Keegan Pieternella

Keegan PieternellaC FCL Blue Jays

Age 18 S/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 54 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .241 / .220

PA54

HR0

K%30

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO40

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$31M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	98	12	1	0	0	13	28	2	0	0	122	239	133	372	10	171	25	11	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	90	18	2	0	0	21	18	2	0	0	200	363	222	585	22	250	16	18	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	43	39	6	1	1	0	4	20	0	0	1	154	233	231	463	77	316	47	9	183	-2	-5	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	43	37	8	1	1	0	6	14	0	0	1	216	326	297	623	81	348	33	14	291	81	-1	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	TOR	0%	54	50	9	2	0	0	4	16	0	0	0	180	241	220	461	40	290	30	7	254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TOR	—	43	40	6	1	1	0	4	20	0	0	1	150	233	225	458	75	300	47	9	183	-2	-5	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	TOR	—	97	89	15	3	1	0	8	36	0	0	1	169	237	225	462	56	283	37	8	223	29	-8	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	188	168	35	6	1	2	16	54	2	2	1	208	285	292	577	83	290	29	9	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	20	MLB	TOR	48%	328	293	62	10	2	4	28	92	4	3	1	212	289	300	590	89	292	28	9	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.3
2029	21	MLB	TOR	54%	435	390	85	14	3	7	37	120	5	3	2	218	294	323	617	105	293	28	9	280	73	-13	-0	+0	+8	+12	0.7
2030	22	MLB	TOR	57%	510	456	101	16	4	9	43	139	6	4	2	221	297	333	630	112	294	27	8	285	76	-14	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.0
2031	23	MLB	TOR	58%	520	464	103	16	4	9	44	141	7	4	2	222	299	332	631	110	295	27	8	287	78	-13	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2032	24	MLB	TOR	57%	520	463	105	17	4	10	45	141	7	4	2	227	305	346	650	119	296	27	9	289	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2033	25	MLB	TOR	57%	520	463	105	17	4	10	45	141	7	4	2	227	305	346	650	119	296	27	9	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2034	26	MLB	TOR	57%	520	463	104	16	4	10	45	141	7	4	2	225	303	341	644	117	296	27	9	292	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2035	27	MLB	TOR	55%	520	463	103	16	4	10	45	141	7	4	2	222	301	339	640	117	296	27	9	292	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2036	28	MLB	TOR	55%	520	462	103	16	4	10	46	142	7	4	2	223	303	340	643	117	295	27	9	291	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2037	29	MLB	TOR	53%	520	462	103	16	4	10	46	143	7	4	2	223	303	340	643	117	294	28	9	289	79	-12	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	65	59	13	2	1	1	5	19	1	1	0	220	292	339	631	119	292	29	8	258	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	TOR	48%	159	143	30	5	1	2	13	44	2	1	1	210	285	301	586	91	294	28	8	266	62	-7	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	TOR	54%	236	211	46	7	2	4	20	65	3	2	1	218	295	327	622	109	295	28	8	272	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	TOR	57%	289	258	57	9	2	5	25	79	4	2	1	221	300	329	629	109	296	27	9	276	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	TOR	58%	299	267	59	9	2	5	26	81	4	2	1	221	300	326	626	105	297	27	9	279	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	24	MLB	TOR	57%	296	265	59	9	2	6	25	80	4	2	1	223	299	340	639	117	298	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2033	25	MLB	TOR	57%	295	264	59	9	2	6	25	80	4	2	1	223	300	341	641	117	298	27	8	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB	TOR	57%	294	263	59	9	2	6	25	80	4	2	1	224	301	342	644	118	298	27	9	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB	TOR	55%	289	258	58	9	2	6	25	78	4	2	1	225	303	345	648	120	297	27	9	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB	TOR	55%	286	255	57	9	2	6	25	78	4	2	1	224	303	345	648	122	297	27	9	283	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2037	29	MLB	TOR	53%	278	248	55	9	2	5	25	76	3	2	1	222	301	335	635	113	296	27	9	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2786	2492	552	86	20	52	239	760	37	20	10	222	299	335	634	113	296	27	9	279	72	-89	+0	-1	+50	+79	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	129	20	5	12	56	177	9	5	2	222	300	336	636	114	297	27	9	279	72	-21	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	5269	4695	1030	163	38	91	457	1439	68	40	20	219	298	328	626	109	294	27	9	284	76	-144	+0	-2	+94	+149	9.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	127	20	5	11	56	178	8	5	2	219	297	328	625	109	294	27	9	284	76	-18	+0	-0	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	90	18	2	0	0	21	18	2	0	0	200	363	222	585	22	250	16	18	291	81	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,882	52	23	222	296	334	+51	+28	5.8	5.3
	/162	664	12	5	222	296	334	+11.9	+6.5	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keegan Pieternella (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	169/237/225	56	283	0	0	37%	8%	29	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Alejandro Flores 2014 · A	18	41	37→50	48→40	43	196/253/264	68	270	4	7	28%	7%	40	-2.4	190/255/273	83	275	7	6	31%	7%	44	-2.1	199/256/338	139	264	14	3	29%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	42	35→45	45→30	41	196/262/252	56	273	2	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	176/258/267	91	261	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	172/264/273	101	236	12	1	30%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Chace Numata 2011 · A	18	44	36→40	47→40	43	205/271/275	70	308	4	7	32%	8%	51	-1.7	210/271/287	77	275	5	7	24%	7%	54	-1.4	250/301/324	74	297	3	2	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	42	34→40	49→40	44	196/267/251	55	284	2	4	30%	8%	43	-2.2	208/268/286	78	271	6	3	24%	7%	53	-1.5	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	52	-1.6	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	47	-1.9	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Carlos Ramirez 2007 · A	18	39	36→40	44→45	46	187/255/250	63	262	3	6	28%	8%	38	-2.6	221/282/291	70	277	2	5	20%	6%	59	-1.1	241/302/311	71	291	2	4	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	40→50	38→40	50	47	190/268/273	83	265	5	6	28%	9%	50	-1.8	199/284/285	86	297	7	6	32%	9%	60	-1.0	202/290/285	82	314	8	5	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕David García 2018 · A	18	38	36→40	49→30	41	182/250/243	61	270	3	4	32%	7%	34	-2.8	201/254/274	73	292	4	5	31%	6%	43	-2.2	176/282/234	58	268	4	3	32%	10%	46	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	40	-2.4	198/256/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	40	-2.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	47	-1.9	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	51	-1.7	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2022 · A	18	40→50	34→40	46→55	43	189/242/236	46	248	2	5	24%	6%	28	-3.2	218/279/297	79	287	5	11	24%	7%	60	-1.0	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3