Jose Flores — OGILVIE

Jose FloresC DSL Orioles Orange

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 44 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .273 / .205

PA44

HR0

K%34

BB%9

BABIP292

ISO26

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$15M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	84	73	8	2	0	0	6	42	1	1	0	110	188	137	324	27	242	50	7	142	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	84	70	11	3	0	0	9	27	1	1	0	157	263	200	463	43	244	32	11	216	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	BAL	—	32	25	5	1	0	0	6	12	1	0	2	200	375	240	615	40	385	38	19	279	72	-1	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
YTD	18	ROK	BAL	—	32	22	6	1	0	0	9	8	1	0	2	273	500	318	818	45	429	25	28	401	165	+2	-1	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	BAL	0%	44	39	7	1	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	179	273	205	478	26	294	34	9	247	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	242	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	BAL	—	32	26	5	1	0	0	6	12	1	0	2	192	375	231	606	38	357	38	19	279	72	-1	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK	BAL	—	76	64	12	2	0	0	10	27	2	0	2	188	316	219	535	31	324	36	13	261	58	-4	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	169	150	30	5	1	2	15	54	2	2	1	200	281	287	568	87	295	32	9	259	56	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	312	278	57	10	2	4	27	97	4	3	2	205	285	299	583	94	297	31	9	268	63	-13	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.1
2029	21	MLB	BAL	54%	422	376	78	14	2	6	37	129	6	4	2	207	289	303	592	96	297	31	9	274	68	-15	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.4
2030	22	MLB	BAL	57%	501	445	95	17	3	8	44	152	7	5	3	213	294	319	613	106	298	30	9	278	71	-16	-0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2031	23	MLB	BAL	58%	520	461	99	17	3	9	46	157	8	5	3	215	297	323	620	108	299	30	9	280	73	-16	-0	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2032	24	MLB	BAL	57%	520	461	99	17	3	9	46	157	8	5	3	215	297	323	620	108	300	30	9	282	74	-15	-0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2033	25	MLB	BAL	57%	520	461	99	17	3	9	46	157	8	5	3	215	297	323	620	108	300	30	9	284	75	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2034	26	MLB	BAL	57%	520	460	100	17	3	10	47	157	8	5	3	217	301	333	634	115	300	30	9	285	76	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2035	27	MLB	BAL	55%	520	460	100	17	3	10	47	157	8	5	3	217	301	333	634	115	300	30	9	285	76	-14	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	299	33	9	252	51	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	151	135	28	5	1	2	13	47	2	1	1	207	287	304	590	96	301	31	9	261	58	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	BAL	54%	229	204	44	8	1	4	20	70	3	2	1	216	295	324	619	108	302	31	9	267	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB	BAL	57%	284	253	54	10	1	5	25	86	4	3	1	213	294	320	614	107	303	30	9	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	BAL	58%	299	266	57	10	1	5	27	90	4	3	2	214	296	316	612	102	303	30	9	273	67	-11	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB	BAL	57%	296	264	56	10	1	5	26	89	4	3	2	212	293	314	607	102	304	30	9	275	69	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2033	25	MLB	BAL	57%	295	263	57	10	1	6	26	89	4	3	2	217	297	331	628	114	305	30	9	277	70	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB	BAL	57%	294	262	57	10	1	6	26	89	4	3	2	218	298	332	630	115	304	30	9	277	71	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB	BAL	55%	289	257	56	10	1	6	26	87	4	3	1	218	300	335	634	117	304	30	9	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2195	1957	420	75	8	40	194	666	30	22	12	215	295	322	618	108	302	30	9	273	67	-82	-0	+0	+39	+62	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	124	22	2	12	57	197	9	7	4	214	294	321	615	107	300	30	9	273	67	-24	-0	+0	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	4132	3664	772	134	23	67	365	1274	61	40	23	211	293	315	608	104	300	31	9	276	70	-142	-1	+0	+74	+117	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	122	21	4	11	57	200	10	6	4	212	294	319	613	108	301	31	9	276	70	-22	-0	+0	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	84	70	11	3	0	0	9	27	1	1	0	157	263	200	463	43	244	32	11	216	23	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,271	37	21	213	292	318	+41	+24	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	11	6	213	292	318	+11.9	+7.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Flores (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	188/316/219	31	324	0	0	36%	13%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Marcus Wilson 2015 · A	18	39→49	36→50	48→50	38	183/242/249	66	297	4	8	38%	7%	32	-3.0	203/268/284	81	314	5	10	34%	8%	52	-1.6	215/282/315	100	313	8	11	31%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Bryan Andrade 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	49→45	44	191/257/246	55	259	2	5	26%	7%	38	-2.6	187/247/239	52	258	3	4	27%	6%	31	-3.0	187/256/263	76	248	7	5	26%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Hector Martinez 2015 · A	18	42	38→45	41→45	33	201/241/285	84	303	5	7	34%	4%	40	-2.4	226/266/311	85	316	6	8	29%	4%	57	-1.2	244/276/343	99	341	7	9	29%	2%	66	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6