Arlenn Manzanillo

Arlenn ManzanilloC FCL Braves

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .250 / .216

PA56

HR0

K%32

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO39

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	121	15	3	0	1	17	40	2	2	1	124	243	174	416	50	173	28	12	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	113	18	4	0	1	25	28	2	2	1	159	321	221	543	62	200	20	18	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	84	77	9	2	0	0	6	35	0	1	0	117	181	143	324	26	209	42	7	161	-19	-11	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	84	72	13	3	0	0	10	24	0	1	0	181	277	222	499	42	265	29	12	237	39	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	ROK	ATL	0%	56	51	9	2	0	0	5	18	0	1	0	176	250	216	466	39	261	32	9	234	37	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	229	33	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ATL	—	84	78	9	2	0	0	6	35	0	1	0	115	181	141	322	26	205	42	7	161	-19	-11	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
TOT	18	ROK	ATL	—	140	128	18	4	0	0	11	53	0	2	0	141	209	172	381	31	237	38	8	190	4	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	207	185	36	7	1	2	18	62	2	3	1	195	273	276	549	81	269	30	9	250	50	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	343	307	61	11	2	5	29	101	4	6	2	199	276	296	573	98	273	29	8	260	57	-17	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	446	400	80	15	2	7	38	129	5	8	2	200	278	300	578	100	275	29	9	267	62	-19	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	518	462	94	17	2	9	45	148	6	10	3	203	283	307	590	104	276	29	9	271	65	-20	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.5
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	188	268	266	533	78	269	30	8	243	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	166	149	29	5	1	2	14	49	2	3	1	195	273	282	555	87	273	30	8	252	51	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	242	216	44	8	1	4	21	70	3	4	1	204	283	306	589	102	275	29	9	259	56	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	293	263	53	10	1	5	25	84	3	5	2	202	278	304	583	103	276	29	9	262	59	-14	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	772	693	138	25	3	12	66	224	9	13	4	199	278	296	574	97	274	29	9	257	55	-39	+1	+0	+14	+22	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	117	21	3	10	56	189	8	11	3	201	281	298	579	98	276	29	9	257	55	-33	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1711	1526	295	55	7	24	152	498	19	30	9	193	275	286	560	92	268	29	9	259	56	-85	+2	+0	+31	+48	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	112	21	3	9	58	189	7	11	3	193	274	286	561	93	268	29	9	259	56	-32	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	113	18	4	0	1	25	28	2	2	1	159	321	221	543	62	200	20	18	269	64	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	889	13	15	201	275	299	+16	+12	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	10	12	201	275	299	+11.9	+9.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arlenn Manzanillo (OGILVIE)	18	28→33	31→36	45→50	63	141/209/172	31	237	0	2	38%	8%	4	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Derwin Barreto 2019 · A	18	40	39→40	49→50	51	191/279/279	88	254	6	10	26%	10%	57	-1.2	199/274/291	92	289	7	10	31%	9%	57	-1.2	146/239/192	46	256	4	9	40%	10%	14	-0.8
✕Carlos Ramirez 2007 · A	18	39	36→40	44→45	46	187/255/250	63	262	3	6	28%	8%	38	-2.6	221/282/291	70	277	2	5	20%	6%	59	-1.1	241/302/311	71	291	2	4	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	40→50	38→40	50	47	190/268/273	83	265	5	6	28%	9%	50	-1.8	199/284/285	86	297	7	6	32%	9%	60	-1.0	202/290/285	82	314	8	5	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	42	34→40	49→40	44	196/267/251	55	284	2	4	30%	8%	43	-2.2	208/268/286	78	271	6	3	24%	7%	53	-1.5	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	41→40	51→30	43	201/256/296	95	262	9	9	26%	7%	50	-1.7	189/256/262	73	263	5	5	28%	8%	42	-2.3	168/252/275	106	241	12	2	34%	9%	42	-0.6
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→30	50→55	50	200/288/273	73	290	4	15	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/274/273	69	318	3	13	33%	8%	52	-1.6	181/264/239	58	298	2	15	36%	10%	36	-1.2
✕Robel García 2011 · A	18	36→37	37→50	50→40	47	170/256/251	81	261	4	9	33%	10%	40	-2.4	181/249/281	100	277	7	7	34%	8%	43	-2.2	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Wondy De Los Santos 2008 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	192/257/251	59	262	3	8	27%	6%	39	-2.5	207/256/275	68	267	3	9	22%	5%	44	-2.1	208/250/275	67	259	1	11	19%	4%	40	-0.7
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	42	35→45	45→30	41	196/262/252	56	273	2	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	176/258/267	91	261	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	172/264/273	101	236	12	1	30%	7%	48	-0.5
✕David García 2018 · A	18	38	36→40	49→30	41	182/250/243	61	270	3	4	32%	7%	34	-2.8	201/254/274	73	292	4	5	31%	6%	43	-2.2	176/282/234	58	268	4	3	32%	10%	46	-0.7
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Luis Rodriguez 2017 · A	18	38	35→30	46→50	45	180/251/238	58	270	2	8	32%	9%	33	-2.9	178/250/234	56	273	3	10	33%	8%	32	-3.0	180/271/220	40	237	2	16	23%	10%	37	-0.9