Isais Chavez — OGILVIE

Isais ChavezC DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 193 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+54

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .262 / .293

PA127

HR2

K%31

BB%7

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$13M		$28M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	133	19	4	0	4	11	61	7	9	1	143	245	263	508	120	214	40	7	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	125	29	6	0	6	19	38	7	9	1	232	364	424	788	192	277	25	12	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	127	115	22	4	1	2	9	39	2	2	0	191	262	296	558	104	269	31	7	255	54	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	216	194	39	7	1	4	16	64	4	4	1	201	276	309	585	108	274	30	7	266	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	350	314	65	12	2	7	26	102	7	7	1	207	282	325	607	118	277	29	7	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	450	404	84	15	2	10	34	129	9	10	2	208	284	329	613	121	278	29	8	279	72	-14	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	520	465	99	18	3	12	40	147	10	11	2	213	289	342	631	129	280	28	8	283	74	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	147	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	280	28	8	284	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2032	24	MLB	—	61%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	147	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	281	28	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2033	25	MLB	—	63%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	146	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	281	28	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	26	MLB	—	64%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	146	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	281	28	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2035	27	MLB	—	65%	520	464	100	18	3	12	41	147	10	11	2	216	293	345	638	129	281	28	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2036	28	MLB	—	65%	520	464	99	18	3	12	41	147	10	11	2	213	291	343	634	129	280	28	8	285	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2037	29	MLB	—	65%	520	464	99	18	3	12	41	148	10	11	2	213	291	343	634	129	279	28	8	283	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2038	30	MLB	—	65%	520	464	96	17	2	11	41	150	10	10	2	207	285	323	609	116	278	29	8	280	73	-16	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.7
2039	31	MLB	—	65%	504	449	92	16	2	11	40	147	10	10	2	205	285	323	608	118	275	29	8	276	69	-17	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.4
2040	32	MLB	—	65%	489	438	88	15	2	10	39	144	9	9	2	201	280	313	593	112	272	29	8	271	65	-19	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.1
2041	33	MLB	—	65%	473	424	83	14	2	9	37	142	9	9	2	196	274	302	576	106	268	30	8	264	60	-21	+1	-4	+8	+13	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	74	68	12	2	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	176	243	250	493	74	274	30	7	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	170	152	32	6	1	4	13	49	3	4	1	211	286	342	628	132	277	29	8	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	244	219	45	8	1	5	18	70	5	5	1	205	281	320	601	114	278	29	7	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	294	264	57	10	2	7	22	83	6	6	1	216	291	348	640	133	280	28	7	283	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	299	268	57	10	2	7	23	84	6	7	1	213	290	343	633	131	280	28	8	284	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB	—	61%	317	284	61	11	2	7	24	89	6	7	1	215	290	342	631	127	281	28	8	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2033	25	MLB	—	63%	326	292	63	11	2	8	25	92	6	7	1	216	291	349	640	134	281	28	8	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2034	26	MLB	—	64%	332	296	64	11	2	8	26	93	7	7	1	216	295	348	643	132	281	28	8	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2035	27	MLB	—	65%	338	302	65	12	2	8	26	95	7	7	1	215	293	348	640	132	281	28	8	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB	—	65%	338	301	65	12	2	8	27	96	7	7	1	216	296	349	644	133	280	28	8	285	76	-9	+1	-0	+6	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	65%	338	301	64	11	2	8	27	96	7	7	1	213	293	342	635	130	279	28	8	283	75	-10	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.6
2038	30	MLB	—	65%	338	301	63	11	2	7	27	97	7	7	1	209	290	329	618	120	278	29	8	280	73	-10	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2039	31	MLB	—	65%	328	293	60	11	1	7	26	95	6	6	1	205	283	321	604	116	275	29	8	276	69	-11	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2040	32	MLB	—	65%	318	284	56	10	1	6	25	94	6	6	1	197	276	303	579	106	272	30	8	271	65	-12	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.1
2041	33	MLB	—	65%	307	274	54	9	1	6	24	92	6	6	1	197	276	303	579	106	268	30	8	264	60	-14	+1	-3	+5	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4361	3899	818	145	23	97	338	1247	86	91	14	210	287	333	621	124	280	29	8	280	73	-135	+13	-10	+78	+124	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	121	22	3	14	50	186	13	14	2	208	286	329	614	120	278	29	8	280	73	-20	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	7442	6652	1385	248	38	164	576	2153	147	158	29	208	286	331	617	123	279	29	8	278	71	-242	+20	-15	+133	+211	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	121	22	3	14	50	188	13	14	3	208	286	329	614	120	279	29	8	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	125	29	6	0	6	19	38	7	9	1	232	364	424	788	192	277	25	12	353	128	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,488	99	93	210	284	332	+80	+40	7.3	6.1
	/162	664	15	14	210	284	332	+11.9	+5.9	1.1	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isais Chavez (OGILVIE)	18	30	45	55	45	191/262/293	102	269	2	2	31%	7%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	39→36	42→45	47→50	46	192/253/301	109	237	9	13	23%	7%	50	-1.7	186/243/279	93	277	8	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	58	-1.2	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Ranfy Adon 2016 · A	18	40	41→45	51→50	42	196/265/297	102	272	8	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	188/244/281	93	294	7	12	36%	6%	41	-2.3	158/218/242	84	272	8	22	43%	6%	19	-0.9
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2