Juan GarciaSS DSL Royals Fortuna
Age 18 R/R 5'8" / 158 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA
wRC+57
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .286 / .267
PA92
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO63
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.91.90.30.60.81.01.21.31.41.41.21.0+$66M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.2$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$5M+1.0$3M+$2M
Totals $16M $32M +$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 10790 14100 12335 32 156290167456 11246 3111 216 24 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 10784 19100 18245 32 226393238631 12317 2217 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLB— — 9282 17211 8262 10 207293293586 85289 289 259 57 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLB— 34% 184162 35512 16504 21 216302296598 80292 279 271 65 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
202820 MLB— 48% 324287 63924 28876 41 220302307609 87293 279 279 72 -10 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.3
202921 MLB— 54% 432383 831226 371149 61 217301305606 89294 269 284 76 -12 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.6
203022 MLB— 57% 507448 1011538 4413310 72 225309326635 100295 269 288 79 -12 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.8
203123 MLB— 58% 559494 1101639 4914611 72 223307322629 99296 269 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.0
203224 MLB— 57% 592523 11817310 5215412 82 226310327637 101297 269 292 82 -12 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.2
203325 MLB— 57% 612542 12218311 5315912 82 225308330638 105297 269 293 83 -12 +1 +0 +7 +17 1.3
203426 MLB— 57% 622550 12418311 5416213 82 225310329639 104297 269 294 83 -12 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.4
203527 MLB— 55% 623550 12418311 5516213 82 225311329640 104297 269 294 83 -12 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.4
203628 MLB— 55% 620548 12318311 5516212 82 224309328637 104297 269 293 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2
203729 MLB— 53% 610538 12017311 5516112 72 223309327636 104296 269 292 81 -13 +1 -1 +7 +17 1.0
203830 MLB— 53% 600529 11817310 5416012 62 223309323632 100295 279 289 79 -14 +0 -2 +6 +17 0.8
202719 MLB— 34% 6357 12201 5171 10 211286298584 88292 278 271 65 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202820 MLB— 48% 157140 30412 13423 21 214295300595 86293 278 279 72 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202921 MLB— 54% 234207 45713 20625 31 217302304606 87294 269 284 76 -6 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203022 MLB— 57% 287254 57825 25756 41 224309331639 106295 269 288 79 -7 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203123 MLB— 58% 322285 64925 28846 41 225307323630 98296 269 290 80 -7 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.6
203224 MLB— 57% 337298 681026 29887 41 228311336647 107297 269 292 82 -7 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.7
203325 MLB— 57% 347307 691026 30907 51 225308329637 104297 269 293 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203426 MLB— 57% 352311 701026 31917 51 225309328637 103297 269 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203527 MLB— 55% 346305 691026 31907 41 226312331643 105297 269 294 83 -6 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203628 MLB— 55% 340300 681026 30897 41 227312333645 107297 269 293 83 -7 +0 -0 +4 +10 0.7
203729 MLB— 53% 326287 65926 29867 41 226313334647 108296 269 292 81 -7 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.6
203830 MLB— 53% 316279 62925 28846 31 222307323629 100295 279 289 79 -7 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 34273030 679982057 29989869 4311 224308326634 102297 269 290 80 -76 +4 -2 +37 +97 6.1
