Junior Suriel — OGILVIE

Junior SurielOF DSL Angels

Age 17 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION177 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .294 / .312

PA17

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP289

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	133	121	35	8	2	1	8	13	3	7	0	289	348	413	762	124	318	10	6	339	116	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	133	124	28	6	1	1	5	19	3	7	0	226	273	315	587	89	261	14	4	258	61	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	133	124	28	6	1	1	5	19	3	7	0	226	273	315	587	89	260	14	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	133	121	35	8	2	1	8	13	3	7	0	289	348	413	762	124	318	10	6	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	133	124	28	6	1	1	5	19	3	7	0	226	273	315	587	89	261	14	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	133	124	28	6	1	1	5	19	3	7	0	226	273	315	587	89	261	14	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	17	ROK MLE	LAA	—	177	150	35	5	2	1	19	35	3	31	8	233	331	313	645	80	291	20	11	280	76	-5	+3	+0	-1	+4	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	17	ROK RAW	LAA	—	177	139	41	7	2	1	30	24	3	31	8	295	430	396	826	101	342	14	17	370	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	17	ROK MLE	LAA	0%	17	16	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	250	294	312	607	62	290	24	6	288	81	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	17	ROK MLE	LAA	—	194	166	39	6	2	1	20	39	3	32	8	235	328	313	641	78	295	20	10	281	76	-6	+3	-0	-1	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	18	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	239	214	51	9	2	4	20	52	3	7	1	238	312	355	667	117	290	22	8	293	84	-4	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	19	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	371	332	80	14	3	7	31	81	5	8	2	241	315	364	680	123	292	22	8	302	91	-4	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	472	422	103	18	4	10	40	101	7	9	2	244	320	377	697	133	294	21	8	309	96	-3	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	548	488	120	21	4	12	47	117	8	9	2	246	322	379	701	133	295	21	9	314	99	-1	+1	-2	-3	+12	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	LAA	58%	594	529	131	22	5	14	51	125	9	9	2	248	324	388	712	140	296	21	9	318	101	+1	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	LAA	58%	613	546	136	23	5	15	53	129	9	9	2	249	326	392	718	143	297	21	9	321	103	+2	+1	-3	-4	+13	1.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	625	557	140	24	5	16	54	131	9	9	2	251	327	399	726	147	298	21	9	323	105	+4	+1	-3	-4	+14	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	633	564	142	24	5	17	55	132	9	9	2	252	328	402	731	151	298	21	9	325	106	+4	+1	-3	-4	+14	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	638	567	143	24	5	17	56	133	10	9	2	252	330	402	732	150	298	21	9	326	106	+5	+1	-3	-4	+14	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	637	566	142	24	5	17	56	133	10	9	2	251	329	401	730	150	298	21	9	326	106	+5	+1	-3	-4	+14	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	631	561	141	24	5	17	56	133	9	8	2	251	329	403	732	152	297	21	9	325	106	+4	+1	-3	-4	+14	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	620	550	136	23	4	16	56	132	9	8	2	247	327	391	718	144	296	21	9	323	105	+3	+1	-4	-4	+13	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	609	540	132	22	4	15	55	131	9	7	2	244	325	383	708	139	295	22	9	320	103	+2	+1	-5	-4	+13	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	595	527	129	21	4	15	54	130	9	7	2	245	325	385	711	140	293	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	-5	-4	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	576	511	122	20	4	13	52	128	8	6	1	239	319	370	689	131	290	22	9	310	96	-3	+1	-6	-3	+12	0.1
2042	33	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	547	485	114	18	4	12	49	124	8	6	1	235	315	363	678	128	286	23	9	303	91	-6	+1	-7	-3	+12	-0.3
2027	18	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	80	72	17	3	1	1	7	18	1	2	0	236	312	347	660	111	289	22	9	285	84	-1	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	179	160	37	6	1	3	15	39	2	4	1	231	305	338	643	106	292	22	8	293	91	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	255	227	54	9	2	5	22	55	4	5	1	238	316	361	677	123	293	22	9	299	96	-1	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	310	275	67	11	2	7	27	66	5	5	1	244	322	375	697	131	294	21	9	304	99	-0	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	LAA	58%	342	305	76	13	3	8	29	72	5	5	1	249	324	390	715	141	295	21	8	308	101	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	LAA	58%	355	316	79	13	3	9	31	75	5	5	1	250	327	396	722	146	296	21	9	310	103	+1	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	357	318	79	13	3	9	31	75	5	5	1	248	325	393	718	145	297	21	9	313	105	+2	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	360	321	81	13	3	10	31	75	5	5	1	252	328	405	733	153	297	21	9	314	106	+3	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	361	321	81	13	3	10	32	75	5	5	1	252	330	405	735	153	297	21	9	315	106	+3	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	354	315	80	13	3	10	31	74	5	5	1	254	330	410	740	156	297	21	9	315	106	+3	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	347	308	77	13	3	9	31	73	5	5	1	250	328	399	728	149	297	21	9	314	106	+2	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	332	294	73	12	2	9	30	71	5	4	1	248	328	395	723	146	296	21	9	312	105	+2	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	321	284	69	11	2	8	29	69	5	4	1	243	324	380	704	137	295	21	9	309	103	+1	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	310	274	67	11	2	8	28	68	5	4	1	245	326	387	713	142	292	22	9	305	100	-0	+0	-3	-2	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	299	266	63	10	2	7	27	66	4	3	1	237	316	368	685	132	289	22	9	300	96	-1	+0	-3	-2	+6	0.0
2042	33	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	283	252	58	9	2	6	25	64	4	3	1	230	310	353	663	123	285	23	9	293	91	-3	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4845	4308	1058	173	37	119	426	1035	70	69	15	246	323	386	709	140	295	21	9	308	100	+8	+8	-28	-29	+105	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	142	23	5	16	57	139	9	9	2	246	322	386	708	140	296	21	9	308	100	+1	+1	-4	-4	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	9098	8099	1994	338	69	218	791	1935	134	137	29	246	323	386	709	140	296	21	9	317	100	+11	+14	-53	-54	+194	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	143	24	5	16	57	138	10	10	2	247	326	389	714	142	297	21	9	317	100	+1	+1	-4	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	7.3	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
/162	664	20	8	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#2Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	6.5	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
/162	664	21	9	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Marwin Gonzalezlast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	107	44	252	310	399	-10	+17	10.9	10.9
/162	664	18	8	-1.6	+2.8	1.9	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,974	120	71	247	321	387	-30	+0	12.0	9.8
/162	664	16	9	-4.0	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 8
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#6Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Suriel (OGILVIE)	17	20→55	25→50	40	53	229/303/327	98	290	2	9	22%	8%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Esteury Ruiz 2017 · A	18	46→56	43→50	47→70	43	225/273/343	119	277	9	12	22%	5%	73	-0.6	209/255/323	114	312	8	25	34%	5%	61	-1.5	264/338/395	131	327	12	74	22%	6%	107	+1.2
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	46	218/280/321	104	273	10	10	24%	7%	71	-0.8	234/280/388	154	309	17	19	29%	6%	86	+0.3	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→50	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	55	-1.9	207/257/327	120	279	13	3	30%	6%	63	-1.3	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	199/275/269	70	250	4	6	21%	6%	58	-1.7	213/275/288	75	253	4	6	17%	5%	61	-1.5	277/345/394	117	329	11	14	18%	5%	109	+1.2
●José Pirela 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→55	50	48	212/278/294	82	257	7	12	20%	7%	63	-1.3	223/273/296	73	280	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	263/313/432	169	309	18	8	21%	6%	106	+1.4
✕Bryan De La Cruz 2015 · A	18	44→54	35→55	46→45	44	203/281/262	58	308	3	7	32%	8%	58	-1.7	198/259/269	71	296	5	5	32%	7%	51	-2.3	268/313/430	162	329	20	4	24%	6%	106	+1.5
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	60	-1.6	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	70	-0.9	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→55	48→55	41	210/265/306	95	269	5	9	23%	5%	61	-1.5	224/274/315	91	287	6	9	23%	5%	66	-1.1	275/329/432	158	317	18	21	19%	5%	112	+1.8
●Elvis Andrus 2007 · A	18	48→58	38→50	47→60	42	229/273/309	81	301	5	14	25%	6%	65	-1.2	242/294/320	78	312	5	29	22%	6%	75	-0.5	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	47	201/290/315	114	282	12	6	31%	9%	74	-0.5	200/313/311	111	277	10	9	29%	11%	83	+0.1	178/321/293	116	239	11	11	27%	14%	82	+0.0
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	42→50	38→50	50	42	202/259/282	79	273	5	16	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/327	101	292	8	16	24%	6%	72	-0.7	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→50	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	53	-2.1	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	62	-1.4	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→51	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	203/252/278	75	241	4	11	17%	4%	50	-2.3	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
●Willy Adames 2014 · A	18	44→53	37→60	43→50	55	202/304/287	85	274	3	9	25%	12%	73	-0.6	220/288/329	109	333	6	7	33%	8%	75	-0.5	238/319/443	205	285	27	12	26%	10%	111	+2.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Austin Dean 2013 · A	19	40→50	39→55	44→45	45	192/263/277	85	266	5	5	28%	8%	55	-2.0	225/280/318	93	292	7	6	24%	6%	70	-0.9	259/305/415	156	305	16	4	21%	5%	98	+0.8
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	37→45	48→60	37	200/274/282	82	301	4	8	32%	5%	61	-1.5	219/296/323	104	314	8	15	31%	6%	78	-0.3	223/301/336	113	317	11	20	31%	6%	80	-0.1
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→53	37→60	46→50	46	215/278/291	75	295	4	10	27%	8%	63	-1.4	230/285/326	96	323	7	13	29%	7%	73	-0.6	258/344/398	139	293	17	6	17%	11%	111	+2.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps