Johan Fernandez — OGILVIE

Johan FernandezC ACL D-backs

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .167 / .167

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP296

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	43	8	4	0	0	7	11	3	0	1	186	340	279	619	93	250	20	13	293	85	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	65	16	2	0	3	8	17	2	1	0	246	347	415	762	169	289	22	11	340	116	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	45	6	3	0	0	5	16	3	0	1	133	264	200	464	67	194	30	9	207	26	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	68	11	1	0	2	5	26	2	1	0	162	240	265	505	103	224	34	7	224	38	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	45	6	3	0	0	5	16	3	0	1	133	264	200	464	67	207	30	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	43	8	4	0	0	7	11	3	0	1	186	340	279	619	93	250	20	13	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	68	11	1	0	2	5	26	2	1	0	162	240	265	505	103	225	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	65	16	2	0	3	8	17	2	1	0	246	347	415	762	169	289	22	11	340	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	46	6	3	0	0	5	16	3	0	1	130	264	196	460	65	194	30	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	69	11	1	0	2	5	26	2	1	0	159	240	261	501	101	224	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	46	6	3	0	0	5	16	3	0	1	130	264	196	460	65	194	30	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	69	11	1	0	2	5	26	2	1	0	159	240	261	501	101	224	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ARI	—	58	50	8	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	160	276	180	456	20	308	41	12	229	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ARI	—	58	46	12	2	0	0	11	17	1	0	0	261	414	304	718	43	414	29	19	345	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		290	33	0	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	ARI	—	64	56	9	1	0	0	7	26	1	0	0	161	266	179	444	18	300	41	11	232	43	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	162	146	31	6	1	2	13	49	2	1	0	212	286	308	594	96	295	30	8	270	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	303	271	59	11	2	5	25	89	4	3	1	218	293	328	622	111	296	29	8	278	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	407	364	78	14	2	7	34	117	6	4	1	214	292	321	614	107	297	29	8	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	476	426	93	17	2	9	40	136	7	4	1	218	296	331	627	113	297	29	8	288	81	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	463	104	19	3	11	44	148	8	5	2	225	303	350	653	125	298	28	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	463	104	19	3	11	44	148	8	5	2	225	303	350	653	125	298	28	8	292	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	520	463	104	19	3	11	44	148	8	5	2	225	303	350	653	125	298	28	8	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	463	104	19	3	11	44	148	8	5	2	225	303	350	653	125	298	28	8	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	462	102	18	2	11	45	149	8	4	2	221	301	340	641	119	298	29	9	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	462	101	18	2	11	45	150	8	4	1	219	299	338	637	119	297	29	9	290	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	462	101	18	2	11	45	151	8	4	1	219	299	338	637	119	295	29	9	287	80	-12	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	504	448	96	17	2	10	44	148	7	3	1	214	295	328	623	114	293	29	9	283	78	-13	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	488	436	92	16	2	9	42	145	7	2	1	211	291	319	610	108	289	30	9	277	74	-15	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	ARI	59%	446	399	82	14	2	8	38	135	6	2	1	206	284	311	595	105	285	30	9	271	69	-16	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	56	50	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	0	0	220	304	320	624	100	301	30	9	263	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	147	132	28	5	1	2	12	43	2	1	0	212	288	311	598	98	302	29	8	270	74	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	221	198	43	8	1	4	18	64	3	2	1	217	292	328	621	111	303	29	8	276	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	269	240	54	10	2	5	23	77	4	2	1	225	303	346	649	121	303	29	9	280	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	263	60	11	2	6	25	84	4	3	1	228	305	354	658	125	304	29	9	282	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	263	60	11	2	6	25	83	4	3	1	228	305	354	658	125	304	28	9	283	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	294	263	59	11	2	6	25	83	4	3	1	224	301	350	651	125	304	28	9	284	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	288	257	58	11	2	6	25	82	4	2	1	226	304	354	658	128	304	28	9	284	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	254	58	11	2	6	25	81	4	2	1	228	307	358	666	130	303	28	9	283	84	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	278	248	54	10	1	5	24	80	4	2	1	218	297	327	624	109	302	29	9	281	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	274	244	53	10	1	5	24	80	4	2	1	217	298	328	626	111	301	29	9	278	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	263	234	50	9	1	5	23	77	4	2	1	214	295	325	620	111	298	29	9	274	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	274	244	52	10	1	5	24	81	4	1	0	213	294	324	618	111	295	30	9	269	74	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	ARI	59%	263	234	49	9	1	4	23	80	4	1	0	209	291	308	599	98	291	30	9	263	69	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3500	3124	689	128	19	66	301	1012	50	26	10	221	299	337	636	117	303	29	9	278	79	-84	+1	-8	+62	+76	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	128	24	4	12	56	188	9	5	2	221	299	338	637	117	304	29	9	278	79	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6562	5847	1269	229	31	129	557	1905	100	52	19	217	296	333	629	116	296	29	8	285	79	-156	+3	-15	+115	+139	8.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	126	23	3	13	55	189	10	5	2	218	296	335	631	117	297	29	8	285	79	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,571	70	27	219	294	335	+64	+32	7.5	6.4
/162	664	13	5	+11.9	+6.0	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/275/277	79	290	1	1	31%	8%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	193/233/321	128	274	13	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	61	-1.5	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	62	-1.4	186/267/286	100	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	193/274/341	148	264	18	1	32%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	46→45	39	185/252/258	72	287	6	6	36%	7%	46	-2.6	229/289/356	127	293	13	7	25%	6%	82	+0.0	248/309/417	169	290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.6
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	53	-2.1	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	52	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2021 · A	19	43→42	40→50	44→50	40	207/266/301	93	288	7	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	209/273/340	131	270	15	6	28%	6%	73	-0.6	205/270/341	137	257	17	5	27%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→41	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	39	-3.1	207/271/343	136	302	13	8	34%	8%	73	-0.6	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Miguel Jerez 2017 · A	19	39	37→60	46→40	45	187/259/260	73	269	4	7	30%	8%	49	-2.4	175/236/285	110	278	12	4	39%	6%	47	-2.6	140/207/263	124	213	17	2	42%	6%	29	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps