Reece Wissinger

P Vancouver Canadians

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	25	MIX2 levels	32	65	4.45	3.95	19.2%	5.2%	—	K 13.4% · BB 5.5% · FIP 5.05
2027PROJ	26	MLBTOR	36	38	4.67	4.67	16.1%	6.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBTOR	20	21	4.66	4.67	16.8%	6.5%	-0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBTOR	31	33	4.69	4.73	17.1%	6.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRob Scahill (age 26) · Geoff Geary (age 27) · Cristhian Martinez (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%16.1%

BB%6.1%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	65	271	52	14	9	0%	2.0	13.4%	5.5%	7.9%	4.3%	4.45	5.05	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	65	271	52	14	9	0%	2.0	13.4%	5.5%	7.9%	4.3%	4.45	5.05	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	65	271	52	14	9	0%	2.0	19.2%	5.2%	14.0%	3.3%	4.45	3.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TOR	36	0	38	160	26	10	5	0%	1.1	16.1%	6.1%	9.9%	3.2%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55	0	57	242	41	16	8	0%	1.0	16.8%	6.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.66	4.67	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53	0	56	235	40	16	8	0%	1.0	17.1%	6.9%	10.3%	3.3%	4.69	4.73	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	20	0	21	89	15	6	3	0%	1.1	16.8%	6.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.66	4.67	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	31	0	33	139	24	10	5	0%	1.1	17.1%	6.9%	10.3%	3.3%	4.69	4.73	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	227	39	15	7	0%	1.1	17.0%	6.7%	10.3%	3.3%	4.68	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	145	56	26	0%	1.1	17.0%	6.7%	10.3%	3.3%	4.68	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		32	0	65	271	36	15	12	0%	2.0	13.4%	5.5%	7.9%	4.3%	4.45	5.05	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	0	200	838	112	46	36	0%	2.0	13.4%	5.5%	7.9%	4.3%	4.45	5.05	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reece Wissinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	16.1%	6.1%	3.2%	—	4.70	17.0%	10.3%	113	+0.03	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2013 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	13.4%	5.4%	3.0%	.302	3.73	16.6%	8.3%	108	-0.55	3.06	250	89
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	88
Cristhian Martinez R 2009 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.1%	6.2%	1.8%	.294	3.46	19.8%	14.7%	177	-0.05	3.09	204	87
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	87
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	87
Rob Griswold R 2024 · 4.63 FIP	26	SU	4.63	13.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.297	4.73	8.3%	1.3%	50	+0.10	3.57	203	86
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	85
Hector Ambriz R 2010 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	16.5%	7.1%	4.5%	.360	4.28	19.5%	10.8%	56	-0.79	2.24	259	84
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	576	84
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	84
Tyler Higgins R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	15.5%	7.2%	2.9%	.312	5.24	23.0%	16.1%	81	+0.96	3.53	290	84
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	84
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	84
Frank Herrmann R 2010 · 4.38 FIP	26	SU	4.38	12.7%	4.8%	3.2%	.280	3.90	15.0%	9.2%	76	-0.48	2.92	219	83
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	83
Mike Adams R 2004 · 3.53 FIP	26	SU	3.53	17.3%	5.3%	2.2%	.266	4.83	23.0%	8.2%	13	+1.30	1.36	405	83
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	83
Lance Carter R 2002 · 3.63 FIP	27	SU	3.63	17.7%	5.1%	2.5%	.220	4.80	11.6%	6.3%	216	+1.17	3.63	248	83
David Herndon R 2011 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	16.0%	7.0%	3.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	109	82
Derek Self R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	15.1%	8.1%	1.8%	.331	4.73	13.7%	9.0%	189	+0.89	3.82	302	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	16.7%	6.5%	1.27	4.67
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
James Russell ('16)	1.7	56	17.0%	7.0%	1.16	4.09
Cris Carpenter ('88-'96, 2 WAR*)	2.1	69	18.3%*	7.4%*	1.15*	4.29*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*