Junior Suriel — OGILVIE

Junior SurielOF DSL Angels

Age 17 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .306 / .381

PA65

HR1

K%23

BB%6

BABIP316

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$23M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	133	124	29	7	1	1	5	18	3	7	0	234	280	331	611	97	267	14	4	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	133	121	35	8	2	1	8	13	3	7	0	289	348	413	762	124	318	10	6	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	LAA	—	98	86	18	4	1	0	8	22	1	12	4	209	284	279	563	70	273	22	8	253	52	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
YTD	17	ROK	LAA	—	98	81	22	5	2	0	13	15	1	12	4	272	379	383	762	111	324	15	13	337	116	+2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.5
ROS	17	ROK	LAA	0%	65	60	15	3	1	1	4	15	1	2	1	249	306	381	687	133	288	23	6	275	69	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	17	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	267	62	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	LAA	—	98	87	18	4	1	0	8	22	1	12	4	207	284	276	560	69	269	22	8	253	52	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
TOT	17	ROK	LAA	—	163	146	33	7	2	1	12	37	2	14	5	226	293	321	614	96	290	23	7	262	59	-8	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	LAA	34%	204	186	43	8	2	3	14	47	2	4	1	231	292	344	636	113	289	23	7	283	75	-6	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	19	MLB	LAA	48%	344	312	73	14	3	6	25	78	4	6	1	234	299	356	655	122	291	23	7	292	82	-7	+1	-1	-2	+10	-0.0
2029	20	MLB	LAA	54%	452	410	97	18	4	9	33	102	6	7	2	237	303	366	669	129	293	23	7	299	87	-7	+1	-2	-3	+13	0.2
2030	21	MLB	LAA	57%	534	482	116	22	5	11	40	119	7	8	2	241	308	376	684	135	294	22	7	304	91	-6	+1	-2	-3	+15	0.5
2031	22	MLB	LAA	58%	585	528	128	24	5	13	44	130	8	8	2	242	310	381	691	138	295	22	8	307	93	-4	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.7
2032	23	MLB	LAA	58%	607	549	134	25	6	14	45	134	8	8	2	244	311	388	699	144	296	22	7	310	96	-3	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.9
2033	24	MLB	LAA	57%	621	560	138	25	6	15	47	137	9	8	2	246	315	393	708	146	297	22	8	313	97	-2	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.0
2034	25	MLB	LAA	57%	631	569	140	26	6	15	48	139	9	8	2	246	315	392	707	146	297	22	8	314	98	-1	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.1
2035	26	MLB	LAA	57%	637	575	142	26	6	16	48	140	9	9	2	247	315	397	711	150	297	22	8	315	99	-1	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.2
2036	27	MLB	LAA	56%	636	573	142	26	6	16	49	140	9	8	2	248	317	398	715	150	297	22	8	315	99	-1	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.2
2037	28	MLB	LAA	55%	630	567	138	25	6	15	49	140	9	8	2	243	314	388	702	145	296	22	8	314	98	-1	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.1
2038	29	MLB	LAA	53%	620	558	137	25	6	15	48	139	9	8	2	246	315	392	708	147	295	22	8	312	97	-2	+1	-4	-4	+18	0.9
2039	30	MLB	LAA	53%	609	548	132	24	5	14	48	138	8	7	2	241	311	380	691	139	294	23	8	309	95	-4	+1	-5	-4	+17	0.6
2040	31	MLB	LAA	52%	595	535	127	23	5	13	47	137	8	7	2	237	308	372	680	135	292	23	8	305	92	-6	+1	-5	-4	+17	0.3
2041	32	MLB	LAA	52%	576	518	121	22	5	12	45	134	8	7	2	234	305	365	670	131	289	23	8	300	87	-8	+1	-6	-3	+16	-0.1
2027	18	MLB	LAA	34%	70	64	15	3	1	1	5	16	1	1	0	234	300	359	659	125	288	23	7	274	68	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	19	MLB	LAA	48%	167	151	36	7	2	3	12	38	2	3	1	238	303	371	674	132	290	23	7	282	74	-5	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB	LAA	54%	245	222	53	10	2	5	18	55	3	4	1	239	305	369	674	131	292	22	7	288	79	-6	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.1
2030	21	MLB	LAA	57%	302	273	65	12	3	6	22	68	4	4	1	238	304	370	674	132	293	23	7	293	82	-6	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
2031	22	MLB	LAA	58%	337	304	74	14	3	7	25	75	5	5	1	243	311	378	690	135	294	22	7	296	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.1
2032	23	MLB	LAA	58%	352	318	77	14	3	8	26	78	5	5	1	242	309	381	690	138	295	22	7	299	87	-5	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.2
2033	24	MLB	LAA	57%	355	320	77	14	3	8	27	78	5	5	1	241	310	378	688	137	296	22	8	301	88	-5	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.2
2034	25	MLB	LAA	57%	358	323	78	14	3	8	27	79	5	5	1	241	310	378	688	136	296	22	8	302	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.3
2035	26	MLB	LAA	57%	361	326	80	15	3	9	27	79	5	5	1	245	313	393	705	147	296	22	7	303	90	-4	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.3
