Abraham Elvira — OGILVIE

Abraham ElviraC DSL Rockies

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .167

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%14

BABIP304

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	86	-1	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	10	2	0	1	5	33	3	0	2	147	237	221	457	74	242	43	6	195	18	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	10	2	0	1	5	33	3	0	2	147	237	221	457	74	257	43	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	69	10	2	0	1	5	33	3	0	2	145	237	217	454	72	242	43	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	69	10	2	0	1	5	33	3	0	2	145	237	217	454	72	242	43	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	COL	—	72	59	7	2	0	0	9	36	2	0	1	119	257	153	410	34	304	50	12	194	17	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	COL	—	72	54	10	3	0	0	14	25	2	0	1	185	371	241	612	56	345	35	19	298	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	COL	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		288	29	14	242	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	COL	—	79	65	8	2	0	0	10	38	2	0	1	123	260	154	414	31	296	48	13	198	20	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	COL	34%	164	146	28	5	1	2	14	56	3	1	1	192	276	281	557	89	291	34	9	255	58	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	COL	48%	309	275	53	10	1	4	26	102	5	2	1	193	275	280	555	87	293	33	8	264	65	-13	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	COL	54%	420	374	75	14	2	7	36	135	7	3	2	201	283	305	588	104	294	32	9	271	70	-15	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	COL	57%	499	444	91	17	2	9	43	159	9	4	2	205	288	313	601	108	295	32	9	276	73	-16	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	COL	58%	520	461	97	18	3	10	45	165	9	4	2	210	293	328	621	117	296	32	9	278	74	-16	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	COL	57%	520	461	97	18	3	10	45	165	9	4	2	210	293	328	621	117	296	32	9	280	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	57%	520	461	97	18	3	10	45	165	9	4	2	210	293	328	621	117	297	32	9	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	COL	57%	520	461	97	18	2	11	45	165	9	4	2	210	293	330	623	119	296	32	9	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	520	460	96	18	2	11	46	165	9	4	2	209	293	328	621	120	296	32	9	283	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	520	460	95	18	2	10	46	166	9	4	2	207	291	320	611	113	296	32	9	281	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	520	459	95	18	2	10	47	167	9	3	2	207	293	320	613	113	295	32	9	280	75	-15	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	520	459	93	17	2	10	47	168	9	3	2	203	289	314	603	111	293	32	9	277	73	-16	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	COL	34%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	0	200	286	300	586	100	307	34	9	255	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	COL	48%	150	133	28	6	1	2	13	49	3	1	1	211	295	316	611	105	309	33	9	265	65	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	COL	54%	228	202	43	9	1	4	20	73	4	2	1	213	296	327	623	114	310	32	9	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	COL	57%	282	251	56	11	2	6	24	90	5	2	1	223	304	355	658	131	311	32	9	277	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	COL	58%	299	266	58	11	2	6	26	95	5	2	1	218	300	342	642	124	312	32	9	280	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	COL	57%	296	263	58	11	2	6	26	94	5	2	1	221	303	346	649	125	313	32	9	282	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	57%	295	262	58	11	2	7	26	93	5	2	1	221	304	359	663	137	313	32	9	283	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	COL	57%	294	261	58	11	2	7	26	93	5	2	1	222	305	360	665	138	313	32	9	284	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	289	256	57	11	2	7	26	92	5	2	1	223	307	363	670	141	313	32	9	284	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	286	253	56	11	2	6	26	91	5	2	1	221	306	352	658	130	312	32	9	283	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	278	246	54	10	2	6	25	89	5	2	1	220	304	350	654	130	311	32	9	281	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	274	242	52	10	1	6	25	89	5	2	1	215	301	339	640	124	309	32	9	278	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3027	2685	588	114	19	64	268	967	53	21	11	219	302	347	650	128	315	32	9	280	73	-93	-0	-2	+54	+66	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	126	24	4	14	58	208	11	5	2	218	302	347	648	128	314	32	9	280	73	-20	-0	-0	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5636	4995	1025	191	25	105	491	1813	99	40	24	205	289	317	606	111	296	32	9	276	73	-172	-1	-4	+99	+120	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	118	22	3	12	57	209	11	5	3	205	289	316	605	111	295	32	9	276	73	-20	-0	-0	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,099	57	22	207	288	319	+55	+28	4.4	4.0
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abraham Elvira (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	180/263/251	70	288	1	1	35%	8%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	42	36→45	45	41	193/263/257	64	306	3	5	35%	8%	50	-2.3	206/281/320	114	312	12	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	198/283/308	110	288	14	4	34%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→50	45	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	37	-3.3	211/249/327	116	282	13	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→60	47→40	38	174/236/245	70	296	4	6	40%	7%	37	-3.3	193/257/301	108	312	11	5	39%	8%	58	-1.7	197/257/339	142	318	16	2	41%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	54	-2.0	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	58	-1.7	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	55	-2.0	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	193/299/288	95	289	6	11	32%	11%	72	-0.7	181/305/266	86	250	6	20	26%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	51	-2.3	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	48	-2.5	205/257/297	92	296	6	4	31%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Hector Martinez 2015 · A	18	42	38→45	41→45	33	201/241/285	84	303	5	7	34%	4%	47	-2.5	226/266/311	85	316	6	8	29%	4%	62	-1.4	244/276/343	99	341	7	9	29%	2%	70	-0.2
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	39	37→40	47→50	46	177/279/252	75	300	3	4	38%	10%	57	-1.8	189/291/265	76	334	5	5	40%	11%	63	-1.3	187/287/260	73	324	6	3	39%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	38	-3.2	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	49	-2.4	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	46	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps