15	49	137	10	11	2	239	312	367	679	128	286	22	8	303	90	-7	+1	-1	+0	+17	1.1
2027	19	MLB	CWS	34%	56	51	12	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	235	304	333	637	98	281	23	7	274	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	CWS	48%	150	136	32	5	1	3	11	34	2	3	1	235	302	353	655	118	283	23	7	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	CWS	54%	228	205	48	7	1	5	17	51	4	4	1	234	305	351	657	117	285	22	7	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB	CWS	57%	282	254	60	9	2	6	22	62	4	5	1	236	307	358	665	122	286	22	8	288	79	-7	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	CWS	58%	318	286	67	10	2	7	24	70	5	6	1	234	305	357	661	122	287	22	8	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB	CWS	57%	335	301	72	11	2	8	26	74	5	6	1	239	310	369	679	130	288	22	8	292	82	-7	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2033	25	MLB	CWS	57%	345	309	74	11	2	8	27	76	6	6	1	239	313	366	679	126	288	22	8	293	82	-7	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB	CWS	57%	350	314	75	11	2	9	27	77	6	7	1	239	311	373	684	134	288	22	8	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.4
2035	27	MLB	CWS	55%	345	309	74	11	2	8	27	76	6	6	1	239	313	366	679	126	287	22	8	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.4
2036	28	MLB	CWS	55%	339	304	72	11	2	8	27	75	5	6	1	237	310	365	675	128	287	22	8	292	82	-7	+1	-0	+0	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2748	2470	586	88	16	63	212	608	44	50	9	237	309	362	671	125	288	22	8	290	80	-61	+6	-0	+0	+78	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	139	21	4	15	50	144	10	12	2	238	309	365	674	127	289	22	8	290	80	-14	+2	-0	+0	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5101	4582	1080	163	26	116	394	1122	84	98	21	236	308	359	666	123	286	22	8	299	87	-75	+11	-1	+0	+145	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	138	21	3	15	50	143	11	12	3	236	309	360	668	123	287	22	8	299	87	-10	+1	-0	+0	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	77	62	13	1	0	1	10	9	4	4	1	210	355	274	629	65	226	12	13	302	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,820	64	52	237	305	361	+0	+0	4.8	4.6
	/162	664	15	12	237	305	361	+0.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Paulino (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	200/257/323	123	220	2	4	21%	7%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2022 · A	18	46→50	43→50	43→50	44	224/277/336	112	272	10	9	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/267/352	124	277	10	13	21%	4%	69	-0.4	238/278/383	145	274	17	10	20%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	49	38→45	52→45	48	228/307/304	77	315	6	9	28%	9%	74	-0.1	210/272/330	120	310	11	6	34%	7%	66	-0.6	190/249/327	136	282	14	4	36%	7%	54	-0.5
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	45→46	39→45	48→50	46	212/278/313	100	279	5	11	24%	7%	63	-0.8	195/281/318	123	296	12	11	35%	10%	68	-0.5	171/273/287	116	261	14	12	37%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Billy McKinney 2014 · A	19	47→53	38→55	54→45	44	225/277/300	75	283	5	9	22%	6%	59	-1.1	228/290/339	111	298	9	4	25%	7%	76	+0.0	214/276/391	177	259	19	2	25%	7%	82	+0.4
●Jon Singleton 2010 · A	18	46→54	41→55	49→45	51	219/285/318	99	263	7	5	19%	8%	69	-0.4	242/310/388	146	317	16	5	27%	8%	97	+1.5	238/309/385	147	321	17	5	30%	9%	95	+1.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9