Isais Chavez — OGILVIE

Isais ChavezC DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 193 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .266 / .298

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	125	29	6	0	6	19	38	7	9	1	232	364	424	788	192	277	25	12	353	125	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	133	20	4	0	4	11	58	7	9	1	150	252	271	522	120	206	38	7	232	43	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	133	20	4	0	4	11	58	7	9	1	150	252	271	522	120	219	38	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	125	29	6	0	6	19	38	7	9	1	232	364	424	788	192	277	25	12	353	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	134	20	4	0	4	11	58	7	9	1	149	252	269	520	119	206	38	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	153	134	20	4	0	4	11	58	7	9	1	149	252	269	520	119	206	38	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		269	30	10	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	216	194	39	7	1	4	16	63	4	4	1	201	276	309	585	108	273	29	7	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	350	314	65	12	2	7	26	99	7	7	1	207	282	325	607	118	276	28	7	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	450	404	85	15	2	10	34	126	9	10	2	210	286	332	618	121	278	28	8	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	144	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	279	28	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	143	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	280	28	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	143	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	281	28	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	100	18	3	12	40	143	10	11	2	215	291	344	635	129	281	28	8	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	100	18	3	12	41	143	10	11	2	216	293	345	638	129	281	28	8	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	100	18	3	12	41	143	10	11	2	216	293	345	638	129	280	28	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	520	463	100	18	3	12	42	144	10	11	2	216	295	346	641	130	280	28	8	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	463	100	18	3	12	42	145	10	11	2	216	295	346	641	130	279	28	8	286	80	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	62%	520	463	97	17	2	12	42	146	10	10	2	210	289	333	622	123	278	28	8	283	78	-14	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	63%	504	448	93	16	2	11	41	143	10	10	2	208	289	326	614	118	275	28	8	279	75	-15	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	—	64%	489	438	88	15	2	10	39	141	9	9	2	201	280	313	593	112	272	29	8	273	71	-17	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	—	65%	473	423	83	14	2	9	38	139	9	9	2	196	277	303	579	106	268	29	8	267	67	-19	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	74	68	12	2	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	176	243	250	493	74	273	30	7	270	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	170	152	33	6	1	4	13	48	3	4	1	217	292	349	640	132	276	28	8	277	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	244	218	45	8	1	5	19	68	5	5	1	206	285	321	606	115	278	28	8	282	77	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	57	10	2	7	23	81	6	6	1	217	295	350	644	133	279	28	8	285	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	268	58	10	2	7	23	82	6	7	1	216	293	347	640	131	280	27	8	287	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	265	57	10	2	7	23	81	6	6	1	215	293	347	640	132	281	27	8	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	264	57	10	2	7	23	81	6	6	1	216	294	348	642	133	281	27	8	289	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	57	10	2	7	23	81	6	6	1	217	295	350	644	133	281	28	8	289	81	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	258	55	10	1	7	23	80	6	6	1	213	293	341	634	128	280	28	8	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	307	273	59	11	2	7	25	85	6	7	1	216	296	348	644	132	280	28	8	288	81	-7	+1	-0	+5	+7	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	61%	317	282	61	11	2	7	26	88	6	7	1	216	296	344	640	128	279	28	8	286	80	-8	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	62%	324	289	60	11	1	7	26	91	6	7	1	208	287	325	612	118	278	28	8	283	78	-9	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	63%	318	283	58	10	1	7	26	91	6	6	1	205	286	322	607	117	275	29	8	279	75	-10	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	—	64%	312	278	56	10	1	6	25	90	6	6	1	201	282	309	591	108	272	29	8	273	71	-11	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	—	65%	307	273	54	9	1	6	25	90	6	6	1	198	280	304	584	106	268	29	8	267	67	-12	+1	-3	+5	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4140	3697	779	138	21	92	328	1159	81	87	14	211	289	334	623	123	279	28	8	283	77	-111	+12	-9	+74	+90	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	122	22	3	14	51	182	13	14	2	210	288	331	619	121	279	28	8	283	77	-17	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7325	6540	1371	244	37	163	574	2066	145	156	29	210	288	333	621	123	278	28	8	282	77	-192	+18	-15	+128	+155	9.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	121	22	3	14	51	183	13	14	3	209	287	329	617	121	276	28	8	282	77	-17	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.4	4,268	96	89	212	286	336	+76	+40	8.6	7.0
/162	664	15	14	+11.9	+6.2	1.3	pk7: 5
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isais Chavez (OGILVIE)	18	30	45	55	45	194/266/298	104	269	2	2	30%	7%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	101	+1.4	221/281/376	155	266	19	2	24%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	42	-2.9	185/256/282	97	276	9	12	34%	7%	53	-2.1	119/206/220	101	222	12	11	49%	8%	20	-1.7
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	43	-2.8	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.8	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Waner Luciano 2023 · A	18	38	45→40	51→50	46	193/278/316	123	260	12	10	29%	8%	70	-0.8	175/246/273	98	232	10	7	28%	7%	48	-2.5	167/242/258	91	217	10	13	27%	7%	42	-1.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	193/299/288	95	289	6	11	32%	11%	72	-0.7	181/305/266	86	250	6	20	26%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Ranfy Adon 2016 · A	18	40	41→45	51→50	42	196/265/297	102	272	8	11	30%	7%	61	-1.5	188/244/281	93	294	7	12	36%	6%	48	-2.5	160/222/245	85	273	8	22	42%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	63	-1.4	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	210/265/358	148	294	18	11	33%	6%	74	-0.5	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→36	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	54	-2.0	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	68	-1.0	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	74	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps