Abraham Elvira — OGILVIE

Abraham ElviraC DSL Colorado

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .238

PA23

HR0

K%35

BB%9

BABIP308

ISO48

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$11M		$18M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	10	2	0	1	5	32	3	0	2	147	237	221	457	74	250	42	6	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	COL	—	49	38	4	2	0	0	8	26	1	0	2	105	277	158	434	53	333	53	16	219	25	-4	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	COL	—	49	33	6	3	0	0	13	18	1	0	2	182	426	273	698	91	400	37	27	334	114	+1	-1	+0	+1	+1	0.2
ROS	18	ROK	COL	0%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	190	261	238	499	48	289	35	9	246	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		311	—	—	250	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	COL	—	49	39	4	2	0	0	8	26	1	0	2	103	277	154	430	51	308	53	16	219	25	-4	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	COL	—	72	59	8	3	0	0	10	34	1	0	2	136	271	186	458	51	320	47	14	227	32	-6	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	164	145	29	6	1	2	15	55	3	1	1	200	288	297	585	97	293	34	9	259	57	-8	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	309	273	54	11	2	4	28	101	5	2	2	198	284	297	581	99	295	33	9	268	64	-13	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.1
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	420	372	75	15	2	7	38	135	7	3	2	202	288	309	597	108	296	32	9	275	68	-15	-0	+0	+8	+12	0.4
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	499	443	91	19	2	9	45	159	8	4	3	205	290	318	609	113	297	32	9	279	71	-16	-0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	520	459	95	19	3	9	47	165	9	4	3	207	293	320	613	113	298	32	9	281	73	-16	-0	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2032	24	MLB	COL	57%	520	458	96	19	3	10	48	165	9	4	3	210	297	330	627	120	298	32	9	283	75	-15	-0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2033	25	MLB	COL	57%	520	458	96	19	3	10	48	164	9	4	3	210	297	330	627	120	299	32	9	284	76	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2034	26	MLB	COL	57%	520	458	96	19	3	10	48	164	9	4	3	210	297	330	627	120	298	32	9	285	76	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2035	27	MLB	COL	55%	520	458	95	19	2	10	48	165	9	4	3	207	295	323	618	116	298	32	9	285	76	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2036	28	MLB	COL	55%	520	457	95	19	2	10	49	165	9	4	3	208	297	324	621	116	298	32	9	284	76	-14	-0	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2037	29	MLB	COL	53%	520	457	94	19	2	10	49	166	9	4	2	206	295	322	617	116	297	32	9	282	74	-15	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2038	30	MLB	COL	57%	520	457	93	19	2	9	49	168	9	3	2	204	293	313	606	109	295	32	9	279	72	-17	-0	-2	+9	+15	0.5
2039	31	MLB	COL	60%	504	443	90	18	2	9	48	164	8	3	2	203	293	314	606	111	293	33	10	275	69	-18	-0	-3	+9	+14	0.3
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	0	200	286	300	586	100	315	34	9	264	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	150	133	28	6	1	2	14	49	2	1	1	211	295	316	611	105	317	33	9	273	67	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	228	201	44	9	1	4	21	73	4	2	1	219	305	333	639	114	318	32	9	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	282	249	57	12	2	6	26	90	5	2	1	229	314	365	680	137	319	32	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	299	265	59	12	2	6	27	95	5	2	2	223	306	351	657	128	320	32	9	287	78	-8	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	COL	57%	296	262	59	12	2	6	27	94	5	2	2	225	310	355	664	130	322	32	9	289	79	-7	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB	COL	57%	295	261	60	12	2	7	27	93	5	2	2	230	314	372	686	142	322	32	9	291	81	-6	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	COL	57%	294	260	59	12	2	7	27	93	5	2	2	227	312	369	681	142	322	32	9	291	81	-6	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	COL	55%	289	255	59	12	2	7	27	92	5	2	1	231	317	376	694	145	321	32	9	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	COL	55%	286	252	56	12	1	6	27	91	5	2	1	222	310	349	659	127	321	32	9	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2037	29	MLB	COL	53%	278	245	54	11	1	6	26	89	5	2	1	220	308	347	655	127	320	32	9	288	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2038	30	MLB	COL	57%	297	262	57	12	1	6	28	96	5	2	1	218	305	340	645	122	318	32	9	285	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2039	31	MLB	COL	60%	300	264	57	12	1	6	28	98	5	2	1	216	303	337	640	121	315	33	9	281	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3350	2960	659	136	18	70	310	1072	57	23	16	223	308	352	660	129	322	32	9	286	77	-86	-2	-4	+60	+95	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	127	26	3	14	60	208	11	4	3	221	307	350	657	129	318	32	9	286	77	-17	-0	-1	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6156	5427	1113	224	29	110	567	1976	106	44	34	205	293	318	611	113	297	32	9	279	72	-198	-5	-7	+110	+174	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	118	24	3	12	60	209	11	5	4	206	293	321	615	115	298	32	9	279	72	-21	-1	-1	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	84	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,423	61	25	207	291	321	+61	+32	4.6	4.1
	/162	664	12	5	207	291	321	+11.9	+6.2	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abraham Elvira (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	136/271/186	51	320	0	0	47%	14%	32	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Hector Martinez 2015 · A	18	42	38→45	41→45	33	201/241/285	84	303	5	7	34%	4%	40	-2.4	226/266/311	85	316	6	8	29%	4%	57	-1.2	244/276/343	99	341	7	9	29%	2%	66	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7