Junior Castillo — OGILVIE

Junior CastilloC DSL Nationals

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 38 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .263 / .206

PA38

HR0

K%32

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO29

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$24M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	98	82	10	2	0	0	12	50	2	4	0	122	250	146	396	24	312	51	12	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	98	74	16	3	0	1	20	33	2	4	0	216	396	297	693	81	375	34	20	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	57	50	7	0	0	1	4	19	2	1	0	140	232	200	432	60	194	33	7	197	9	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	57	47	9	0	0	1	7	13	2	1	0	191	321	255	577	64	235	23	12	275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	WSH	0%	38	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	176	263	206	469	29	278	32	8	244	45	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	WSH	—	57	51	7	0	0	1	4	19	2	1	0	137	232	196	428	59	188	33	7	197	9	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	WSH	—	95	84	13	1	0	1	7	31	3	2	0	155	245	202	447	48	226	33	7	216	24	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	178	158	32	5	1	2	15	56	3	2	1	203	284	285	569	82	283	31	8	258	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	320	285	59	9	2	5	27	97	5	4	1	207	287	305	592	98	286	30	8	268	63	-13	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	428	382	79	12	2	8	36	128	7	6	1	207	287	312	599	105	287	30	8	274	68	-16	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.5
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	505	450	96	15	3	10	42	149	8	7	1	213	292	327	619	113	288	30	8	278	71	-17	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	520	462	98	15	3	10	44	153	9	7	2	212	293	323	616	110	289	29	8	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	520	462	99	15	3	11	44	153	9	7	2	214	295	331	626	117	290	29	8	283	74	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	520	462	99	15	3	11	44	152	9	7	2	214	295	331	626	117	290	29	8	284	75	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	520	462	99	15	3	11	44	152	9	7	2	214	295	331	626	117	290	29	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	520	461	99	15	3	11	45	153	9	7	2	215	297	332	629	117	290	29	9	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	520	461	98	15	2	11	45	153	9	6	1	213	295	325	621	113	289	29	9	284	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	520	460	97	15	2	11	46	154	9	6	1	211	295	324	619	113	288	30	9	282	74	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	61	55	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	200	279	291	570	91	283	31	8	247	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	155	138	28	4	1	2	13	47	3	2	0	203	286	290	576	87	286	30	8	256	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	232	207	43	7	1	4	19	69	4	3	1	208	287	309	596	101	287	30	8	262	58	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	286	255	53	8	1	6	24	84	5	4	1	208	289	318	606	110	288	29	8	266	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	299	267	56	9	1	6	25	88	5	4	1	210	290	318	608	109	289	29	8	268	63	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	296	264	56	9	1	6	25	87	5	4	1	212	293	322	614	110	290	29	8	270	65	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	295	263	56	9	1	6	25	86	5	4	1	213	294	323	617	110	290	29	8	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	294	262	56	9	1	6	25	86	5	4	1	214	295	324	619	111	290	29	9	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	289	257	54	8	1	6	25	85	5	4	1	210	293	319	612	109	290	29	9	272	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	286	254	53	8	1	6	25	84	5	4	1	209	292	319	611	110	289	29	9	271	66	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	278	247	52	8	1	6	24	83	5	3	1	211	293	324	617	113	288	30	9	269	64	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2771	2470	518	81	10	55	235	818	48	37	9	210	291	317	608	108	288	30	8	268	63	-115	+4	-1	+49	+79	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	121	19	2	13	55	192	11	9	2	209	289	316	606	107	287	30	8	268	63	-27	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	5207	4621	971	149	27	101	447	1562	89	71	16	210	292	320	612	110	291	30	9	278	71	-170	+8	-2	+93	+148	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	122	19	3	13	56	195	11	9	2	211	294	322	616	111	292	30	9	278	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	98	74	16	3	0	1	20	33	2	4	0	216	396	297	693	81	375	34	20	329	110	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,856	57	37	212	290	323	+51	+28	4.6	4.3
	/162	664	13	9	212	290	323	+11.9	+6.5	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Castillo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	155/245/202	48	226	1	2	33%	7%	24	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Alejandro Flores 2014 · A	18	41	37→50	48→40	43	196/253/264	68	270	4	7	28%	7%	40	-2.4	190/255/273	83	275	7	6	31%	7%	44	-2.1	199/256/338	139	264	14	3	29%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Chace Numata 2011 · A	18	44	36→40	47→40	43	205/271/275	70	308	4	7	32%	8%	51	-1.7	210/271/287	77	275	5	7	24%	7%	54	-1.4	250/301/324	74	297	3	2	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	42	35→45	45→30	41	196/262/252	56	273	2	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	176/258/267	91	261	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	172/264/273	101	236	12	1	30%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	40→50	38→40	50	47	190/268/273	83	265	5	6	28%	9%	50	-1.8	199/284/285	86	297	7	6	32%	9%	60	-1.0	202/290/285	82	314	8	5	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Robel García 2011 · A	18	36→37	37→50	50→40	47	170/256/251	81	261	4	9	33%	10%	40	-2.4	181/249/281	100	277	7	7	34%	8%	43	-2.2	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	42	34→40	49→40	44	196/267/251	55	284	2	4	30%	8%	43	-2.2	208/268/286	78	271	6	3	24%	7%	53	-1.5	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	45	-2.1	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	33	-2.9	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2019 · A	18	42→50	35→50	47→40	45	192/272/253	61	303	3	4	35%	9%	46	-2.0	204/285/273	69	304	4	4	31%	10%	57	-1.2	201/266/336	134	259	17	3	29%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45→55	41	177/239/242	65	274	3	9	35%	7%	29	-3.2	205/267/286	81	279	4	15	26%	7%	52	-1.6	200/264/296	96	310	7	21	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Adrian Placencia 2022 · A	19	36→37	40→45	48→50	44	172/262/264	92	283	8	7	39%	10%	46	-2.0	186/278/306	120	309	13	12	40%	10%	63	-0.8	178/272/297	119	295	14	13	41%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	38→43	38→45	51→55	41	184/252/273	90	271	4	6	32%	7%	43	-2.2	192/261/299	107	277	8	11	31%	8%	54	-1.4	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4