Juan ElejandroSS FCL Braves
Age 18 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION108 act + 72 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .264 / .242
PA72
HR0
K%26
BB%7
BABIP277
ISO45
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.81.60.10.40.70.91.01.11.11.11.0+$51M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT47
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.1$4M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.0$4M+$3M
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $9M $23M +$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Braves 141118 23310 13376 51 195307237544 42271 269 243 44
202517 ROKDSL Braves 141113 28410 18266 51 248380301680 53308 1813 316 100
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKATL 10899 18500 6292 00 182243232475 51254 276 206 16 -10 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.6
YTD18 ROKATL 10896 23700 9202 00 240318312630 73299 198 289 79 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.2
ROS18 ROKATL 0% 7266 13300 5191 10 197264242506 45278 267 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS18 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 278 243 44 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKATL 108100 18500 6292 00 180243230473 50250 276 206 16 -10 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.6
TOT18 ROKATL 180165 31800 11483 10 188251236488 48263 276 225 30 -14 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBATL 34% 230208 44912 16584 41 212281293574 82280 257 264 60 -10 +0 +0 +2 +7 -0.1
202820 MLBATL 48% 361326 721425 26906 62 221291322613 101282 257 274 68 -13 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.1
202921 MLBATL 54% 458414 911827 331138 82 220290324614 104284 257 280 72 -14 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.4
203022 MLBATL 57% 527474 1062039 391299 103 224295335630 112285 247 284 75 -15 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.7
203123 MLBATL 58% 573516 11622310 4213910 113 225296337633 112286 247 286 77 -15 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.9
203224 MLBATL 57% 603543 12323311 4514610 123 227298341638 114286 247 288 78 -15 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.0
203325 MLBATL 57% 621560 12624311 4615010 124 225295338633 113286 247 289 79 -15 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.1
203426 MLBATL 57% 629566 12824312 4715211 124 226298343641 117286 247 289 80 -15 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.1
203527 MLBATL 55% 629565 12824312 4815211 124 227300343643 117286 248 289 80 -14 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.1
203628 MLBATL 59% 625562 12624311 4815210 124 224297336633 112286 248 288 79 -15 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.0
202719 MLBATL 34% 7973 15301 5201 10 205266288553 82280 256 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202820 MLBATL 48% 175158 35712 12443 31 222289316605 95282 257 262 59 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202921 MLBATL 54% 248224 49914 18614 51 219289321610 103284 257 268 63 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203022 MLBATL 57% 298269 601125 22735 62 223294335628 112285 247 272 66 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203123 MLBATL 58% 330298 681326 24805 62 228297346642 117286 247 274 68 -12 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.1
203224 MLBATL 57% 344309 701326 26836 72 227299340639 113286 248 276 69 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203325 MLBATL 57% 352317 721426 26856 72 227298341639 114286 247 276 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203426 MLBATL 57% 356320 731427 27866 72 228300350650 122286 248 277 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203527 MLBATL 55% 349314 701326 26856 72 223295334629 111286 247 277 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203628 MLBATL 59% 370333 751427 28906 72 225297342639 117286 248 276 70 -13 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 29012616 5871111650 21470748 5616 224295336631 112287 247 273 67 -107 +5 -0 +31 +82 1.1
/ 162G 650586 13225411 4815811 134 225296338634 113288 247 273 67 -24 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.2
Career 54694918 10962082790 408133796 10531 223295331626 108286 247 284 75 -153 +9 -1 +59 +155 7.0
/ 162G 650585 13125311 4815911 124 224295333628 109286 247 284 75 -18 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Braves 141113 28410 18266 51 248380301680 53308 1813 316 100 -0 +1 +4 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
63,0325157225292336+32+184.14.0
/1626641112+7.1+3.90.9pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Juan Elejandro (OGILVIE) 18 42→47 28→33 46→51 52 188/251/236 48263 01 27% 6% 30 -0.7
Francisco Aponte
2009 · A
18 43 36→30 49→60 46 205/268/268 64265 49 23% 7% 48 -1.9 230/305/289 59291 217 20% 8% 69 -0.4 221/287/2674527002216%8%54-0.5
Luis Lara
2023 · A
18 42→48 38→40 45→60 45 200/259/284 84248 48 21% 6% 48 -1.9 212/278/277 65276 325 23% 7% 54 -1.4 229/308/3057629253421%9%73-0.1
Chace Numata
2011 · A
18 44 36→40 47→40 43 205/271/275 70308 47 32% 8% 51 -1.7 210/271/287 77275 57 24% 7% 54 -1.4 250/301/324742973216%6%73-0.1
Emmanuel Morel
2015 · A
18 42 36→30 51→55 41 199/261/262 63278 39 28% 6% 43 -2.2 192/267/250 58298 216 33% 9% 43 -2.2 173/256/2194628002234%9%29-0.9
Olvy Marte
2013 · A
18 46 36→40 49→55 44 213/288/277 65286 318 25% 7% 59 -1.1 220/281/292 72293 216 24% 6% 59 -1.1 224/283/2957129611923%6%58-0.4
Rodolfo Penalo
2011 · A
18 43 35→40 47→65 48 203/275/262 59265 216 23% 8% 50 -1.8 204/271/273 69256 320 20% 7% 50 -1.7 210/296/2796926223619%9%60-0.4
Carlos Pulido
2016 · A
18 47 35→30 51→30 43 215/288/278 63298 28 27% 7% 59 -1.1 209/285/267 58259 24 19% 7% 56 -1.3 218/303/262442512113%8%62-0.4
Jose Perez
2022 · A
18 41 39→40 42→45 45 194/268/281 86278 56 30% 8% 52 -1.6 200/299/287 87269 57 25% 11% 68 -0.5 190/311/283932535724%13%71-0.1
Diego Velasquez
2022 · A
18 40→50 34→40 46→55 43 189/242/236 46248 25 24% 6% 28 -3.2 218/279/297 79287 511 24% 7% 60 -1.0 239/309/3086930441921%8%73-0.1
Jansel Luis
2023 · A
18 49→53 36→45 49→55 44 231/282/295 64285 410 20% 5% 60 -1.0 221/270/327 106289 714 25% 5% 63 -0.8 234/276/35411931191927%4%70-0.3
Michael Chirinos
2018 · A
18 41 37→40 51→55 50 193/251/266 73225 411 16% 7% 40 -2.4 226/292/296 70250 513 11% 8% 65 -0.7 236/307/298612535168%9%73-0.1
Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A
19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
Ronald Hernandez
2022 · A
18 40→50 38→40 50 47 190/268/273 83265 56 28% 9% 50 -1.8 199/284/285 86297 76 32% 9% 60 -1.0 202/290/285823148535%10%61-0.5
Dervy Ventura
2023 · A
19 43→51 36→40 50→55 47 200/276/275 74283 26 28% 9% 53 -1.5 220/297/313 93288 714 24% 10% 72 -0.2 227/311/3219429882225%11%78+0.1
Fidel Mejia
2017 · A
18 49 34→40 46→40 43 227/275/281 55303 111 25% 6% 53 -1.5 213/261/276 63294 36 27% 6% 46 -2.0 203/249/261582833228%5%34-0.9
Deivi Estrada
2019 · A
18 40 36→30 45→50 43 190/259/260 71280 210 31% 7% 43 -2.2 210/287/274 64290 39 26% 9% 58 -1.2 195/270/241462892830%8%41-0.7
Enderson Delgado
2023 · A
18 42 35→45 45→30 41 196/262/252 56273 26 28% 6% 42 -2.3 176/258/267 91261 84 34% 7% 46 -2.0 172/264/27310123612130%7%48-0.5
Yamal Encarnacion
2022 · A
18 44 37→40 51→60 47 207/271/285 78273 413 24% 8% 53 -1.5 203/264/264 61272 317 25% 7% 45 -2.1 209/272/2867627364524%8%51-0.8
Jose Herrera
2015 · A
18 42 34→40 49→40 44 196/267/251 55284 24 30% 8% 43 -2.2 208/268/286 78271 63 24% 7% 53 -1.5 206/288/299932749326%10%63-0.4
Aroon Escobar
2023 · A
18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0