Rodrigo GonzalezSS DSL Arizona Black
Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 77 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .271
PA77
HR1
K%27
BB%8
BABIP271
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.01.02.00.30.60.91.11.31.41.51.51.31.1+$71M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.5$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.3$5M+$3M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $17M $34M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 115101 18100 11342 111 178272188460 10265 3010 222 28
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 11595 23200 17232 111 242368263632 21315 2015 304 90
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKARI 2117 3100 270 32 176263235498 59273 3310 191 4 -2 -0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
YTD18 ROKARI 2116 3100 350 32 188316250566 62250 2414 247 47 -1 -0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
ROS18 ROKARI 0% 7770 14201 6211 20 200273271544 71289 278 255 53 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS18 MLBARI 0% 01 0000 000 00 291 250 49 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKARI 2118 3100 270 32 167263222485 56250 3310 191 4 -2 -0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
TOT18 ROKARI 9887 17301 8281 52 195271264535 69271 298 241 43 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBARI 34% 189170 37612 15512 51 218289300589 82291 278 267 63 -8 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.0
202820 MLBARI 48% 328294 651024 27874 81 221295310605 88293 278 276 70 -11 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.3
202921 MLBARI 54% 435391 881427 351136 111 225299325623 100294 268 282 74 -13 +2 +0 +5 +12 0.6
203022 MLBARI 57% 510456 1041639 421327 132 228303336638 107295 268 286 77 -13 +2 +0 +5 +14 0.9
203123 MLBARI 58% 561502 11518310 461448 142 229304337641 108296 268 289 79 -13 +2 +0 +6 +16 1.1
203224 MLBARI 57% 594532 12219311 491528 152 229304338642 109297 268 291 81 -13 +2 +0 +6 +17 1.3
203325 MLBARI 57% 614550 12720312 511578 152 231305344649 113297 268 292 82 -13 +2 +0 +7 +17 1.4
203426 MLBARI 57% 623557 12820312 521609 152 230306341647 111297 268 293 83 -12 +2 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203527 MLBARI 55% 625558 12820312 531619 152 229306341647 111297 268 293 83 -12 +2 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203628 MLBARI 55% 621554 12720312 531609 152 229307341648 112297 269 292 82 -13 +2 -1 +7 +18 1.3
203729 MLBARI 58% 611546 12319311 521598 132 225302332633 106296 269 291 81 -13 +2 -1 +7 +17 1.1
203830 MLBARI 60% 601537 12119311 511588 122 225302333635 108295 268 288 79 -15 +2 -2 +6 +17 0.9
202719 MLBARI 34% 6559 13201 5171 20 220292305597 85294 268 261 58 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202820 MLBARI 48% 159143 32512 13422 41 224297315612 91295 268 269 64 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
202921 MLBARI 54% 236212 48814 19613 61 226299330629 104296 268 274 68 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203022 MLBARI 57% 289259 59925 24754 71 228303336639 108297 268 278 71 -9 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203123 MLBARI 58% 323289 671126 27834 81 232306346652 114298 268 281 73 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.4
203224 MLBARI 57% 339303 701126 28875 81 231307340646 109299 268 283 75 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.5
203325 MLBARI 57% 348311 721127 29895 91 232307347655 116299 268 284 76 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.6
203426 MLBARI 57% 353316 731127 29905 91 231306345651 114299 258 285 77 -9 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.6
203527 MLBARI 55% 347310 721127 29895 91 232308348657 116299 268 285 77 -9 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.6
203628 MLBARI 55% 341304 711127 29885 81 234311352663 118299 269 285 76 -9 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.5
