Abel Pena — OGILVIE

Abel PenaC DSL Reds

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 198 lbs ROK HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2034

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .267 / .292

PA100

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$31M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$21M
Totals		$37M		$213M	+$176M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	119	105	14	2	0	0	6	45	6	0	0	.133	.222	.152	.375	.019	.226	38	5	.176	-7	-14	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	CIN	100	92	18	3	1	1	7	31	1	1	0	.196	.260	.283	.543	.087	.289	31	7	.256	54	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	CIN	192	172	39	7	1	4	16	56	2	4	1	.227	.300	.349	.649	.122	.304	29	8	.291	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB 28%	CIN	331	294	69	12	2	8	29	93	5	8	2	.235	.314	.371	.685	.136	.310	28	9	.305	91	-3	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.3
2029	21	MLB 48%	CIN	436	387	91	15	3	11	40	119	6	12	3	.235	.316	.375	.691	.140	.310	27	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.1
2030	22	MLB 65%	CIN	511	450	108	18	3	14	48	137	8	15	3	.240	.324	.387	.711	.147	.311	27	9	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.8
2031	23	MLB 86%	CIN	520	456	112	19	3	16	51	137	8	15	3	.246	.332	.406	.738	.160	.311	26	10	.327	108	+5	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2032	24	MLB	CIN	520	455	112	19	3	16	52	135	8	15	3	.246	.334	.407	.741	.160	.311	26	10	.331	112	+7	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	25	MLB	CIN	520	454	112	19	3	16	53	134	8	15	3	.247	.336	.407	.743	.161	.312	26	10	.334	114	+8	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2034	26	MLB	CIN	520	453	113	19	3	17	54	134	8	15	3	.249	.340	.417	.757	.168	.313	26	10	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	27	MLB	CIN	520	452	112	18	3	17	55	135	8	15	3	.248	.340	.414	.754	.166	.313	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2036	28	MLB	CIN	520	452	110	18	3	16	55	136	8	14	3	.243	.336	.403	.739	.159	.312	26	11	.335	114	+9	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.4
2037	29	MLB	CIN	520	451	110	18	3	16	56	137	8	13	2	.244	.338	.404	.741	.160	.312	26	11	.333	113	+8	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	CIN	520	451	110	18	3	16	56	139	8	12	2	.244	.338	.404	.741	.160	.310	27	11	.330	110	+6	+2	-2	+9	+15	3.0
2039	31	MLB	CIN	504	438	105	17	3	15	54	137	7	9	1	.240	.333	.395	.728	.155	.309	27	11	.326	108	+4	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2040	32	MLB	CIN	489	427	100	16	3	14	52	135	7	7	0	.234	.327	.384	.711	.150	.307	28	11	.321	104	+2	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.3
2041	33	MLB	CIN	473	413	95	15	3	13	50	134	7	5	0	.230	.323	.375	.699	.145	.306	28	11	.316	100	-0	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.9
2042	34	MLB	CIN	433	378	84	13	2	11	46	126	6	3	0	.222	.316	.354	.671	.132	.304	29	11	.309	95	-3	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.3
2043	35	MLB	CIN	371	324	71	11	2	9	39	112	5	2	0	.219	.312	.349	.661	.130	.302	30	11	.301	89	-5	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.7
2044	36	MLB	CIN	308	269	58	9	2	7	32	96	4	1	0	.216	.308	.342	.650	.126	.300	31	10	.293	82	-6	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2045	37	MLB	CIN	245	215	44	7	1	5	25	79	3	1	0	.205	.296	.316	.613	.112	.296	32	10	.283	75	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	CIN	182	160	32	5	1	3	18	60	2	0	0	.200	.289	.300	.589	.100	.291	33	10	.272	67	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8854	7748	1819	298	51	245	894	2447	133	182	32	.235	.324	.381	.706	.146	.308	28	10	.318	101	+13	+24	-46	+158	+251	40.8
/ 162G	—			650	569	134	22	4	18	66	180	10	13	2	.236	.326	.383	.709	.148	.309	28	10	.318	101	+1	+2	-3	+12	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	119	100	19	3	0	0	11	31	6	0	0	.190	.308	.220	.528	.030	.268	26	9	.256	54	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Pena (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.201/.267/.292	.090	.289	1	1	31%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→55	49→50	38	.202/.248/.282	.080	.290	5	7	31%	5%	43	-2.2	.219/.267/.307	.088	.310	5	10	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.248/.301/.421	.173	.319	22	4	28%	6%	100	+1.3
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→48	37→45	47→40	44	.190/.244/.262	.072	.250	5	4	25%	6%	36	-2.7	.193/.250/.256	.063	.231	4	3	17%	6%	37	-2.7	.276/.346/.381	.105	.365	9	0	25%	9%	105	+0.9
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	43→51	38→45	48→55	44	.204/.260/.288	.084	.278	4	8	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.202/.252/.277	.075	.241	4	10	17%	5%	43	-2.2	.241/.336/.380	.139	.254	14	26	11%	10%	103	+0.9
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	43→50	40→60	42→30	38	.207/.253/.302	.095	.293	8	4	31%	5%	50	-1.7	.206/.255/.327	.121	.274	14	3	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	38→45	48→60	37	.201/.274/.283	.082	.302	4	8	32%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.294/.318	.100	.311	8	15	31%	6%	73	-0.1	.220/.298/.329	.109	.312	11	20	30%	6%	75	-0.0
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2011 · A	18	42→52	41→50	49→45	35	.201/.249/.301	.100	.304	7	6	35%	5%	49	-1.8	.215/.263/.317	.102	.277	10	4	25%	6%	59	-1.1	.250/.304/.396	.146	.292	17	1	20%	7%	95	+0.7
●Alex Liddi 2007 · A	18	43→53	39→60	52→50	35	.205/.243/.299	.094	.302	6	10	33%	4%	44	-2.1	.213/.261/.326	.113	.308	9	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.241/.296/.424	.182	.336	20	5	33%	6%	99	+1.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	47→45	39	.185/.251/.256	.071	.289	6	6	36%	7%	39	-2.5	.226/.287/.352	.126	.291	13	7	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.248/.309/.417	.169	.290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.7
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A	19	43→53	40→50	46→45	39	.205/.255/.298	.093	.301	7	7	33%	6%	50	-1.8	.224/.267/.352	.128	.288	14	5	27%	4%	69	-0.4	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→50	40	.199/.248/.293	.095	.266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	.208/.268/.334	.126	.284	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Christian Vázquez 2009 · A	18	42→52	36→50	49→45	39	.198/.252/.265	.068	.310	4	6	36%	6%	40	-2.4	.205/.256/.291	.086	.286	7	4	29%	6%	49	-1.8	.263/.314/.411	.148	.301	18	8	19%	7%	101	+1.2
●Renato Núñez 2012 · A	18	41→51	41→60	43→30	35	.205/.239/.302	.097	.278	9	4	30%	3%	44	-2.1	.212/.255/.338	.126	.283	13	4	29%	4%	61	-1.0	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)