Cade Vernon
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 211 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 115
ERA5.09
FIP5.09
K%13.4%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%3.8%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 36 | 0 | 56 | 220 | 43 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 1.60 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 36 | 0 | 56 | 220 | 43 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 1.4% | 1.60 | 3.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 22 | 1 | 51 | 228 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 5% | 2.3 | 11.1% | 10.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.73 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SF | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.09 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SF | — | — | 118 | 512 | 71 | 48 | 10 | — | — | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 4.51 | 4.67 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 44 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 51 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.46 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 136 | 80 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 58 | 1 | 107 | 448 | 57 | 42 | 5 | 2% | 1.8 | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 2.61 | 3.79 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 2 | 200 | 837 | 107 | 78 | 9 | 2% | 1.8 | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 2.61 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Vernon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.6% | 136 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.89 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 6.53 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 33 | +1.64 | 4.89 | 110 | 93 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.60 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 135 | -0.33 | 3.84 | 199 | 93 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.72 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 112 | -0.43 | 4.62 | 185 | 91 |
| Robbie Aviles R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.77 | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .343 | 3.62 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 58 | -1.15 | 3.62 | 172 | 89 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 14.2% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .285 | 4.86 | 16.1% | 5.0% | 103 | +0.91 | 3.95 | 165 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 13.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | .284 | 3.85 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.24 | 172 | 89 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 88 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 15.7% | 10.5% | 1.8% | .337 | 4.25 | 19.9% | 9.0% | 44 | +0.18 | 4.07 | 105 | 88 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 88 |
| Alejandro Barraza R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% | .291 | 4.48 | 13.1% | 4.7% | 93 | +0.38 | 3.36 | 174 | 88 |
| Angel Nesbitt R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.33 | 14.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .335 | 3.72 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 44 | -0.61 | 3.72 | 106 | 87 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 1.8% | .270 | 5.19 | 22.5% | 12.9% | 124 | +0.99 | 4.20 | 295 | 87 |
| Josh Uhen R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.00 | 16.1% | 9.7% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.97 | 15.6% | 1.2% | 82 | -0.03 | 3.13 | 185 | 87 |
| David Berg R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 123 | 87 |
| Trey Cochran-Gill R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 15.3% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .294 | 4.62 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 112 | +0.52 | 3.51 | 258 | 86 |
| Devin Burke R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.61 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.97 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.97 | 149 | 86 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .277 | 4.38 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 164 | +0.10 | 4.01 | 254 | 86 |
| Ian Villers R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 15.6% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 107 | 86 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 1.08 | 4.96 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |