Luis Aular
SS DSL Red Sox Blue
Age 19
L/R
5'10" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR -5%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1839ETA2029MLB%0%
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROKDSL Red Sox R… | 87 | .164/.349/.194 | 0 | 0 | 7 | — | .097/.244/.111 |
| 2026 | 18 | ROKDSL Red Sox B… | 62 | .186/.435/.302 | 1 | 4 | 52 | — | .125/.323/.229 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 19 | MLBBOS | 172 | .193/.284/.263 | 1 | 2 | 59 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 20 | MLBBOS | 32 | .203/.293/.284 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ50% MLB | 21 | MLBBOS | 94 | .208/.297/.297 | 1 | 1 | 69 | -0.0 |
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%96
Chase%76
wOBA67
Speed67
wRC+65
K%52
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .281 / .261
PA38
HR0
K%32
BB%9
ISO70
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 349 | 194 | 543 | 30 | 314 | 38 | 17 | 277 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 186 | 435 | 302 | 738 | 116 | 241 | 21 | 26 | 363 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 244 | 111 | 355 | 14 | 208 | 47 | 11 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 125 | 323 | 229 | 552 | 104 | 158 | 26 | 18 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 244 | 111 | 355 | 14 | 219 | 47 | 11 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 349 | 194 | 543 | 30 | 314 | 38 | 17 | 277 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 125 | 323 | 229 | 552 | 104 | 161 | 26 | 18 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 186 | 435 | 302 | 738 | 116 | 241 | 21 | 26 | 363 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 244 | 110 | 354 | 14 | 208 | 47 | 11 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 125 | 323 | 229 | 552 | 104 | 158 | 26 | 18 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 87 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 244 | 110 | 354 | 14 | 208 | 47 | 11 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 62 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 125 | 323 | 229 | 552 | 104 | 158 | 26 | 18 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | BOS | 0% | 172 | 151 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 284 | 263 | 547 | 70 | 288 | 31 | 9 | 256 | 59 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | BOS | 34% | 95 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 289 | 278 | 567 | 80 | 290 | 31 | 9 | 264 | 65 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | BOS | 50% | 188 | 164 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 293 | 291 | 584 | 89 | 291 | 30 | 10 | 270 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | BOS | 58% | 298 | 262 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 89 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 296 | 303 | 599 | 96 | 292 | 30 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | BOS | 61% | 388 | 342 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 114 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 299 | 313 | 612 | 103 | 293 | 29 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | BOS | 63% | 445 | 393 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 129 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 213 | 301 | 322 | 623 | 108 | 294 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | BOS | 65% | 477 | 421 | 90 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 139 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 214 | 302 | 325 | 626 | 110 | 294 | 29 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | BOS | 65% | 496 | 438 | 93 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 144 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 214 | 302 | 326 | 628 | 112 | 294 | 29 | 9 | 287 | 80 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | BOS | 65% | 502 | 441 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 147 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 213 | 301 | 324 | 625 | 111 | 294 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | BOS | 65% | 500 | 440 | 94 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 147 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 299 | 319 | 619 | 108 | 293 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | BOS | 65% | 492 | 435 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 146 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 209 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 104 | 291 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -15 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | BOS | 34% | 32 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 293 | 284 | 577 | 81 | 298 | 31 | 9 | 268 | 65 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | BOS | 50% | 94 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 297 | 297 | 595 | 90 | 299 | 31 | 10 | 274 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | BOS | 58% | 172 | 151 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 301 | 309 | 610 | 97 | 300 | 30 | 9 | 280 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | BOS | 61% | 239 | 211 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 70 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 304 | 319 | 623 | 104 | 301 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | BOS | 63% | 281 | 248 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 82 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 219 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 110 | 302 | 29 | 9 | 289 | 79 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | BOS | 65% | 310 | 272 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 90 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 306 | 331 | 637 | 112 | 303 | 29 | 9 | 290 | 80 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | BOS | 65% | 322 | 283 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 94 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 307 | 333 | 639 | 113 | 302 | 29 | 9 | 291 | 80 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | BOS | 65% | 326 | 287 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 306 | 330 | 636 | 112 | 302 | 29 | 9 | 290 | 79 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | BOS | 65% | 325 | 286 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 96 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 109 | 301 | 30 | 9 | 287 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | BOS | 65% | 320 | 282 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 95 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 301 | 319 | 621 | 105 | 300 | 30 | 9 | 284 | 75 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2421 | 2131 | 462 | 79 | 16 | 40 | 225 | 712 | 44 | 27 | 11 | 217 | 305 | 325 | 630 | 108 | 303 | 29 | 9 | 287 | 75 | -66 | +1 | -1 | +26 | +52 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 60 | 191 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 217 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 108 | 303 | 29 | 9 | 287 | 75 | -18 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4068 | 3573 | 740 | 112 | 30 | 65 | 387 | 1210 | 79 | 49 | 18 | 207 | 299 | 310 | 608 | 103 | 291 | 30 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -108 | +3 | -2 | +42 | +85 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 118 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 193 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 207 | 299 | 308 | 607 | 102 | 291 | 30 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -18 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 62 PAwOBA .356 → .245 (−111)K% 21.0% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.97% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 17.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.84% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.995 | 13.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.56% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .356 → .245; ISO .116 → .066; BABIP .241 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 87 PAwOBA .275 → .179 (−96)K% 37.9% → 47.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.93% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.60% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 17.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.880 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .275 → .179; ISO .030 → .018; BABIP .314 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).