2036	27	MLB	LAA	56%	353	318	77	14	3	8	27	78	5	5	1	242	311	381	692	138	295	22	8	303	90	-4	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.3
2037	28	MLB	LAA	55%	346	311	76	14	3	8	27	77	5	4	1	244	315	386	701	141	295	22	8	302	89	-4	+0	-2	-2	+10	0.2
2038	29	MLB	LAA	53%	332	298	73	13	3	8	26	74	5	4	1	245	316	389	705	144	294	22	8	300	88	-5	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.1
2039	30	MLB	LAA	53%	321	289	70	13	3	7	25	73	4	4	1	242	311	381	692	138	293	23	8	298	86	-5	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.0
2040	31	MLB	LAA	52%	310	279	67	12	3	7	24	71	4	4	1	240	309	380	689	140	291	23	8	294	83	-6	+0	-3	-2	+9	-0.1
2041	32	MLB	LAA	52%	299	270	62	11	2	6	23	70	4	3	1	230	300	352	652	122	288	23	8	288	79	-7	+0	-3	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4508	4067	980	180	40	99	341	1009	62	61	14	241	309	378	687	137	295	22	8	297	85	-74	+7	-25	-27	+128	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	141	26	6	14	49	145	9	9	2	241	309	377	686	137	295	22	8	297	85	-11	+1	-4	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	8479	7654	1852	343	78	189	639	1887	117	120	29	242	310	381	691	139	296	22	8	307	93	-65	+12	-46	-51	+240	9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	141	26	6	14	49	145	9	9	2	240	309	376	685	136	295	22	8	307	93	-5	+1	-4	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	133	121	35	8	2	1	8	13	3	7	0	289	348	413	762	124	318	10	6	339	118	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Marwin Gonzalezlast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,882 PA	11	3,882	107	44	252	310	399	-10	+17	10.9	10.9
	/162	664	18	8	252	310	399	-1.6	+2.8	1.9	pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,619	102	62	242	307	382	-28	+0	7.3	6.2
	/162	664	15	9	242	307	382	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Suriel (OGILVIE)	17	20→55	25→50	40	47	226/293/321	96	290	1	14	23%	7%	59	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	55	-1.4	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	66	-0.6	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
●Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	199/275/269	70	250	4	6	21%	6%	53	-1.5	210/273/284	74	251	4	6	17%	5%	55	-1.4	261/328/377	117	313	12	14	20%	5%	99	+1.0
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	66	-0.6	232/281/307	75	309	4	22	25%	6%	63	-0.9	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→49	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	50	-1.8	204/254/325	121	276	14	3	30%	5%	57	-1.2	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Edinson Rincon 2008 · A	17	43→53	37→50	46→30	43	207/267/280	73	286	5	5	28%	7%	50	-1.7	211/273/295	84	293	7	4	28%	7%	57	-1.2	250/287/365	114	314	11	1	23%	4%	77	+0.1
●Johnathan Rodríguez 2018 · A	18	45→51	36→55	46→45	48	207/282/279	71	296	2	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	212/270/289	77	310	3	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	244/310/416	172	346	23	4	34%	8%	101	+1.6
✕Adrián Sanchez 2008 · A	17	44→45	37→45	45→50	42	211/269/291	81	272	4	7	23%	5%	55	-1.4	218/257/296	78	269	5	12	20%	4%	50	-1.8	255/291/358	104	310	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0
●Esteury Ruiz 2017 · A	18	46→56	43→50	47→70	43	225/273/343	119	277	9	12	22%	5%	69	-0.4	209/256/323	114	313	8	25	34%	5%	56	-1.3	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→47	39→60	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	60	-1.0	217/253/369	152	263	19	3	26%	4%	69	-0.4	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Austin Dean 2013 · A	19	40→50	39→55	44→45	45	192/263/277	85	266	5	5	28%	8%	49	-1.8	227/283/320	93	296	7	6	24%	6%	68	-0.5	250/302/412	163	300	18	6	23%	6%	97	+1.2
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
●Rainel Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→51	38→50	46→50	39	197/263/274	76	307	5	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	180/248/266	86	309	6	8	40%	7%	40	-2.4	245/301/390	145	278	18	6	19%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Armando Sierra 2022 · A	18	45	36→45	41→40	41	208/268/276	68	308	3	4	32%	7%	50	-1.8	219/278/319	100	291	9	4	26%	7%	66	-0.6	215/273/324	110	276	12	2	26%	7%	62	-0.2
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→55	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	47	-1.9	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	57	-1.2	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7