Rey Cruz — OGILVIE

Rey CruzC DSL Phillies White

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 156 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+48

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .271 / .260

PA110

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$13M		$27M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	132	116	23	0	0	0	9	47	7	5	3	198	295	198	494		333	36	7	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	132	110	30	0	1	0	15	29	7	5	3	273	394	291	685	18	370	22	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	110	100	21	2	1	1	7	32	2	2	0	210	275	280	555	70	290	29	6	248	48	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	201	181	37	4	1	2	14	57	4	3	1	204	276	271	547	66	292	28	7	261	58	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	338	304	66	8	2	5	24	94	7	5	1	217	290	306	595	89	294	28	7	270	65	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	442	397	87	11	3	7	33	122	9	6	2	219	294	315	609	96	295	28	7	277	70	-15	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	515	461	103	13	3	9	38	140	11	7	2	223	298	323	621	100	296	27	7	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	520	465	103	13	3	9	39	141	11	8	2	222	297	320	618	99	297	27	8	283	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	520	465	105	13	3	10	39	141	11	8	2	226	301	331	632	105	298	27	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	520	465	105	13	3	10	39	141	11	8	2	226	301	331	632	105	298	27	8	287	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	520	465	105	13	3	10	39	141	11	8	2	226	301	331	632	105	297	27	8	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	520	464	104	13	3	10	40	141	11	8	2	224	301	330	631	106	297	27	8	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	520	464	104	13	3	10	40	142	11	7	2	224	301	330	631	106	297	27	8	286	77	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	520	464	104	13	3	10	40	143	11	7	2	224	301	330	631	106	296	28	8	284	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	520	464	102	12	3	9	40	144	11	6	1	220	297	317	614	97	295	28	8	282	74	-15	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.7
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	504	450	99	12	3	9	39	141	10	5	1	220	297	320	617	100	292	28	8	277	71	-17	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.4
2040	32	MLB	—	56%	489	438	93	11	2	8	38	139	10	4	1	212	290	301	591	89	289	28	8	272	67	-18	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.1
2041	33	MLB	—	59%	473	424	88	10	2	7	36	137	10	3	1	208	285	290	575	83	285	29	8	266	62	-20	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	69	63	13	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	206	275	286	561	79	292	29	7	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	164	148	32	4	1	2	12	46	3	2	1	216	288	297	586	81	294	28	7	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	240	215	47	6	1	4	18	66	5	3	1	219	294	312	606	93	295	28	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	292	262	58	7	2	5	22	80	6	4	1	221	297	321	617	99	296	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	299	269	60	8	2	5	22	81	6	4	1	223	296	323	620	100	297	27	7	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	296	266	60	8	2	5	22	80	6	4	1	226	299	327	626	102	298	27	7	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	295	265	61	8	2	6	22	80	6	4	1	230	304	343	647	113	298	27	7	287	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	294	264	59	7	2	6	22	80	6	4	1	223	298	333	631	110	297	27	7	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	289	259	59	7	2	6	22	78	6	4	1	228	303	340	643	112	297	27	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	286	256	57	7	2	5	22	78	6	4	1	223	299	324	624	102	297	27	8	286	77	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	278	248	56	7	2	5	22	76	6	4	1	226	304	331	635	105	296	27	8	284	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	274	245	54	7	1	5	21	76	6	3	1	220	298	318	616	98	295	28	8	282	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	263	236	51	6	1	5	20	74	5	3	1	216	291	314	605	97	292	28	8	277	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB	—	56%	275	246	51	6	1	4	21	78	6	2	1	207	286	289	574	81	289	28	8	272	67	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.0
2041	33	MLB	—	59%	279	250	51	6	1	4	21	81	6	2	0	204	282	284	566	80	285	29	8	266	62	-12	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3893	3492	769	96	22	68	294	1074	80	48	13	220	296	319	614	99	297	28	8	281	73	-119	+4	-8	+70	+110	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	128	16	4	11	49	179	13	8	2	220	294	317	611	98	296	28	8	281	73	-20	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7364	6587	1449	174	41	126	554	2043	158	100	27	220	296	316	612	96	297	28	8	279	72	-236	+9	-15	+132	+209	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	128	15	4	11	49	180	14	9	2	220	297	317	613	96	297	28	8	279	72	-21	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	132	110	30	0	1	0	15	29	7	5	3	273	394	291	685	18	370	22	11	329	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,002	69	52	221	293	319	+71	+36	6.0	5.2
	/162	664	11	9	221	293	319	+11.9	+6.0	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rey Cruz (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	202/271/260	58	290	1	2	29%	7%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alejandro Flores 2014 · A	18	41	37→50	48→40	43	196/253/264	68	270	4	7	28%	7%	40	-2.4	190/255/273	83	275	7	6	31%	7%	44	-2.1	199/256/338	139	264	14	3	29%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	42	35→45	45→30	41	196/262/252	56	273	2	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	176/258/267	91	261	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	172/264/273	101	236	12	1	30%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Chace Numata 2011 · A	18	44	36→40	47→40	43	205/271/275	70	308	4	7	32%	8%	51	-1.7	210/271/287	77	275	5	7	24%	7%	54	-1.4	250/301/324	74	297	3	2	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	42	34→40	49→40	44	196/267/251	55	284	2	4	30%	8%	43	-2.2	208/268/286	78	271	6	3	24%	7%	53	-1.5	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Diego Velasquez 2022 · A	18	40→50	34→40	46→55	43	189/242/236	46	248	2	5	24%	6%	28	-3.2	218/279/297	79	287	5	11	24%	7%	60	-1.0	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jeison Guzmán 2017 · A	18	41→42	37→45	50	40	195/243/271	75	278	3	8	30%	6%	37	-2.6	194/240/261	67	270	3	11	28%	5%	33	-2.9	199/247/312	113	276	11	10	31%	5%	47	-1.2
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	40→50	38→40	50	47	190/268/273	83	265	5	6	28%	9%	50	-1.8	199/284/285	86	297	7	6	32%	9%	60	-1.0	202/290/285	82	314	8	5	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45→55	41	177/239/242	65	274	3	9	35%	7%	29	-3.2	205/267/286	81	279	4	15	26%	7%	52	-1.6	200/264/296	96	310	7	21	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	38→43	38→45	51→55	41	184/252/273	90	271	4	6	32%	7%	43	-2.2	192/261/299	107	277	8	11	31%	8%	54	-1.4	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0