Luis Luna — OGILVIE

Luis LunaSS DSL LAD Mega

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 83 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+51

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .265 / .263

PA83

HR1

K%29

BB%7

BABIP275

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$28M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	116	100	14	1	0	0	11	41	5	9	5	140	259	150	409	10	237	35	9	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	116	94	19	2	0	0	17	26	5	9	5	202	353	223	577	21	279	22	15	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	15	13	1	1	0	0	1	6	1	0	2	77	200	154	354	77	143	40	7	116	-53	-3	-1	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	15	13	1	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	77	200	154	354	77	111	27	7	181	-3	-2	-1	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	83	76	15	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	197	265	263	528	66	288	29	7	252	51	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	15	14	1	1	0	0	1	6	1	0	2	71	200	143	343	71	125	40	7	116	-53	-3	-1	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	98	89	16	3	0	1	7	30	2	2	2	180	255	247	502	67	259	31	7	232	35	-7	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	190	169	36	6	1	2	15	54	4	4	1	213	293	296	588	83	291	28	8	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	330	295	63	10	2	4	26	92	6	6	1	214	291	302	592	88	293	28	8	274	68	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	435	390	85	14	2	7	34	120	8	8	2	218	294	318	612	100	294	28	8	280	72	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	510	454	101	16	3	9	41	139	10	10	2	222	301	330	631	108	295	27	8	284	75	-14	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.7
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	561	500	111	18	3	10	45	153	11	11	2	222	300	330	630	108	296	27	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	594	529	118	19	3	11	48	161	12	12	2	223	302	333	635	110	297	27	8	288	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	614	548	123	20	3	12	49	167	12	12	2	224	302	338	640	113	297	27	8	290	80	-14	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	623	556	124	20	3	12	50	169	12	12	2	223	301	335	636	112	297	27	8	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	625	557	124	20	3	12	51	170	12	12	2	223	302	334	636	111	297	27	8	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	621	553	123	20	3	12	51	170	12	11	2	222	302	335	636	112	296	27	8	290	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	—	61%	611	543	120	19	3	11	51	168	12	10	2	221	302	328	630	107	296	27	8	288	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+17	0.9
2038	30	MLB	—	62%	601	534	118	19	3	11	50	167	12	9	2	221	302	330	632	109	295	28	8	286	77	-16	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.7
2039	31	MLB	—	63%	587	522	113	18	3	10	49	165	11	8	2	216	297	320	617	103	293	28	8	282	74	-17	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.4
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	65	59	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	203	277	288	565	85	291	29	8	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	160	143	31	5	1	2	13	45	3	3	1	217	296	308	603	91	293	28	8	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	236	210	46	7	1	4	19	65	5	5	1	219	299	319	618	100	294	28	8	280	72	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	289	258	57	9	2	5	23	79	6	6	1	221	300	329	629	109	295	27	8	284	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	323	288	64	10	2	6	26	88	6	6	1	222	300	333	633	111	296	27	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	339	302	68	11	2	6	27	92	7	7	1	225	304	334	638	109	297	27	8	288	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	348	310	70	11	2	7	28	94	7	7	1	226	304	342	646	116	297	27	8	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	353	315	70	11	2	7	28	96	7	7	1	222	300	337	637	114	297	27	8	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	347	309	69	11	2	7	28	94	7	7	1	223	302	340	642	117	297	27	8	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	367	327	73	12	2	7	30	100	7	7	1	223	302	336	639	113	296	27	8	290	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	61%	373	332	74	12	2	7	31	103	7	6	1	223	303	334	637	111	296	28	8	288	79	-9	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB	—	62%	374	333	74	12	2	7	31	104	7	6	1	222	302	333	635	111	295	28	8	286	77	-10	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB	—	63%	370	329	71	11	2	6	31	104	7	5	1	216	297	316	613	100	293	28	8	282	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3944	3516	779	124	22	72	320	1083	77	73	12	222	301	331	631	109	297	27	8	286	77	-102	+10	-4	+42	+112	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	128	20	4	12	53	178	13	12	2	221	301	332	632	111	296	27	8	286	77	-17	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7101	6326	1388	222	35	124	577	1960	140	136	29	219	299	324	623	105	296	28	8	284	76	-197	+16	-7	+76	+201	9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	126	20	3	11	53	179	13	12	3	218	298	320	617	102	293	28	8	284	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	116	94	19	2	0	0	17	26	5	9	5	202	353	223	577	21	279	22	15	289	79	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,041	71	73	222	297	329	+43	+24	5.7	5.1
	/162	664	12	12	222	297	329	+7.1	+3.9	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Luna (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	180/255/247	67	259	1	2	31%	7%	35	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	40	35→45	46→60	39	188/247/243	55	285	3	9	33%	6%	33	-2.9	208/263/297	89	272	9	19	26%	6%	53	-1.5	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2