Keegan Pieternella

C FCL Blue Jays

Age 19 S/R 5'8" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1376ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	114	.200/.363/.222	0	0	17	—	.124/.248/.134
2026	18	ROKTOR	48	.220/.333/.293	0	0	14	—	.159/.229/.227
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTOR	158	.208/.282/.276	1	1	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTOR	30	.213/.288/.293	0	0	66	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBTOR	90	.217/.293/.306	1	1	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed45

BB%43

Chase%41

ISO26

wRC+22

wOBA16

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .280 / .274

PA33

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	90	18	2	0	0	21	18	2	0	0	200	363	222	585	22	250	16	18	291	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	41	9	1	1	0	7	15	0	0	1	220	333	293	626	73	346	31	15	294	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	97	12	1	0	0	14	23	2	0	0	124	248	134	382	10	157	20	12	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	44	7	1	1	0	4	22	0	0	1	159	229	227	456	68	278	46	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	97	12	1	0	0	14	23	2	0	0	124	248	134	382	10	162	20	12	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	90	18	2	0	0	21	18	2	0	0	200	363	222	585	22	250	16	18	291	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	44	7	1	1	0	4	22	0	0	1	159	229	227	456	68	318	46	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	41	9	1	1	0	7	15	0	0	1	220	333	293	626	73	346	31	15	294	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	97	12	1	0	0	14	23	2	0	0	124	248	134	382	10	157	20	12	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	44	7	1	1	0	4	22	0	0	1	159	229	227	456	68	278	46	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	114	97	12	1	0	0	14	23	2	0	0	124	248	134	382	10	157	20	12	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	48	44	7	1	1	0	4	22	0	0	1	159	229	227	456	68	278	46	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	158	143	29	4	1	1	13	43	1	1	1	208	282	276	558	69	287	27	8	257	60	-7	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	90	81	18	3	1	1	8	24	1	1	0	212	287	291	579	79	289	27	9	266	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TOR	50%	181	162	34	5	1	2	15	48	2	2	1	216	292	304	596	88	290	27	8	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	292	262	57	9	2	4	25	77	3	3	1	220	295	315	611	96	291	26	9	278	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	383	343	77	12	3	6	33	99	4	4	2	223	298	325	623	103	292	26	9	283	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	441	395	89	14	3	8	38	113	5	4	2	225	301	334	634	108	293	26	9	287	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	399	90	14	3	8	38	114	5	4	2	226	301	337	638	111	293	26	9	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	399	90	14	3	8	38	114	5	4	2	226	302	338	640	112	293	26	9	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	399	90	14	3	8	38	115	5	4	2	225	301	336	636	111	293	26	9	288	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	399	89	14	3	8	38	116	5	2	2	223	298	331	629	108	292	26	9	285	79	-11	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	400	87	13	3	7	38	117	4	1	2	221	296	325	620	104	290	26	9	282	77	-12	-1	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	445	400	87	13	3	7	38	119	4	1	1	217	292	317	608	99	288	27	9	277	74	-14	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	426	383	82	12	3	6	36	115	4	1	1	213	287	307	593	93	285	27	8	271	69	-16	-0	-3	+8	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	30	27	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	213	288	293	581	79	291	27	10	267	66	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TOR	50%	90	81	18	3	1	1	8	24	1	1	0	217	293	306	598	89	292	27	9	274	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	168	150	33	5	1	2	14	44	2	2	1	221	296	317	613	96	293	26	8	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	235	210	47	7	2	4	20	61	3	2	1	224	299	327	626	103	294	26	9	284	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	278	249	57	9	2	5	24	72	3	3	1	226	302	335	637	109	295	26	9	288	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	74	3	3	1	227	302	338	640	111	295	26	9	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	74	3	3	1	227	302	340	642	113	295	26	9	291	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	75	3	2	1	226	301	337	639	111	294	26	9	289	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	75	3	2	1	224	299	332	632	108	293	26	9	286	79	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	76	3	1	1	221	296	326	622	104	291	26	9	283	77	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	289	259	58	9	2	5	25	77	3	1	1	218	293	318	611	100	289	27	9	278	74	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	277	249	54	8	2	4	23	75	3	0	1	214	288	308	596	94	286	27	8	272	69	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2812	2520	562	87	20	46	242	735	30	20	10	223	299	328	627	105	295	26	9	284	75	-75	+0	-5	+50	+61	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	20	5	11	56	170	7	5	2	225	300	333	633	108	297	26	9	284	75	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4678	4193	915	140	32	73	404	1225	49	31	19	218	294	319	614	101	289	26	9	279	75	-123	-1	-7	+81	+98	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	126	19	4	10	56	170	7	4	3	216	293	314	607	98	286	26	9	279	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 48 PAwOBA .288 → .189 (−99)K% 31.2% → 45.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.25%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	45.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.58%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	9.11%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	22.24%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.79%
Triples /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.79%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .288 → .189; ISO .073 → .045; BABIP .346 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Blue Jays Blue · 114 PAwOBA .282 → .193 (−89)K% 15.8% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.79%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	19.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.54%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.52%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.24%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.086	×0.680	×1.002	×1.008	14.05%
Doubles /BIP	2.78%	÷1.023	×0.600	×1.002	×1.008	1.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.002	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.836	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 117, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .282 → .193; ISO .022 → .014; BABIP .250 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
	/162	664	12	1	238*	309*	359*	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	/162	664	6	3	239*	294*	339*	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.3	2,848	46	19	222	294	327	+51	+32	5.2	4.7
	/162	664	11	4	222	294	327	+11.9	+7.5	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Keegan Pieternella

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps