Nieves Izaguirre

Nieves IzaguirreSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 18 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .274 / .267

PA78

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$13M		$24M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	87	73	12	2	1	0	10	35	3	7	2	164	291	219	510	55	308	40	11	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	87	68	16	2	1	0	15	24	3	7	2	235	395	294	689	59	356	28	17	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	PHI	—	78	70	14	2	1	1	7	25	1	2	0	200	282	300	582	100	290	32	9	253	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	171	151	31	5	1	2	15	52	3	4	1	205	290	291	581	86	292	30	9	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	314	279	59	10	3	4	27	93	5	7	1	211	293	312	604	100	294	30	9	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	424	377	80	13	4	6	37	124	7	9	1	212	295	316	610	103	295	29	9	278	71	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	502	444	96	16	4	8	44	145	9	11	2	216	300	324	624	108	296	29	9	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	555	492	107	18	5	9	48	160	10	12	2	217	300	329	629	112	297	29	9	284	75	-15	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	590	523	114	19	5	10	52	170	10	13	2	218	301	331	632	113	298	29	9	286	77	-16	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2033	25	MLB	PHI	61%	610	541	117	19	5	10	53	176	11	13	2	216	299	325	624	109	298	29	9	287	78	-15	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.0
2034	26	MLB	PHI	63%	620	550	120	20	5	11	54	178	11	13	2	218	301	333	634	115	298	29	9	287	78	-15	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.1
2035	27	MLB	PHI	64%	622	551	120	20	5	11	55	179	11	13	2	218	301	332	634	114	297	29	9	288	78	-15	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.1
2036	28	MLB	PHI	65%	618	547	118	19	5	11	55	179	11	13	2	216	300	329	629	113	297	29	9	287	78	-16	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.0
2037	29	MLB	PHI	65%	609	538	116	19	5	10	55	178	11	12	2	216	301	325	627	110	296	29	9	285	76	-16	+2	-1	+7	+17	0.8
2038	30	MLB	PHI	65%	599	530	113	18	5	10	54	176	10	10	2	213	298	323	621	109	295	29	9	282	74	-17	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.5
2039	31	MLB	PHI	65%	585	517	108	18	4	9	53	174	10	9	1	209	295	311	606	103	293	30	9	278	71	-19	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.3
2040	32	MLB	PHI	65%	567	501	102	16	4	8	51	171	10	7	1	204	290	299	589	96	290	30	9	273	67	-21	+1	-4	+6	+16	-0.1
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	59	53	12	2	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	226	305	358	664	132	294	31	8	254	52	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	152	135	28	5	1	2	13	45	3	3	1	207	291	304	595	96	296	30	9	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	230	204	43	7	2	3	20	67	4	5	1	211	294	309	603	98	297	29	9	267	62	-10	+1	+0	+2	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	284	252	54	9	2	4	25	82	5	6	1	214	298	313	611	99	298	29	9	271	65	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	320	283	62	10	3	5	28	92	6	7	1	219	303	329	631	110	299	29	9	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	336	298	66	11	3	6	29	97	6	7	1	221	303	339	642	117	300	29	9	274	68	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	PHI	61%	370	328	71	12	3	6	32	106	7	8	1	216	300	326	626	110	300	29	9	275	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB	PHI	63%	388	344	75	12	3	7	34	112	7	8	1	218	301	331	633	113	300	29	9	276	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2035	27	MLB	PHI	64%	395	350	77	13	3	7	35	114	7	8	1	220	304	334	638	114	299	29	9	276	70	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2036	28	MLB	PHI	65%	402	356	77	13	3	7	36	117	7	8	1	216	301	329	629	112	299	29	9	275	69	-14	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB	PHI	65%	396	350	75	12	3	7	36	116	7	8	1	214	300	326	626	111	298	29	9	274	68	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB	PHI	65%	389	344	73	12	3	6	35	114	7	7	1	212	298	317	615	105	297	29	9	271	66	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.0
2039	31	MLB	PHI	65%	380	336	72	12	3	6	34	113	7	6	1	214	300	321	621	107	295	30	9	267	63	-16	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.2
2040	32	MLB	PHI	65%	369	327	68	11	3	5	33	111	6	5	1	208	292	306	598	98	292	30	9	262	59	-17	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4470	3960	853	141	36	72	395	1304	80	87	13	215	299	324	623	108	300	29	9	271	66	-172	+12	-7	+48	+127	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	124	21	5	10	57	190	12	13	2	215	299	321	620	106	301	29	9	271	66	-25	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7551	6684	1427	234	62	120	670	2215	133	155	25	213	298	321	619	107	298	29	9	281	73	-226	+21	-10	+81	+214	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	122	20	5	10	58	191	11	13	2	212	296	317	613	104	297	29	9	281	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	87	68	16	2	1	0	15	24	3	7	2	235	395	294	689	59	356	28	17	329	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,547	73	89	215	295	322	+49	+27	5.2	4.6
	/162	664	11	13	215	295	322	+7.1	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nieves Izaguirre (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	194/274/267	73	290	1	2	32%	8%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	30	-3.1	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	39	35→50	51→30	41	183/255/247	64	290	2	11	35%	8%	37	-2.6	203/258/279	76	265	4	7	24%	5%	46	-2.0	214/250/346	131	319	13	1	36%	3%	57	-0.5
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2