/ 162G— — 650575 13019411 5717013 82 226311330641 104299 269 290 80 -14 +1 -0 +7 +18 1.2
Career— — 64845726 127218333105 5721709133 8323 222307321628 98296 269 288 79 -155 +7 -4 +69 +184 10.4
/ 162G— — 650574 12718311 5717113 82 221305321626 99294 269 288 79 -15 +1 -0 +7 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 10784 19100 18245 32 226393238631 12317 2217 316 100 -0 -0 — — +3 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,5205944225306327+38+216.15.4
/162664118+7.1+4.01.1pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE) 18 — — — — 204/286/267 62289 11 28% 8% 57 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Andrés Nolaya
2023 · A 		18 41 35→45 44→55 47 190/278/250 60289 210 32% 10% 49 -1.8 189/258/257 68296 315 34% 8% 41 -2.3 194/269/2717627852230%7%48-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova
2022 · A 		18 44 38→50 47→55 44 212/278/287 75273 69 24% 6% 57 -1.2 209/268/294 85323 715 35% 6% 55 -1.4 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
✕Hidekel Abreu
2016 · A 		18 42 36→40 49→50 45 199/266/263 64280 38 28% 8% 46 -2.0 223/284/304 81293 510 24% 7% 63 -0.8 237/299/3178030061221%8%68-0.2
✕Marco Guzman
2013 · A 		18 37 35→45 47→50 47 176/257/242 66244 28 26% 8% 38 -2.6 198/263/278 80251 47 22% 8% 49 -1.8 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
✕Raul Juarez
2016 · A 		18 37 38→45 45→40 37 182/242/262 80251 57 29% 4% 36 -2.7 207/265/290 83274 75 26% 5% 53 -1.5 203/259/274712668326%4%44-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez
2019 · A 		19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
✕Victor Heredia
2018 · A 		18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3
✕Luis Torrens
2014 · A 		18 42→47 36→55 49→30 45 196/262/257 61277 35 29% 8% 43 -2.2 204/277/283 79275 65 26% 8% 56 -1.3 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro
2017 · A 		18 43→40 38→55 48→50 43 202/265/291 89290 55 30% 7% 53 -1.5 195/240/313 118278 115 32% 5% 47 -1.9 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández
2016 · A 		18 44 37→55 50→45 43 208/271/281 73270 46 23% 6% 53 -1.5 241/286/357 116275 125 17% 5% 79 +0.3 241/284/37313127416518%5%80+0.2
✕Maximo Rivera
2011 · A 		18 40 35→45 46→60 39 188/247/243 55285 39 33% 6% 33 -2.9 208/263/297 89272 919 26% 6% 53 -1.5 235/283/2996430252423%5%60-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar
2023 · A 		18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0
✕Bryan Andrade
2023 · A 		18 40 35→45 49→45 44 191/257/246 55259 25 26% 7% 38 -2.6 187/247/239 52258 34 27% 6% 31 -3.0 187/256/263762487526%8%40-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos
2023 · A 		18 42→39 36→45 51→60 46 193/275/265 72282 313 30% 9% 51 -1.7 203/273/292 89313 723 34% 8% 56 -1.3 206/260/333127301143535%6%58-0.7
✕Daniel Santos
2017 · A 		18 40 35→45 51→40 43 188/256/247 59280 38 32% 8% 37 -2.6 189/258/268 79267 56 29% 6% 44 -2.1 173/243/251782455430%6%33-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán
2016 · A 		18 39 36→55 45→40 37 189/231/257 68267 36 30% 5% 29 -3.2 211/250/329 118282 135 29% 5% 56 -1.3 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
✕Rafael Herrera
2019 · A 		18 43 35→40 52→50 45 200/267/266 67269 212 25% 7% 47 -1.9 218/286/298 80291 412 24% 8% 63 -0.8 229/304/3108129741722%9%71-0.1
✕Hidekel Gonzalez
2015 · A 		18 44 37→45 47→45 37 205/260/286 81312 47 34% 5% 49 -1.8 227/275/314 87287 68 22% 5% 63 -0.9 241/291/328872916819%4%72-0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel
2008 · A 		18 40 37→40 45→55 39 190/264/262 72298 58 36% 7% 46 -2.0 202/281/278 76302 615 32% 8% 57 -1.2 192/271/2586629671734%8%46-0.7
●José Fermín
2017 · A 		18 42→50 37→45 48→55 44 201/258/285 84274 38 27% 7% 48 -1.9 201/251/277 76239 411 17% 4% 43 -2.2 256/343/399143276142813%10%110+1.2