Rey Cruz

C FCL Phillies
Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 156 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1404ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Phillies …132.273/.394/.2910538—.191/.295/.209
202618ROKPHI18.385/.556/.46201121—.333/.444/.400
2027PROJMLE19MLBPHI128.209/.283/.26612590.0
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBPHI27.214/.290/.28401640.0
2029PROJ50% MLB21MLBPHI85.218/.294/.29812690.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Z-Con%62
wRC+58
wOBA57
Whiff%53
K%48
Speed44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .281 / .264
PA24
HR0
K%27
BB%8
ISO58
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.30.50.50.50.50.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.4$0.8M+$0.2M
2037Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $4M $5M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Phillies White — 132110 30010 15297 53 273394291685 18370 2211 329 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROKFCL Phillies — 1813 5100 530 10 3855564621.017 77500 1728 466 121 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 132115 22010 10377 53 191295209504 17267 288 225 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 1815 5100 340 10 333444400844 67409 2217 347 121 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 132115 22010 10377 53 191295209504 17282 288 225 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 132110 30010 15297 53 273394291685 18370 2211 329 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 1815 5100 340 10 333444400844 67455 2217 347 121 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 1813 5100 530 10 3855564621.017 77500 1728 466 121 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 132114 22010 10377 53 193295211506 18267 288 225 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 1815 5100 340 10 333444400844 67409 2217 347 121 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 132114 22010 10377 53 193295211506 18267 288 225 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 1815 5100 340 10 333444400844 67409 2217 347 121 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEPHI 0% 128115 25311 10352 21 209283266550 58289 278 255 59 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEPHI 34% 7972 16211 6211 20 213289281570 68291 278 263 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202921 MLB MLEPHI 50% 170152 33412 13453 41 217293294587 77292 268 270 69 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203022 MLB MLEPHI 58% 281252 56724 22745 62 220296306602 86293 268 276 73 -9 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.2
203123 MLB MLEPHI 61% 375336 74926 29977 82 223299316615 93294 268 281 76 -11 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.5
203224 MLB MLEPHI 63% 437391 881137 351128 93 226301325626 99295 268 285 79 -11 +1 +0 +8 +9 0.7
203325 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445399 911238 351148 93 226302327629 101295 268 286 80 -11 +1 +0 +8 +10 0.8
203426 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445399 911238 351148 93 227302329632 103294 268 287 80 -10 +1 +0 +8 +10 0.8
203527 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445399 911238 351158 93 225301326628 101294 268 286 79 -11 +1 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203628 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445399 891137 351168 93 224299322621 98293 268 283 78 -12 +1 -1 +8 +10 0.6
203729 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445399 881137 351178 83 221296315611 94291 268 279 75 -13 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.3
203830 MLB MLEPHI 65% 445400 871127 351197 83 218293307600 89289 278 274 72 -15 +0 -2 +8 +10 0.1
202820 MLB CTXPHI 34% 2724 5100 271 10 214290284573 70291 267 265 64 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202921 MLB CTXPHI 50% 8576 17211 7232 20 218294298592 80293 278 272 69 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
203022 MLB CTXPHI 58% 162145 32412 13423 31 222298310607 88294 268 278 73 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203123 MLB CTXPHI 61% 231207 47614 18604 51 225300320621 96294 268 283 76 -7 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203224 MLB CTXPHI 63% 276247 56725 22715 62 227303329632 102295 268 287 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203325 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 58725 23745 62 228303332636 105295 268 289 80 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203426 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 59726 23745 62 228304335638 106295 268 290 80 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203527 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 58725 23755 62 227303332634 105295 268 288 79 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203628 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 58725 23755 62 225301327627 102294 268 285 78 -8 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.4
203729 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 58725 23765 52 223298320618 97292 268 281 75 -9 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
203830 MLB CTXPHI 65% 289259 58725 23775 52 219294312605 92290 278 277 72 -10 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25152253 506621743 20065445 5116 225301324625 100296 268 284 75 -70 +4 -3 +45 +54 3.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 13016411 5216912 134 223300321622 98295 268 284 75 -18 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 41863750 8361042765 330109278 8729 223299317616 94295 268 280 75 -113 +6 -4 +72 +87 4.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12916410 5117012 145 222298314612 93294 268 280 75 -18 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 18 PAwOBA .456 → .347 (−109)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.000×1.440——24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA27.78%÷1.000×0.620—×1.02217.61%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷1.000×0.820—×1.02233.54%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0227.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .456 → .347; ISO .077 → .060; BABIP .500 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Phillies White · 132 PAwOBA .322 → .225 (−97)K% 22.0% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.97%÷0.946×1.220——28.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.36%÷1.043×0.700—×1.0227.80%
HBP% /PA5.30%—×0.700—×1.0223.80%
Singles /BIP35.80%÷0.960×0.680×1.003×1.02226.01%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.958×0.600×1.003×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.150×0.600×1.003×1.0220.66%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.844×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 92, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 89, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .322 → .225; ISO .018 → .010; BABIP .370 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).