Koyo Aoyagi — OGILVIE

Koyo Aoyagi P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 33 RHP 5'11" / 175 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.94

FIP5.94

K%16.7%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%-0.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	6	34	172	28	38	6	26%	1.5	13.7%	21.6%	-8.0%	4.0%	7.22	6.91	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	6	34	172	28	38	6	26%	1.5	13.7%	21.6%	-8.0%	4.0%	7.22	6.91	—
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	6	34	172	28	38	6	26%	1.5	16.3%	22.1%	-5.8%	3.5%	7.22	7.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	PHI	17	0	18	76	13	13	2	0%	1.1	16.7%	17.2%	-0.5%	3.1%	5.94	5.94	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	14	14	3	0%	1.1	16.8%	16.9%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.94	6.05	-0.3
2028	34	MLB CTX	PHI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.8%	16.9%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.94	6.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	1.1	16.8%	16.9%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.94	5.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	182	0	0%	1.1	16.8%	16.9%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.94	5.67	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		23	6	34	172	23	37	7	26%	1.5	13.7%	21.6%	-8.0%	4.0%	7.22	6.91	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	36	200	1022	139	221	41	26%	1.5	13.7%	21.6%	-8.0%	4.0%	7.22	6.91	-3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Koyo Aoyagi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.94	16.7%	17.2%	3.1%	—	6.05	16.8%	-0.1%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Benjamin Sandoval R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	32	SU	5.65	11.8%	14.0%	3.2%	.358	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	146	71
Matt Karchner R 2000 · 6.59 FIP	33	SU	6.59	6.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	241	67
JC Ramírez R 2022 · 6.17 FIP	33	SU	6.17	15.7%	14.0%	4.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	65
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	64
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	64
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	63
Tony Fiore R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	31	SU	5.17	14.3%	12.4%	3.1%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	142	63
Ramon Ramirez R 2016 · 5.25 FIP	33	SW	5.25	9.2%	14.1%	2.1%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	62
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	60
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	59
Raul Barron R 2019 · 5.92 FIP	33	SU	5.92	11.4%	8.9%	4.8%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	201	59
Edwin Quirarte R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	32	SU	5.36	5.8%	9.7%	2.8%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	157	58
Joe Borowski R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	16.0%	12.3%	2.8%	.329	4.01	19.0%	12.6%	182	-0.84	2.90	436	56
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	56
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	56
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	55
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	246	54
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	53
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	53
Toby Borland R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	33	SU	5.28	17.7%	8.1%	4.8%	.256	4.28	20.9%	12.8%	18	-1.00	2.92	248	53