Junior Suriel — OGILVIE

Junior SurielOF DSL Angels

Age 17 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.9 · 2035

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .282 / .342

PA111

HR2

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗55

PWR

25↗50

SPD

40→40

FLD

30↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.2peak

2035

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.1	$30M	+$29M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.7	$37M	+$37M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$41M	+$33M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.9	$42M	+$28M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.7	$41M	+$22M
Totals		$43M		$225M	+$182M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	133	124	29	7	1	1	5	18	3	7	0	.234	.280	.331	.611	.097	.267	14	4	.262	59	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	17	MLB	LAA	111	101	22	4	1	2	8	32	1	2	0	.218	.282	.337	.618	.119	.293	29	7	.282	74	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	18	MLB 9%	LAA	204	185	41	7	1	5	15	57	2	3	1	.222	.287	.351	.638	.130	.293	28	7	.289	79	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	19	MLB 27%	LAA	344	309	73	12	2	9	28	93	4	6	1	.236	.308	.375	.683	.139	.309	27	8	.311	96	-1	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.6
2029	20	MLB 47%	LAA	452	404	100	16	3	13	39	118	6	8	2	.248	.323	.399	.721	.151	.317	26	9	.325	107	+3	+1	-2	-3	+13	1.3
2030	21	MLB 65%	LAA	534	473	122	20	4	17	48	135	8	9	2	.258	.336	.425	.761	.167	.318	25	9	.334	114	+8	+1	-2	-3	+15	1.9
2031	22	MLB 85%	LAA	592	522	136	22	4	20	56	145	9	10	2	.261	.342	.433	.775	.172	.319	24	9	.342	120	+13	+1	-3	-4	+17	2.6
2032	23	MLB	LAA	633	557	146	23	4	22	62	151	9	10	2	.262	.346	.436	.782	.174	.320	24	10	.348	125	+18	+1	-3	-4	+18	3.1
2033	24	MLB	LAA	660	579	154	24	5	24	66	155	10	10	2	.266	.351	.449	.800	.183	.321	23	10	.353	128	+21	+1	-3	-4	+19	3.5
2034	25	MLB	LAA	675	591	158	25	5	25	69	158	10	9	2	.267	.354	.453	.807	.186	.322	23	10	.356	131	+23	+1	-3	-4	+19	3.7
2035	26	MLB	LAA	681	595	159	25	5	25	71	159	10	9	2	.267	.355	.452	.807	.185	.322	23	10	.358	132	+25	+1	-3	-4	+19	3.9
2036	27	MLB	LAA	680	593	159	25	5	25	72	159	10	9	1	.268	.357	.454	.811	.185	.322	23	11	.358	132	+25	+1	-3	-4	+19	3.9
2037	28	MLB	LAA	675	588	157	25	4	25	72	160	10	8	1	.267	.357	.451	.807	.184	.322	24	11	.357	131	+24	+1	-4	-4	+19	3.7
2038	29	MLB	LAA	665	579	153	24	4	24	71	159	10	8	0	.264	.355	.444	.798	.180	.322	24	11	.355	130	+22	+2	-4	-4	+19	3.5
2039	30	MLB	LAA	654	570	149	23	4	23	70	159	9	7	0	.261	.351	.437	.788	.175	.321	24	11	.352	127	+20	+1	-5	-4	+19	3.2
2040	31	MLB	LAA	640	558	144	22	4	22	68	158	9	6	0	.258	.348	.430	.778	.172	.320	25	11	.348	125	+18	+1	-6	-4	+18	2.8
2041	32	MLB	LAA	621	541	138	21	4	21	66	157	9	6	0	.255	.346	.425	.771	.170	.319	25	11	.344	121	+15	+1	-6	-4	+18	2.4
2042	33	MLB	LAA	591	515	130	20	4	19	63	153	8	5	0	.252	.343	.417	.760	.165	.318	26	11	.338	117	+11	+1	-7	-4	+17	1.9
2043	34	MLB	LAA	543	474	117	17	3	17	57	145	7	5	0	.247	.336	.403	.739	.156	.317	27	10	.332	112	+7	+1	-7	-3	+15	1.4
2044	35	MLB	LAA	486	426	102	15	3	14	51	135	6	5	0	.239	.329	.387	.717	.148	.315	28	10	.324	106	+3	+1	-8	-3	+14	0.8
2045	36	MLB	LAA	424	372	88	13	2	12	44	122	5	5	0	.237	.325	.379	.704	.142	.313	29	10	.315	99	-0	+1	-8	-3	+12	0.2
2046	37	MLB	LAA	358	314	71	10	2	9	36	107	5	4	0	.226	.315	.357	.672	.131	.310	30	10	.305	92	-3	+1	-9	-2	+10	-0.3
2047	38	MLB	LAA	287	252	57	8	2	7	29	88	4	3	0	.226	.316	.357	.673	.131	.306	31	10	.295	84	-5	+1	-9	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11643	10222	2605	408	76	381	1166	2923	164	154	18	.255	.341	.421	.762	.167	.319	25	10	.339	118	+233	+24	-96	-70	+330	42.9
/ 162G	—			650	571	145	23	4	21	65	163	9	9	1	.254	.340	.419	.758	.165	.318	25	10	.339	118	+13	+1	-5	-4	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	133	121	35	8	2	1	8	13	3	7	0	.289	.348	.413	.762	.124	.318	10	6	.339	118	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Suriel (OGILVIE)	17	20→55	25→50	40	—	.218/.282/.342	.124	.293	2	2	29%	7%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Avisaíl García 2009 · A	18	45→55	42→60	45→50	40	.223/.259/.327	.105	.273	10	7	23%	4%	59	-1.1	.224/.252/.296	.072	.311	5	9	29%	3%	46	-2.0	.286/.337/.472	.186	.345	23	7	23%	6%	125	+2.9
●Miguel Sanó 2011 · A	18	44→52	43→70	45	37	.212/.262/.323	.112	.317	11	6	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.211/.275/.398	.187	.296	23	6	35%	7%	85	+0.7	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
★Domingo Santana 2011 · A	18	42→52	43→60	43→50	36	.186/.264/.296	.110	.349	11	8	46%	8%	55	-1.4	.215/.275/.360	.145	.342	16	6	39%	6%	76	+0.1	.258/.347/.453	.195	.356	25	9	32%	11%	126	+2.9
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	43→50	40→60	42→30	38	.207/.253/.302	.095	.293	8	4	31%	5%	50	-1.7	.206/.255/.327	.121	.274	14	3	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
●Renato Núñez 2012 · A	18	41→51	41→60	43→30	35	.205/.239/.302	.097	.278	9	4	30%	3%	44	-2.1	.212/.255/.338	.126	.283	13	4	29%	4%	61	-1.0	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
★Justin Upton 2007 · A	19	44→54	44→65	46→55	45	.218/.276/.333	.115	.274	11	10	25%	7%	69	-0.4	.249/.319/.424	.175	.316	18	12	26%	9%	110	+2.4	.279/.359/.480	.201	.337	22	19	23%	10%	134	+4.2
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2017 · A	18	46→56	42→50	47→70	43	.224/.273/.341	.117	.278	8	11	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.213/.260/.330	.117	.311	9	24	33%	5%	60	-1.0	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
●José A. Martínez 2007 · A	19	46→56	41→55	46→50	47	.220/.288/.317	.096	.280	9	7	24%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.275/.321	.097	.293	9	10	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.296/.363/.466	.170	.344	21	4	19%	9%	137	+3.1
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
●Wilmer Flores 2009 · A	17	46→56	44→60	49→40	42	.227/.263/.346	.120	.255	12	5	17%	4%	66	-0.6	.223/.253/.310	.087	.263	7	3	18%	3%	52	-1.6	.253/.334/.440	.187	.264	24	0	15%	9%	117	+2.4
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	42→55	45→55	40	.204/.257/.316	.112	.275	9	8	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.208/.265/.334	.126	.278	13	13	29%	6%	65	-0.7	.206/.270/.350	.143	.270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Nahum Hernandez 2009 · A	19	42	39→45	42→50	44	.204/.265/.287	.083	.263	6	5	24%	6%	52	-1.6	.222/.290/.319	.097	.299	8	8	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.241/.316/.348	.107	.325	9	10	26%	7%	84	+0.2
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A	18	46→56	41→55	47→50	41	.220/.274/.320	.100	.304	7	7	29%	6%	64	-0.8	.259/.317/.406	.147	.307	14	9	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	44→50	46	.203/.288/.316	.113	.290	11	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.198/.307/.305	.107	.277	10	9	29%	11%	77	+0.1	.175/.316/.285	.110	.237	10	11	27%	13%	76	+0.0
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	.231/.298/.310	.079	.319	4	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.233/.297/.322	.089	.310	7	4	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕José Osuna 2011 · A	18	40→50	47→55	41→45	42	.206/.257/.343	.137	.242	15	5	22%	5%	63	-0.8	.218/.261/.343	.125	.255	13	6	20%	5%	65	-0.7	.250/.298/.418	.168	.286	17	4	19%	6%	98	+1.0
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Miguel Andujar 2014 · A	19	43→53	39→60	44→45	39	.209/.248/.296	.087	.270	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	.220/.256/.326	.106	.270	10	5	22%	4%	57	-1.2	.286/.320/.470	.184	.314	21	3	16%	4%	120	+2.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)