Juan Garcia

SS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 158 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1777ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	107	.226/.393/.238	0	3	35	—	.146/.290/.157
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	217	.207/.293/.264	1	3	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	25	.211/.297/.278	0	0	67	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLB—	84	.214/.301/.290	1	1	71	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%72

Chase%70

wOBA49

Z-Con%46

K%45

wRC+42

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .290 / .262

PA38

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	84	19	1	0	0	18	24	5	3	2	226	393	238	631	12	317	22	17	316	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	89	13	1	0	0	13	29	5	3	2	146	290	157	447	11	213	27	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	89	13	1	0	0	13	29	5	3	2	146	290	157	447	11	217	27	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	84	19	1	0	0	18	24	5	3	2	226	393	238	631	12	317	22	17	316	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	88	13	1	0	0	13	29	5	3	2	148	290	159	449	11	213	27	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	107	88	13	1	0	0	13	29	5	3	2	148	290	159	449	11	213	27	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	217	192	39	5	1	1	19	59	4	3	1	207	293	264	557	58	289	27	9	260	62	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	74	66	14	2	0	1	7	20	1	1	0	211	297	278	575	67	291	27	9	268	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	50%	168	148	32	4	1	2	15	45	3	2	1	214	301	290	591	76	292	27	9	274	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	58%	278	246	53	7	2	3	25	73	5	3	1	218	304	301	604	83	293	26	9	279	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	61%	374	330	73	10	2	5	34	98	7	5	2	221	306	310	616	90	293	26	9	283	78	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	63%	437	387	86	12	2	7	39	113	8	5	2	223	308	319	627	96	294	26	9	287	80	-10	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	65%	473	418	93	13	3	7	43	122	9	6	2	224	308	321	629	98	294	26	9	288	81	-11	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	65%	494	438	98	14	3	8	44	128	9	6	2	224	308	323	631	99	294	26	9	289	81	-11	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	65%	501	442	99	14	3	8	45	130	9	6	2	223	307	320	627	97	294	26	9	287	80	-12	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	65%	501	442	99	14	3	8	45	131	9	5	3	221	305	316	621	94	293	26	9	285	79	-13	-0	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	493	438	95	13	2	7	44	131	8	5	3	219	303	309	612	91	292	27	9	281	76	-14	-0	-1	+5	+11	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	211	297	278	575	67	291	28	8	268	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	50%	84	74	15	2	0	1	8	22	2	1	0	214	301	290	591	76	292	26	10	274	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	58%	160	142	31	4	1	2	14	42	3	2	1	218	304	301	604	83	293	26	9	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	61%	230	203	44	6	1	3	21	60	4	3	1	221	306	310	616	90	293	26	9	283	78	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	63%	276	244	55	8	2	4	25	71	5	3	1	223	308	319	627	96	294	26	9	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	65%	307	270	62	9	2	5	28	79	6	4	1	224	308	321	629	98	294	26	9	288	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	65%	321	283	64	9	2	5	29	83	6	4	1	224	308	323	631	99	294	26	9	289	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	65%	326	288	64	9	2	5	29	85	6	4	1	223	307	320	627	97	294	26	9	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	65%	326	288	64	9	2	5	29	85	6	4	2	221	305	316	621	94	293	26	9	285	79	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	320	283	63	9	2	5	29	85	5	3	2	219	303	309	612	91	292	27	9	281	76	-9	-0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2375	2098	467	66	14	35	214	619	43	28	10	223	307	317	625	95	296	26	9	285	77	-60	+2	-1	+25	+51	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	128	18	4	10	59	169	12	8	3	223	309	321	630	98	296	26	9	285	77	-16	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3938	3478	762	105	21	56	357	1030	74	47	20	219	305	310	615	91	293	26	9	282	77	-99	+2	-2	+41	+83	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	125	17	3	9	59	170	12	8	3	218	304	305	609	87	291	26	9	282	77	-17	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 107 PAwOBA .309 → .220 (−90)K% 22.4% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.43%	÷1.023	×1.220	—	—	26.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.82%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.36%
HBP% /PA	4.67%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.34%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.083	×0.680	×1.049	×1.022	20.21%
Doubles /BIP	1.67%	÷0.965	×0.600	×1.049	×1.022	1.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.600	×1.049	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 105, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .309 → .220; ISO .012 → .008; BABIP .317 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#2Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.6	2,413	36	28	222	303	315	+26	+21	3.3	3.2
	/162	664	10	8	222	303	315	+7.1	+5.8	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	/162	664	3	3	229*	288*	313*	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Juan Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps