Abraham Elvira

C DSL Rockies

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1792ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Colorado	77	.215/.329/.308	1	0	15	—	.134/.237/.164
2026	18	ROKCOL	72	.185/.371/.241	0	0	24	—	.121/.271/.155
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCOL	182	.194/.271/.265	1	1	54	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCOL	33	.209/.286/.300	0	0	60	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBCOL	96	.214/.291/.314	1	1	64	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%76

Chase%46

Z-Con%39

wOBA29

wRC+26

Whiff%26

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .269 / .263

PA42

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	72	54	10	3	0	0	14	25	2	0	1	185	371	241	612	56	345	35	19	298	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	67	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	134	237	164	401	30	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	58	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	121	271	155	427	34	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	67	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	134	237	164	401	30	225	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	58	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	121	271	155	427	34	259	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	72	54	10	3	0	0	14	25	2	0	1	185	371	241	612	56	345	35	19	298	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	132	237	162	399	29	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	60	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	117	271	150	421	33	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	132	237	162	399	29	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	60	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	117	271	150	421	33	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	COL	0%	182	163	32	6	1	1	14	58	3	1	1	194	271	265	536	71	289	32	8	248	54	-10	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	COL	34%	99	89	18	3	1	1	8	31	2	1	0	199	277	279	556	80	290	31	8	256	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	COL	50%	192	171	34	6	1	2	16	59	3	2	1	204	281	292	574	89	291	31	8	263	64	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	COL	58%	303	270	56	10	2	4	25	91	5	3	1	207	285	304	589	96	292	30	8	269	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	COL	61%	391	350	73	13	2	6	32	116	6	4	2	211	289	314	602	103	293	30	8	275	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	COL	63%	445	398	86	16	2	8	37	130	7	4	2	214	291	322	614	108	294	29	8	279	75	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	65%	445	398	86	16	2	8	37	130	7	4	2	215	292	325	617	110	294	29	8	280	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	COL	65%	445	398	85	15	2	8	37	130	7	4	2	215	292	327	619	112	294	29	8	281	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	COL	65%	445	398	84	15	2	8	37	131	7	3	2	214	291	324	615	110	293	29	8	279	75	-13	-0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	COL	65%	445	398	84	15	2	8	37	132	7	2	2	212	289	319	608	107	292	30	8	277	73	-14	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	COL	65%	445	399	83	15	2	7	37	133	6	1	2	209	286	313	599	104	291	30	8	273	71	-15	-1	-1	+8	+10	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	COL	34%	33	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	209	286	300	586	91	304	30	9	268	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	COL	50%	96	86	18	3	1	1	8	29	2	1	0	214	291	314	605	100	306	30	8	276	64	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	COL	58%	175	156	34	6	1	3	14	53	3	2	1	218	295	327	622	109	307	30	8	282	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	COL	61%	240	214	48	9	2	4	20	71	4	2	1	222	299	338	637	116	308	30	8	288	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	COL	63%	281	252	56	10	2	5	23	82	4	3	1	225	302	348	649	122	309	29	8	293	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	65%	289	259	58	10	2	6	24	85	4	3	1	226	302	351	653	125	309	29	8	294	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	COL	65%	289	259	58	10	2	6	24	85	4	2	1	226	302	353	655	126	309	29	8	295	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	COL	65%	289	259	58	10	2	6	24	85	4	2	1	225	301	349	651	124	308	29	8	293	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	COL	65%	289	259	58	10	2	6	24	86	4	1	1	223	299	344	643	121	307	30	8	290	73	-9	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	COL	65%	289	259	56	10	2	5	24	86	4	1	1	220	296	337	633	117	305	30	8	286	71	-10	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2270	2032	449	79	16	42	188	672	34	17	8	221	298	338	635	117	307	30	8	290	70	-73	+0	-1	+41	+49	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	129	23	5	12	54	192	10	5	2	222	299	340	639	119	308	30	8	290	70	-21	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3846	3432	711	129	18	60	322	1155	63	28	19	207	287	308	595	101	291	30	8	272	70	-121	-1	-2	+66	+80	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	120	22	3	10	54	195	11	5	3	207	287	307	594	100	291	30	8	272	70	-21	-0	-0	+12	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rockies · 72 PAwOBA .292 → .203 (−89)K% 34.7% → 42.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.72%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	42.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.44%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.71%
HBP% /PA	2.78%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.96%
Singles /BIP	24.14%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	16.54%
Doubles /BIP	10.34%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	6.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .203; ISO .056 → .035; BABIP .345 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Colorado · 77 PAwOBA .292 → .191 (−102)K% 29.9% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.87%	÷1.016	×1.220	—	—	35.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.39%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.25%
HBP% /PA	3.90%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.79%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.008	×0.680	—	×1.022	16.43%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.011	×0.600	—	×1.022	4.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.011	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷1.163	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.98%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .191; ISO .092 → .047; BABIP .310 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,313	38	17	212	286	318	+41	+28	3.1	3.0
	/162	664	11	5	212	286	318	+11.9	+8.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
	/162	664	8	2	211*	275*	330*	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Abraham Elvira

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps