Jose De La Cruz — OGILVIE

Jose De La CruzC ACL Rockies

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .276 / .209

PA65

HR0

K%29

BB%9

BABIP261

ISO35

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	81	71	8	2	1	0	8	31	1	0	0	113	212	169	382	56	200	38	10	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	81	66	10	3	1	0	13	24	1	0	0	152	300	227	527	76	238	30	16	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	97	85	15	2	1	0	7	41	5	0	0	176	278	224	502	47	341	42	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	97	80	22	4	1	0	12	30	5	0	0	275	402	350	752	75	440	31	12	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	98	79	10	2	0	0	10	29	6	0	0	127	274	152	426	25	200	30	10	204	14	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	98	73	12	3	0	0	16	20	6	0	0	164	358	205	563	41	226	20	16	281	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	COL	0%	65	57	10	2	0	0	6	19	2	1	0	174	276	209	485	35	252	29	9	240	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	COL	—	98	80	10	2	0	0	10	29	6	0	0	125	274	150	424	25	196	30	10	204	14	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
TOT	19	ROK	COL	—	163	136	20	4	0	0	16	48	8	1	0	147	274	176	450	29	226	29	10	218	25	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	175	154	29	5	1	2	15	50	4	2	1	188	277	273	550	84	258	29	9	253	52	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	313	276	54	10	2	4	27	87	7	5	2	196	284	290	574	94	262	28	9	263	59	-14	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.0
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	414	366	71	13	2	6	36	113	9	7	2	194	282	290	572	96	264	27	9	269	64	-17	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.3
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	482	427	86	16	3	8	42	130	10	8	3	201	288	309	597	108	266	27	9	273	67	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	520	459	93	17	3	9	45	140	11	9	3	203	289	312	601	109	267	27	9	275	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	520	459	93	17	3	9	45	140	11	9	3	203	289	312	601	109	267	27	9	276	69	-18	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.7
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	520	458	93	17	3	9	46	140	11	9	3	203	291	312	603	109	267	27	9	276	70	-18	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.7
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	520	458	93	17	3	9	46	140	11	9	3	203	291	312	603	109	267	27	9	276	70	-18	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.7
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	520	457	92	17	3	9	47	141	11	9	3	201	291	311	602	109	266	27	9	275	69	-18	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.6
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	520	457	92	17	3	9	47	142	11	8	3	201	291	311	602	109	265	27	9	273	67	-19	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.4
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	60	54	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	204	283	296	580	93	277	28	8	252	51	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	152	135	27	5	1	2	13	42	3	2	1	200	285	296	581	96	281	28	9	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	225	199	42	8	1	4	19	61	5	4	1	211	296	322	618	111	284	27	8	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	273	241	52	10	2	5	24	74	6	5	2	216	303	336	639	120	286	27	9	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	294	260	57	11	2	6	26	79	6	5	2	219	305	346	651	127	287	27	9	277	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	294	260	57	11	2	6	26	79	6	5	2	219	305	346	651	127	287	27	9	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	294	260	57	11	2	6	26	79	6	5	2	219	305	346	651	127	287	27	9	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	288	254	55	10	2	6	26	78	6	5	2	217	304	343	647	126	287	27	9	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	285	251	55	10	2	6	26	77	6	5	2	219	307	347	654	127	286	27	9	277	70	-10	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.4
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	278	245	53	10	2	5	25	76	6	5	2	216	304	335	639	118	285	27	9	275	69	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2443	2160	466	88	16	47	216	662	51	42	16	216	302	337	639	121	287	27	9	275	68	-87	+2	-1	+44	+69	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	23	4	13	57	176	14	11	4	216	302	337	639	122	286	27	9	275	68	-23	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4747	4184	829	152	28	74	417	1314	104	76	26	198	287	301	588	103	268	28	9	269	64	-191	+5	-2	+85	+135	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	114	21	4	10	57	180	14	10	4	199	287	302	589	103	269	28	9	269	64	-26	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	81	66	10	3	1	0	13	24	1	0	0	152	300	227	527	76	238	30	16	256	54	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	97	80	22	4	1	0	12	30	5	0	0	275	402	350	752	75	440	31	12	352	128	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,527	42	42	201	285	307	+45	+24	2.4	2.4
	/162	664	11	11	201	285	307	+11.9	+6.3	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	21→26	28→33	42→47	58	147/274/176	29	226	0	1	29%	10%	25	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	43	-2.2	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	53	-1.5	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	37	-2.6	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	49	-1.8	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	25	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	61	-1.0	227/272/301	75	302	6	3	26%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	39→37	38→40	48→40	47	187/266/269	83	245	4	8	24%	8%	49	-1.8	193/286/294	101	260	9	6	27%	11%	63	-0.8	179/279/276	97	240	10	4	28%	12%	55	-0.8
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/290/273	82	290	5	8	32%	11%	61	-1.0	192/289/292	100	287	9	14	33%	10%	65	-0.7	175/282/297	122	265	13	26	36%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	27	-3.3	197/248/283	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	43	-2.2	223/283/334	112	275	10	0	22%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	52	-1.6	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	29	-0.9
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Andrew Caraballo 2019 · A	19	39	36→40	44→40	51	179/281/251	73	268	2	5	31%	11%	51	-1.7	181/252/259	78	304	5	8	38%	8%	39	-2.5	123/164/192	70	240	7	15	50%	5%	-20	-1.2
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	47	-1.9	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	50	-1.8	145/224/227	82	287	8	19	48%	6%	18	-1.3
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	41	36→40	48→45	43	193/257/263	71	277	3	9	30%	7%	42	-2.3	184/230/252	68	247	3	9	26%	5%	27	-3.3	220/279/277	58	303	4	8	27%	7%	52	-0.5