Omar Guadamuz

SS DSL Reds

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1780ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCIN	109	.221/.370/.337	1	10	32	—	.141/.269/.196
2026	18	ROKCIN	79	.143/.392/.143	0	2	25	—	.098/.304/.098
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCIN	189	.193/.280/.264	1	4	58	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	34	.199/.286/.283	0	1	63	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBCIN	97	.204/.291/.298	1	2	68	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%90

Chase%88

Z-Con%57

Speed38

wOBA27

wRC+21

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .277 / .261

PA45

HR0

K%32

BB%9

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	109	86	19	5	1	1	16	35	5	10	2	221	370	337	708	116	353	32	15	329	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	79	56	8	0	0	0	18	25	5	2	0	143	392	143	535		258	32	23	297	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	109	92	13	3	1	0	11	43	5	10	2	141	269	196	464	54	234	39	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	79	61	6	0	0	0	13	30	5	2	0	98	304	98	402		175	38	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	109	92	13	3	1	0	11	43	5	10	2	141	269	196	464	54	260	39	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	109	86	19	5	1	1	16	35	5	10	2	221	370	337	708	116	353	32	15	329	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	79	61	6	0	0	0	13	30	5	2	0	98	304	98	402		194	38	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	79	56	8	0	0	0	18	25	5	2	0	143	392	143	535		258	32	23	297	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	109	92	13	3	1	0	11	43	5	10	2	141	269	196	464	54	234	39	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	79	61	6	0	0	0	13	30	5	2	0	98	304	98	402		175	38	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	109	92	13	3	1	0	11	43	5	10	2	141	269	196	464	54	234	39	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	79	61	6	0	0	0	13	30	5	2	0	98	304	98	402		175	38	16	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	189	166	31	5	1	1	17	60	4	4	1	193	280	264	544	71	288	32	9	253	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	102	90	18	3	1	1	9	32	2	2	0	198	285	280	565	82	290	31	9	262	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	195	172	34	6	1	2	17	60	4	4	1	203	290	294	584	91	291	31	9	269	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	306	270	55	9	2	4	27	92	6	6	2	207	294	306	600	99	292	30	9	275	72	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	61%	392	346	73	12	3	6	35	116	8	8	2	211	296	317	613	106	293	30	9	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	63%	448	396	85	14	3	8	40	131	9	9	2	214	299	326	625	112	294	29	9	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	480	426	91	15	3	9	42	140	9	10	2	215	300	329	629	114	294	29	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	498	442	95	16	3	10	44	145	9	10	2	215	300	331	631	116	294	29	9	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	502	443	94	16	3	9	45	147	9	9	2	214	299	329	628	115	293	29	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	501	443	94	16	3	9	44	148	9	8	2	212	297	324	621	112	293	30	9	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	492	437	92	15	3	9	43	147	9	6	2	210	294	318	613	108	291	30	9	280	75	-14	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	34	30	5	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	199	286	283	570	84	291	32	9	264	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	97	86	18	3	1	1	9	30	2	2	0	204	291	298	589	94	292	31	9	271	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	177	155	32	5	1	3	16	53	4	4	1	209	295	311	606	103	293	30	9	278	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	61%	241	213	45	7	2	4	21	71	5	5	1	212	298	322	620	110	294	29	9	283	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	63%	283	251	54	9	2	5	25	83	5	6	1	216	301	332	633	116	295	29	9	288	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	312	275	60	10	2	6	28	91	6	6	2	217	301	335	637	119	295	29	9	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	324	286	62	10	2	7	29	95	6	6	2	217	302	338	640	121	295	29	9	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	326	288	62	10	2	7	29	96	6	6	2	216	301	335	636	119	295	29	9	289	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	326	288	61	10	2	6	29	96	6	5	1	214	299	331	629	116	294	29	9	286	78	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	320	283	60	10	2	6	28	95	6	4	1	212	296	324	620	113	292	30	9	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2440	2155	459	75	16	45	217	721	47	45	11	213	299	325	624	112	295	30	9	285	75	-66	+5	-1	+26	+53	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	122	20	4	12	58	192	13	12	3	213	299	324	623	111	295	30	9	285	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4149	3658	757	126	26	67	374	1245	85	85	19	207	295	311	606	104	292	30	9	278	75	-110	+8	-2	+42	+86	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	118	20	4	10	59	195	13	13	3	206	295	307	602	101	291	30	9	278	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 79 PAwOBA .292 → .205 (−88)K% 31.6% → 38.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.65%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	38.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.78%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	15.87%
HBP% /PA	6.33%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	4.41%
Singles /BIP	25.81%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.995	17.46%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .205; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .258 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Reds · 109 PAwOBA .324 → .216 (−108)K% 32.1% → 39.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.11%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	39.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.68%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.98%
HBP% /PA	4.59%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.24%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.994	×0.680	×1.024	×1.008	16.61%
Doubles /BIP	9.80%	÷1.065	×0.600	×1.024	×1.008	5.70%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.024	×1.008	1.35%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷0.994	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.93%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .324 → .216; ISO .116 → .067; BABIP .353 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,484	43	45	213	295	322	+27	+21	3.3	3.2
	/162	664	12	12	213	295	322	+7.1	+5.6	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	/162	664	3	3	229*	288*	313*	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Omar Guadamuz

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps