Arlenn Manzanillo

Arlenn ManzanilloC DSL Braves

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2033

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .271 / .298

PA117

HR1

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$35M	+$34M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.5	$38M	+$26M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$20M
Totals		$38M		$216M	+$178M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	141	122	15	3	0	1	16	40	2	2	1	.123	.236	.172	.408	.049	.171	28	11	.199	11	-14	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	ATL	117	106	22	4	1	1	9	35	1	2	0	.208	.276	.292	.568	.085	.288	30	8	.261	58	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	ATL	207	186	41	7	1	4	17	58	2	4	1	.220	.293	.333	.626	.113	.303	28	8	.294	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2028	20	MLB 28%	ATL	343	304	71	12	2	8	31	93	5	8	2	.234	.315	.365	.680	.132	.309	27	9	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2029	21	MLB 48%	ATL	446	396	95	16	3	12	41	119	6	12	3	.240	.321	.386	.707	.146	.309	27	9	.315	100	-0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	ATL	518	456	110	19	3	14	50	135	7	15	3	.241	.326	.388	.714	.147	.309	26	10	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2031	23	MLB 86%	ATL	520	456	112	19	3	15	52	133	7	15	3	.246	.332	.399	.731	.154	.310	26	10	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.2
2032	24	MLB	ATL	520	455	113	19	3	16	53	131	7	15	3	.248	.336	.409	.745	.160	.310	25	10	.333	113	+8	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.4
2033	25	MLB	ATL	520	454	113	19	3	16	54	130	7	15	3	.249	.338	.410	.748	.161	.311	25	10	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2034	26	MLB	ATL	520	453	113	19	3	17	55	130	7	15	3	.249	.340	.417	.757	.168	.311	25	11	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	27	MLB	ATL	520	452	113	19	3	17	56	131	7	15	3	.250	.342	.418	.760	.168	.311	25	11	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2036	28	MLB	ATL	520	452	112	19	3	16	56	132	7	14	3	.248	.340	.409	.749	.162	.311	25	11	.337	116	+9	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2037	29	MLB	ATL	520	452	111	18	3	16	56	133	7	13	2	.246	.338	.405	.743	.159	.310	26	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	ATL	520	452	110	18	3	16	56	135	7	12	2	.243	.336	.403	.739	.159	.309	26	11	.331	112	+7	+2	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2039	31	MLB	ATL	504	437	105	17	3	15	55	133	7	9	1	.240	.335	.396	.731	.156	.308	26	11	.328	109	+5	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2040	32	MLB	ATL	489	426	101	16	3	14	53	131	7	7	0	.237	.331	.387	.719	.150	.306	27	11	.323	105	+3	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.4
2041	33	MLB	ATL	473	413	96	15	3	13	51	130	6	5	0	.232	.326	.378	.703	.145	.305	27	11	.317	101	+1	+1	-4	+8	+13	2.0
2042	34	MLB	ATL	436	380	86	14	2	11	47	124	6	3	0	.226	.321	.361	.682	.134	.303	28	11	.311	96	-2	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.4
2043	35	MLB	ATL	373	325	72	11	2	9	40	110	5	2	0	.222	.316	.351	.667	.129	.301	29	11	.303	90	-4	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.8
2044	36	MLB	ATL	310	271	59	9	2	7	32	95	4	1	0	.218	.309	.343	.653	.125	.298	31	10	.294	83	-6	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2045	37	MLB	ATL	247	217	45	7	1	5	25	78	3	1	0	.207	.298	.318	.616	.111	.294	32	10	.284	76	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.2
2046	38	MLB	ATL	185	162	32	5	1	3	19	60	2	0	0	.198	.290	.296	.586	.099	.289	32	10	.274	68	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8949	7827	1847	305	51	246	924	2396	119	185	33	.236	.326	.382	.708	.146	.306	27	10	.319	103	+25	+24	-46	+160	+254	42.5
/ 162G	—			650	569	134	22	4	18	67	174	9	13	2	.236	.326	.383	.709	.148	.304	27	10	.319	103	+2	+2	-3	+12	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	141	113	18	4	0	1	25	28	2	2	1	.159	.321	.221	.543	.062	.200	20	18	.269	64	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arlenn Manzanillo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.204/.271/.298	.094	.288	1	2	30%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	42→52	39→60	48→50	39	.202/.246/.290	.088	.283	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.205/.246/.278	.073	.299	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	.235/.307/.417	.182	.303	19	12	28%	9%	100	+1.6
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→45	51→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.097	.268	5	8	23%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.280/.298	.076	.270	3	15	18%	7%	60	-1.0	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Marwin Gonzalez 2007 · A	18	39→49	41→55	42→50	37	.195/.232/.290	.096	.264	9	5	30%	4%	38	-2.6	.205/.245/.289	.084	.267	5	6	24%	5%	43	-2.2	.272/.342/.450	.178	.320	21	4	21%	9%	121	+2.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	42→52	42→45	50→55	40	.207/.261/.307	.100	.284	10	11	30%	6%	55	-1.4	.201/.270/.294	.093	.283	8	18	29%	8%	56	-1.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Luis Rengifo 2015 · A	18	38→48	36→50	48→55	48	.181/.257/.249	.067	.242	3	9	25%	8%	39	-2.5	.215/.272/.301	.086	.272	5	18	22%	6%	58	-1.2	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
●Eduardo Escobar 2007 · A	18	43→53	35→60	45→50	43	.202/.257/.262	.060	.276	2	10	26%	6%	41	-2.3	.219/.259/.270	.051	.298	2	12	26%	5%	43	-2.2	.260/.320/.471	.211	.286	26	4	19%	7%	117	+2.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	40→49	43→55	49→45	43	.200/.260/.310	.110	.274	11	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	.226/.280/.361	.135	.299	16	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A	18	45→49	42→65	47→45	39	.217/.275/.326	.110	.305	9	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.201/.254/.302	.101	.269	9	7	27%	5%	51	-1.7	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	.221/.266/.338	.118	.283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.237/.283/.343	.106	.289	10	4	21%	5%	74	-0.1	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	44→54	37→50	50	44	.205/.279/.279	.074	.312	4	8	33%	8%	56	-1.3	.229/.299/.292	.063	.297	3	10	22%	8%	67	-0.5	.248/.310/.361	.113	.309	7	9	21%	7%	87	+0.8
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→55	49→50	38	.202/.248/.282	.080	.290	5	7	31%	5%	43	-2.2	.219/.267/.307	.088	.310	5	10	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.248/.301/.421	.173	.319	22	4	28%	6%	100	+1.3
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)