203729 MLBARI 58% 355317 731127 30925 81 230307344651 114298 268 283 75 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203830 MLBARI 60% 362323 741127 31955 71 229306341647 111297 269 280 73 -11 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 35173147 7241122066 29390849 8511 230306341647 111300 268 281 73 -106 +13 -2 +38 +100 4.3
/ 162G 650582 13421412 541689 162 230306342648 112300 268 281 73 -20 +2 -0 +7 +18 0.8
Career 65045818 131720432114 543168989 16422 226302331633 105297 268 287 78 -162 +24 -4 +70 +184 11.4
/ 162G 650581 13120311 541699 162 225301327628 102297 268 287 78 -16 +2 -0 +7 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 11595 23200 17232 111 242368263632 21315 2015 304 90 -1 +2 +3 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,6146486228300334+39+246.65.9
/1626641216+7.1+4.41.2pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Rodrigo Gonzalez (OGILVIE) 18 195/271/264 69271 15 29% 8% 43 -0.2
Yordany De Los Santos
2023 · A
18 42→39 36→45 51→60 46 193/275/265 72282 313 30% 9% 51 -1.7 203/273/292 89313 723 34% 8% 56 -1.3 206/260/333127301143535%6%58-0.7
Rafael Herrera
2019 · A
18 43 35→40 52→50 45 200/267/266 67269 212 25% 7% 47 -1.9 218/286/298 80291 412 24% 8% 63 -0.8 229/304/3108129741722%9%71-0.1
Ricardo Cova
2022 · A
18 44 38→50 47→55 44 212/278/287 75273 69 24% 6% 57 -1.2 209/268/294 85323 715 35% 6% 55 -1.4 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
Jason Lopez
2016 · A
18 41 36→55 49→45 47 196/260/260 65259 413 25% 8% 43 -2.2 203/259/301 98276 99 28% 6% 53 -1.5 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
Ronaldo Urdaneta
2017 · A
18 37 35→40 51→60 40 176/238/231 55271 217 34% 7% 25 -3.5 204/268/282 78293 521 30% 8% 52 -1.6 192/263/2697728573232%8%44-0.7
Aroon Escobar
2023 · A
18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0
Andrés Nolaya
2023 · A
18 41 35→45 44→55 47 190/278/250 60289 210 32% 10% 49 -1.8 189/258/257 68296 315 34% 8% 41 -2.3 194/269/2717627852230%7%48-0.6
Ceddanne Rafaela
2019 · A
18 42→48 39→55 51→55 40 205/251/286 81270 616 26% 5% 45 -2.1 206/254/321 115262 1114 25% 5% 56 -1.3 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
Luis Palacios
2007 · A
18 43 37→40 50 47 203/279/272 70286 413 29% 8% 54 -1.4 204/261/283 79271 57 25% 6% 49 -1.8 192/241/268762526425%5%35-0.9
Gilberto Celestino
2017 · A
18 43→53 38→45 54→55 48 203/273/292 90270 513 25% 8% 56 -1.3 209/261/295 86283 611 27% 6% 52 -1.6 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Francisco Acuna
2018 · A
18 39→49 37→45 55→50 55 183/284/257 74242 415 24% 11% 54 -1.4 194/267/263 69267 39 26% 8% 47 -1.9 223/293/3229929491626%7%70-0.2
Hidekel Abreu
2016 · A
18 42 36→40 49→50 45 199/266/263 64280 38 28% 8% 46 -2.0 223/284/304 81293 510 24% 7% 63 -0.8 237/299/3178030061221%8%68-0.2
Luis Vázquez
2019 · A
19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
Adrián Sanchez
2009 · A
18 43→45 38→45 52→50 42 207/255/285 78258 514 22% 5% 46 -2.0 223/254/298 75271 511 19% 3% 49 -1.8 255/291/35810431071120%4%76+0.0
Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A
18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
Eddys Leonard
2019 · A
18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Dixon Machado
2010 · A
18 39→49 37→45 53→55 49 188/254/256 69223 519 18% 7% 40 -2.4 195/249/240 45248 217 21% 6% 32 -3.0 228/310/33811027511420%9%81+0.3
Jorge Alcantara
2010 · A
18 44 38→45 51→50 41 207/269/289 82311 611 33% 7% 53 -1.5 209/275/309 100307 711 32% 7% 62 -0.9 189/260/29911027071730%8%52-0.5
Marco Guzman
2013 · A
18 37 35→45 47→50 47 176/257/242 66244 28 26% 8% 38 -2.6 198/263/278 80251 47 22% 8% 49 -1.8 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Yordalin Peña
2023 · A
18 41→39 40→55 55 37 198/247/291 93283 610 31% 5% 45 -2.1 188/247/280 92276 612 32% 6% 42 -2.3 189/253/317128293111737%7%53-0.7