Junior Castillo

C DSL Nationals

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1676ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKWSH	98	.216/.396/.297	1	4	29	—	.125/.271/.150
2026	18	ROKWSH	106	.195/.371/.244	1	2	23	—	.125/.267/.136
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBWSH	216	.193/.281/.261	2	4	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBWSH	38	.198/.286/.273	0	1	63	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBWSH	101	.202/.290/.285	1	2	67	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%99

BB%79

K%68

Whiff%66

Z-Con%58

wOBA26

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJulio Cabrera (age 19) · Joshua Franco (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .279 / .259

PA56

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE74

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	98	74	16	3	0	1	20	33	2	4	0	216	396	297	693	81	375	34	20	329	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	106	82	16	1	0	1	21	19	2	2	0	195	371	244	615	49	238	18	20	303	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	98	80	10	2	0	0	14	41	2	4	0	125	271	150	421	25	242	42	14	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	11	1	0	0	15	23	2	2	0	125	267	136	403	11	151	22	14	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	98	80	10	2	0	0	14	41	2	4	0	125	271	150	421	25	256	42	14	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	98	74	16	3	0	1	20	33	2	4	0	216	396	297	693	81	375	34	20	329	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	11	1	0	0	15	23	2	2	0	125	267	136	403	11	167	22	14	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	106	82	16	1	0	1	21	19	2	2	0	195	371	244	615	49	238	18	20	303	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	98	82	10	2	0	0	14	41	2	4	0	122	271	146	417	24	242	42	14	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	11	1	0	0	15	23	2	2	0	125	267	136	403	11	151	22	14	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	98	82	10	2	0	0	14	41	2	4	0	122	271	146	417	24	242	42	14	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	11	1	0	0	15	23	2	2	0	125	267	136	403	11	151	22	14	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	216	191	38	6	1	2	21	62	2	4	1	193	281	261	542	68	274	29	10	253	57	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	112	99	20	3	1	1	11	32	1	2	1	198	286	275	561	77	276	29	10	261	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	208	183	38	6	1	3	20	58	3	4	1	203	290	287	578	85	278	28	10	267	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	319	281	58	9	2	4	31	88	4	7	2	206	293	298	591	92	280	28	10	272	70	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	61%	401	355	74	12	2	6	38	109	5	8	3	210	296	307	603	97	281	27	9	277	73	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	445	394	83	13	2	7	43	120	5	9	3	213	298	315	613	102	283	27	10	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	445	394	83	13	2	7	43	120	5	9	3	213	298	316	614	103	283	27	10	281	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	445	394	83	13	2	8	43	120	5	9	3	213	298	316	615	103	282	27	10	281	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	445	394	82	13	2	7	43	120	5	9	3	212	297	313	611	102	282	27	10	280	75	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	445	394	82	13	2	7	43	121	5	8	3	210	295	309	604	99	281	27	10	277	73	-14	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	445	395	82	13	2	7	42	122	5	8	3	207	292	302	595	95	279	27	9	273	71	-15	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	38	34	6	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	198	286	273	559	75	275	29	11	260	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	101	89	18	3	0	1	10	28	1	2	1	202	290	285	575	83	277	28	10	266	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	182	160	33	5	1	3	18	50	2	4	1	206	293	296	589	90	279	27	10	271	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	61%	245	216	45	7	1	4	24	67	3	5	2	209	296	305	600	96	280	27	10	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	280	248	53	9	1	5	27	75	3	6	2	212	298	312	610	100	282	27	10	279	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	289	255	54	9	1	5	28	78	4	6	2	212	298	314	612	101	282	27	10	280	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	289	256	54	9	1	5	28	78	3	6	2	212	298	314	612	102	281	27	10	280	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	289	256	54	9	1	5	28	78	3	6	2	211	297	311	608	100	281	27	10	279	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	289	256	54	9	1	5	28	79	3	5	2	209	295	307	602	97	280	27	10	276	73	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	289	256	52	8	1	4	28	79	3	5	2	207	292	300	592	94	278	27	10	272	71	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2291	2026	423	69	8	37	223	623	25	46	16	209	295	306	601	97	281	27	10	276	71	-72	+3	-1	+41	+50	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	120	20	2	10	63	177	7	13	5	209	295	303	597	94	281	27	10	276	71	-20	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3970	3501	714	112	18	57	391	1090	48	80	25	204	293	295	588	91	277	27	10	273	71	-120	+5	-2	+67	+82	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	116	18	3	9	64	178	8	13	4	202	291	291	583	89	275	27	10	273	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Nationals · 106 PAwOBA .300 → .202 (−98)K% 17.9% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.92%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.81%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.80%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.31%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	14.28%
Doubles /BIP	1.59%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.59%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .300 → .202; ISO .049 → .025; BABIP .238 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Nationals · 98 PAwOBA .322 → .211 (−111)K% 33.7% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.67%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	42.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.41%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.03%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.44%
Singles /BIP	29.27%	÷1.025	×0.680	—	×1.008	19.56%
Doubles /BIP	7.32%	÷0.999	×0.600	—	×1.008	4.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.999	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.300	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.89%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .322 → .211; ISO .081 → .040; BABIP .375 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,348	36	46	211	293	309	+42	+28	3.7	3.6
	/162	664	10	13	211	293	309	+11.9	+7.9	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
	/162	664	8	2	211*	275*	330*	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Junior Castillo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Castillo (OGILVIE)	19	31→36	31→36	48→53	74	192/279/259	67	274	0	1	29%	10%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Julio Cabrera 2017 · A	19	34	35→30	52→50	48	159/238/217	58	202	1	7	21%	8%	32	-3.6	182/245/257	75	241	4	7	25%	6%	43	-2.8	128/189/201	73	164	5	7	25%	6%	8	-1.0
✕Joshua Franco 2014 · A	20	36	34→30	40→45	37	172/234/227	55	265	1	3	34%	6%	32	-3.6	182/239/247	65	273	3	5	32%	6%	38	-3.2	142/200/187	45	207	3	4	31%	6%	8	-1.6