Luis Maldonado

SS DSL Cubs Red

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 143 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1892ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	109	.189/.294/.263	2	2	2	—	.121/.202/.162
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	219	.213/.278/.285	2	3	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	25	.217/.283/.297	0	0	65	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLB—	84	.220/.287/.308	1	1	69	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%61

K%57

BB%38

Whiff%38

Chase%35

ISO34

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .283

PA38

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	95	18	1	0	2	13	22	1	2	1	189	294	263	557	74	225	20	12	264	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	99	12	1	0	1	9	28	1	2	1	121	202	162	363	40	154	26	8	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	99	12	1	0	1	9	28	1	2	1	121	202	162	363	40	157	26	8	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	95	18	1	0	2	13	22	1	2	1	189	294	263	557	74	225	20	12	264	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	98	12	1	0	1	9	28	1	2	1	122	202	163	365	41	154	26	8	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	109	98	12	1	0	1	9	28	1	2	1	122	202	163	365	41	154	26	8	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	219	199	43	6	1	2	16	59	2	3	1	213	278	285	563	72	288	27	7	258	61	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	74	68	14	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	217	283	297	580	80	289	27	7	265	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	50%	168	151	34	5	1	2	13	44	2	2	1	220	287	308	595	88	291	26	8	271	69	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	58%	278	252	57	8	2	4	21	72	3	3	1	223	291	317	608	94	292	26	8	276	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	61%	374	338	76	11	2	6	29	96	4	5	2	225	293	325	619	100	292	26	8	280	76	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	63%	437	395	91	13	3	8	34	111	5	5	2	228	296	333	628	105	293	25	8	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	65%	473	428	98	14	3	9	37	120	5	6	2	228	296	335	631	106	293	25	8	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	65%	494	448	102	15	3	9	38	125	5	6	2	228	296	336	632	107	293	25	8	286	79	-12	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	65%	501	452	103	15	3	9	39	128	5	6	3	227	295	333	629	106	293	26	8	284	78	-13	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	65%	501	452	103	15	3	9	39	129	5	5	3	226	294	329	622	103	292	26	8	282	77	-14	-0	-1	+5	+11	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	493	447	100	14	3	8	38	128	5	5	3	223	291	323	614	100	291	26	8	278	74	-15	-0	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	217	283	297	580	80	289	28	8	265	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	50%	84	77	17	2	1	1	6	22	1	1	0	220	287	308	595	88	291	26	7	271	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	58%	160	145	31	4	1	2	12	41	2	2	1	223	291	317	608	94	292	26	8	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	61%	230	208	47	7	1	4	18	59	2	3	1	225	293	325	619	100	292	26	8	280	76	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	63%	276	250	57	8	2	5	21	70	3	3	1	228	296	333	628	105	293	25	8	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	65%	307	277	64	9	2	6	24	78	3	4	1	228	296	335	631	106	293	25	8	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	65%	321	290	66	9	2	6	25	81	3	4	2	228	296	336	632	107	293	25	8	286	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	65%	326	295	68	10	2	6	25	83	3	4	2	227	295	333	629	106	293	25	8	284	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	65%	326	295	66	9	2	6	25	84	3	4	2	226	294	329	622	103	292	26	8	282	77	-9	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	320	289	64	9	2	5	25	83	3	3	2	223	291	323	614	100	291	26	8	278	74	-10	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2375	2149	485	68	15	41	183	608	23	28	12	226	293	329	622	103	293	26	8	282	74	-66	+1	-1	+25	+51	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	133	19	4	11	50	166	6	8	3	226	293	328	622	102	294	26	8	282	74	-18	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3940	3565	797	114	23	66	305	1011	41	46	20	224	292	324	616	100	292	26	8	278	74	-107	+1	-2	+41	+83	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	19	4	11	50	167	7	8	3	224	293	327	620	102	293	26	8	278	74	-18	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 109 PAwOBA .258 → .171 (−87)K% 20.2% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.18%	÷0.966	×1.220	—	—	25.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.93%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×1.022	8.24%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.66%
Singles /BIP	20.55%	÷0.981	×0.680	×0.986	×1.022	14.37%
Doubles /BIP	1.37%	÷1.012	×0.600	×0.986	×1.022	0.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.986	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.74%	÷0.876	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.50%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .258 → .171; ISO .074 → .040; BABIP .225 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	4.8	3,200	27	23	236*	281*	354*	+20	+24	1.9	3.3
#4Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	/162	664	6	5	236*	281*	354*	+4.1	+4.9	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	/162	664	3	3	229*	288*	313*	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.6	2,413	42	28	227	291	329	+26	+21	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	11	8	227	291	329	+7.1	+5.8	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Luis Maldonado

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps