Luis Maldonado — OGILVIE

Luis MaldonadoSS DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 143 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+57

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .272 / .293

PA93

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$27M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	100	15	1	0	2	8	34	1	2	1	150	220	220	440	70	203	31	7	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	95	18	1	0	2	13	22	1	2	1	189	294	263	557	74	225	20	12	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	93	86	18	2	1	1	6	26	1	1	0	209	269	291	560	81	288	28	6	259	57	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	185	168	37	5	1	3	13	51	2	2	1	220	284	315	600	95	291	28	7	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	325	294	66	9	2	6	24	87	4	4	1	224	292	330	622	105	292	27	7	278	71	-11	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	432	392	88	13	2	8	32	114	5	5	1	224	291	329	620	105	293	26	7	284	75	-12	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.6
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	508	459	104	15	3	10	38	133	6	6	2	227	294	338	632	111	294	26	7	287	78	-13	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.8
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	559	505	116	17	3	12	42	146	7	6	2	230	298	347	644	117	295	26	8	289	79	-13	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	593	536	123	18	3	13	45	155	7	7	2	229	298	347	645	118	296	26	8	291	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	612	553	127	18	4	13	46	159	8	7	2	230	298	347	645	118	296	26	8	292	81	-13	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	622	562	130	19	4	14	47	162	8	7	2	231	300	354	654	123	296	26	8	292	82	-13	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	623	562	129	19	3	14	48	163	8	7	2	230	299	349	648	119	296	26	8	292	82	-13	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	620	559	128	18	3	14	48	163	8	7	2	229	299	347	646	118	296	26	8	292	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	—	61%	610	549	125	18	3	13	48	161	8	6	2	228	299	342	642	115	295	26	8	290	80	-14	+0	-1	+7	+17	0.9
2038	30	MLB	—	62%	600	541	121	17	3	12	47	160	7	5	2	224	294	333	627	109	294	27	8	287	78	-15	+0	-2	+6	+17	0.7
2039	31	MLB	—	63%	586	528	118	17	3	12	46	158	7	5	1	223	294	335	630	112	292	27	8	283	75	-17	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.4
2040	32	MLB	—	64%	568	511	113	16	3	11	45	156	7	4	1	221	293	329	622	108	289	27	8	278	71	-19	+0	-4	+6	+16	0.1
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	64	58	13	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	224	297	310	607	86	291	27	8	270	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	157	142	32	5	1	3	12	42	2	2	1	225	295	338	633	113	292	27	8	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	234	212	48	7	1	5	17	62	3	3	1	226	293	340	633	113	293	26	7	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	288	260	60	9	2	6	22	76	4	3	1	231	301	350	651	119	294	26	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	322	291	67	10	2	7	24	84	4	4	1	230	298	351	648	120	295	26	7	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	338	305	70	10	2	7	26	88	4	4	1	230	299	344	643	115	296	26	8	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	347	314	72	10	2	8	26	90	4	4	1	229	297	350	647	121	296	26	7	292	81	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	352	318	74	11	2	8	27	92	4	4	1	233	301	355	656	123	296	26	8	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	346	312	72	10	2	8	27	90	4	4	1	231	300	353	653	122	296	26	8	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	367	330	76	11	2	8	29	96	5	4	1	230	302	348	651	118	296	26	8	292	81	-8	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	61%	372	335	76	11	2	8	29	98	5	4	1	227	298	343	641	116	295	26	8	290	80	-8	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB	—	62%	373	336	76	11	2	8	29	100	5	3	1	226	297	342	640	116	294	27	8	287	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB	—	63%	370	333	74	11	2	7	29	100	5	3	1	222	294	330	625	108	292	27	8	283	75	-10	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2040	32	MLB	—	64%	362	327	72	10	2	7	28	99	4	2	1	220	290	327	617	107	289	27	8	278	71	-12	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4292	3873	882	128	24	91	330	1134	54	45	13	228	297	344	641	116	296	26	8	288	78	-105	+4	-7	+46	+122	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	134	19	4	14	50	172	8	7	2	228	298	346	644	118	297	26	8	288	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7645	6905	1558	222	41	158	583	2028	94	81	24	226	295	338	633	113	294	27	8	286	77	-200	+7	-10	+82	+217	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	132	19	3	13	50	172	8	7	2	225	295	334	628	109	294	26	8	286	77	-17	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	95	18	1	0	2	13	22	1	2	1	189	294	263	557	74	225	20	12	264	61	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,384	90	45	228	294	341	+47	+27	6.0	5.3
	/162	664	14	7	228	294	341	+7.1	+4.1	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Maldonado (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	210/272/293	83	288	1	1	28%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8