Hector Paulino

IF DSL White Sox

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1899ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCWS	77	.210/.355/.274	1	4	24	—	.138/.263/.154
2026	18	ROKCWS	64	.250/.323/.393	2	3	29	—	.158/.226/.228
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCWS	174	.226/.291/.304	2	3	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCWS	32	.230/.297/.318	0	1	75	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBCWS	94	.233/.301/.328	1	2	79	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%90

Chase%88

Whiff%84

Z-Con%64

ISO62

Speed39

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .289 / .301

PA40

HR0

K%23

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	77	62	13	1	0	1	10	9	4	4	1	210	355	274	629	65	226	12	13	302	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	64	56	14	2	0	2	5	8	1	3	1	250	323	393	715	143	250	12	8	313	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	77	65	9	1	0	0	7	11	4	4	1	138	263	154	417	15	147	14	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	64	57	9	1	0	1	4	10	1	3	1	158	226	228	454	70	171	16	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	77	65	9	1	0	0	7	11	4	4	1	138	263	154	417	15	164	14	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	77	62	13	1	0	1	10	9	4	4	1	210	355	274	629	65	226	12	13	302	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	64	57	9	1	0	1	4	10	1	3	1	158	226	228	454	70	167	16	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	64	56	14	2	0	2	5	8	1	3	1	250	323	393	715	143	250	12	8	313	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	77	66	9	1	0	0	7	11	4	4	1	136	263	152	415	15	147	14	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	64	59	9	1	0	1	4	10	1	3	1	153	226	220	446	68	171	16	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	77	66	9	1	0	0	7	11	4	4	1	136	263	152	415	15	147	14	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	64	59	9	1	0	1	4	10	1	3	1	153	226	220	446	68	171	16	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	174	157	36	5	1	2	12	39	3	3	1	226	291	304	595	78	287	22	7	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	96	87	20	3	1	1	7	22	2	2	0	229	296	316	612	87	289	23	7	279	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	CWS	50%	189	171	40	6	1	3	13	42	3	3	1	232	300	326	626	94	290	22	7	284	79	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	300	270	64	10	2	5	22	67	5	5	1	234	303	335	638	101	291	22	7	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	CWS	61%	388	351	83	13	2	7	28	86	6	7	2	236	305	343	648	107	292	22	7	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CWS	63%	445	402	96	15	3	8	33	99	7	8	2	238	307	350	657	112	293	22	7	296	87	-7	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	477	432	103	16	3	9	35	106	7	8	2	239	308	352	660	114	293	22	7	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	496	448	107	16	3	10	37	110	8	8	2	239	308	354	661	115	293	22	7	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	502	452	108	16	3	10	37	112	8	8	2	238	307	351	658	113	292	22	7	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	500	451	106	16	3	9	37	112	8	6	2	236	305	346	651	110	291	22	7	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+0	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	492	446	105	16	3	9	36	112	7	5	2	233	302	340	641	106	290	23	7	290	82	-10	+0	-1	+0	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	32	29	6	1	0	0	2	7	1	1	0	230	297	318	614	88	289	22	6	279	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CWS	50%	94	85	20	3	1	1	7	21	2	2	0	233	301	328	629	96	291	22	7	285	79	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	173	155	37	6	1	3	13	38	3	3	1	235	303	337	641	102	292	22	8	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	CWS	61%	239	215	51	8	1	4	18	53	4	4	1	237	306	345	651	108	293	22	8	294	84	-4	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	CWS	63%	281	254	60	9	2	5	21	62	4	5	1	239	308	352	660	113	294	22	7	298	87	-4	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	310	279	67	10	2	6	23	69	5	5	2	240	308	355	663	115	294	22	7	299	87	-5	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	322	290	70	11	2	6	24	71	5	5	2	240	308	356	664	116	293	22	7	299	88	-5	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	326	294	70	11	2	6	24	73	5	5	2	239	307	353	661	115	293	22	7	298	87	-5	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	325	293	70	11	2	6	24	73	5	4	1	237	305	348	654	112	292	22	7	295	85	-6	+0	-0	+0	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	320	288	68	10	2	6	24	73	5	3	1	234	302	342	644	108	290	23	8	291	82	-7	+0	-1	+0	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2422	2182	519	80	15	43	180	540	39	37	11	238	307	347	655	110	295	22	7	295	83	-43	+3	-1	+0	+52	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	139	21	4	12	48	145	10	10	3	237	305	348	654	111	294	22	7	295	83	-12	+1	-0	+0	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4066	3668	857	130	24	72	299	898	67	68	18	234	303	341	644	107	289	22	7	290	83	-71	+6	-2	+0	+85	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	138	21	4	12	48	144	11	11	3	235	305	346	652	111	291	22	7	290	83	-12	+1	-0	+0	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL White Sox · 64 PAwOBA .314 → .211 (−103)K% 12.5% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.51%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.10%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.039	×1.008	14.83%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.039	×1.008	2.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.039	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.97%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .314 → .211; ISO .143 → .076; BABIP .250 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL White Sox · 77 PAwOBA .299 → .203 (−96)K% 11.7% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.69%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	14.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.99%	÷1.005	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.25%
HBP% /PA	5.19%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.72%
Singles /BIP	20.75%	÷1.021	×0.680	×0.974	×1.022	13.77%
Doubles /BIP	1.89%	÷1.070	×0.600	×0.974	×1.022	1.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.927	×0.600	×0.974	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.89%	÷1.102	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.82%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 85, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .299 → .203; ISO .065 → .032; BABIP .226 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Pat Kelly'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,235 PA	3.4	2,235	36	61	242*	299*	375*	+6	+11	3.7	3.8
#2Pat Kelly'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,235 PA	/162	664	11	18	242*	299*	375*	+1.7	+3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,462	45	38	237	303	347	+0	+0	2.9	2.7
	/162	664	12	10	237	303	347	+0.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
	/162	664	8	8	248*	305*	353*	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
#5Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	/162	664	11	6	237*	306*	358*	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Jose Macias'99-'05 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,789 PA	2.7	1,789	26	43	247*	289*	362*	+2	+12	1.0	1.0
#6Jose Macias'99-'05 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,789 PA	/162	664	10	16	247*	289*	362*	+0.7	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 1

Hector Paulino

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps